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WSU
Washington State
CougarsBalancedPac-12 Conference7-6#53 (+2.40)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
61· COverall
Offense
37· DRating
48· CPer play
62· CConsistency
51· CBig plays
Defense
78· BRating
59· CPer play
54· CConsistency
Situational
92· A-Red-zone O
62· CRed-zone D
62· C3rd down O
40· C3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.044
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.068
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.015
Defensive EPA/play
-0.047
lower = better
Off Success Rate
45.9%
Def Success Rate
44.9%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
23.9%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
25.4%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.032
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.003
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.13
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
+0.77
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.50
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.14
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.14
own return game
Return Defense
+0.27
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#53
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#68
model 15 higher
Recruiting Rank
#64
model 11 spots higher
1 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where Washington State ranks among all FBS teams in 2022 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense37th
Opp-adjusted defense79th
Offensive EPA/play49th
Defensive EPA/play60th
Offensive success rate49th
Explosiveness51th
Defensive havoc68th
Points per drive49th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1California2021OA -0.056 / -0.013similar: passing offense, run defense, defensive success rate3772Houston2017OA -0.079 / +0.046similar: offensive EPA, pass defense, takeaway rate3473SMU2018OA -0.058 / -0.007similar: turnover rate, defensive success rate, pass defense3464Texas Tech2022OA +0.017 / +0.036similar: passing offense, TD drive rate, offensive EPA3445Wyoming2023OA +0.016 / +0.024similar: TD drive rate, defensive EPA, rushing offense343
2022 Schedule & Results
13 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Idaho | 24-17 | W | -29.0 | L | 60.5 | U |
| 2 | @ Wisconsin | 17-14 | W | +11.5 | W | 45.5 | U |
| 3 | vs Colorado State | 38-7 | W | -16.5 | W | 53.5 | U |
| 4 | vs Oregon | 41-44 | L | +6.5 | W | 57.5 | O |
| 5 | vs California | 28-9 | W | -4.0 | W | 53.5 | U |
| 6 | @ USC | 14-30 | L | +13.5 | L | 62.5 | U |
| 7 | @ Oregon State | 10-24 | L | +3.5 | L | 52.5 | U |
| 9 | vs Utah | 17-21 | L | - | - | - | - |
| 10 | @ Stanford | 52-14 | W | -5.0 | W | 49.5 | O |
| 11 | vs Arizona State | 28-18 | W | -7.5 | W | 61 | U |
| 12 | @ Arizona | 31-20 | W | -4.0 | W | 63.5 | U |
| 13 | vs Washington | 33-51 | L | +2.0 | L | 61 | O |
| 16 | @ Fresno State | 6-29 | L | +4.0 | L | 53 | U |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
8-5
61.5%
O/U Record
3-10
23.1%
Straight Up
7-6
53.8%
Home ATS5-2
Away ATS3-3
Favorite ATS5-1
Underdog ATS3-4
Last 5 ATS
WWWLL
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.051 | 40th | -0.031 | 55th |
| Red Zone | +0.201 | 93th | -0.111 | 62th |
| Third Down | +0.135 | 62th | +0.103 | 40th |
| No Garbage Time | -0.017 | 49th | -0.048 | 61th |
| First Half | +0.016 | 56th | -0.109 | 79th |
| Second Half | -0.124 | 18th | +0.050 | 22th |
| Early Downs | -0.065 | 29th | -0.086 | 77th |
| Passing Downs | -0.069 | 36th | +0.058 | 29th |
| Standard Downs | -0.041 | 38th | -0.080 | 70th |
| Goal to Go | +0.143 | 74th | -0.352 | 87th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 57.7%Rush 42.3%
Havoc/Game
14.4
Havoc Rate
19.9%
TO Margin
+0.3
Explosive/G
14.4
Yards/Game
360.6
Pts/Drive
2.13
3rd Down%
36.4%
3&Out%
20.0%
Team Statistics
2022 season totals across 13 games — Washington State vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Washington State | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 339 | 298 |
| Points / Game | 26.1 | 22.9 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 257 | 266 |
| Rushing | 84 | 111 |
| Passing | 148 | 136 |
| Penalty | 25 | 19 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 367 | 435 |
| Yards | 1,389 | 1,750 |
| Yards / Carry | 3.8 | 4.0 |
| Yards / Game | 106.8 | 134.6 |
| Touchdowns | 17 | 17 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 500 | 460 |
| Completions | 323 | 286 |
| Completion % | 64.6% | 62.2% |
| Yards | 3,299 | 3,480 |
| Yards / Attempt | 6.6 | 7.6 |
| Touchdowns | 24 | 19 |
| Interceptions | 9 | 12 |
| Passer Rating | 132.26 | 134.13 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 867 | 895 |
| Yards | 4,688 | 5,230 |
| Yards / Play | 5.4 | 5.8 |
| Yards / Game | 360.6 | 402.3 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 24 | 15 |
| Yards | 219 | 55 |
| Average | 9.1 | 3.7 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 27 | 18 |
| Yards | 584 | 391 |
| Average | 21.6 | 21.7 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 59 | 58 |
| Yards | 2,502 | 2,499 |
| Average | 42.4 | 43.1 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 12 | 9 |
| Yards | 245 | 69 |
| Touchdowns | 2 | 1 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 19 | 17 |
| Lost | 8 | 9 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 70 | 88 |
| Yards | 596 | 727 |
| Yards / Game | 45.8 | 55.9 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 27:43 | 32:17 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 176 | 179 |
| Conversions | 64 | 68 |
| Conversion % | 36.4% | 38.0% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 29 | 28 |
| Conversions | 13 | 12 |
| Conversion % | 44.8% | 42.9% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 48 | 45 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 44 | 34 |
| Score % | 91.7% | 75.6% |
| Touchdowns | 35 | 25 |
| TD % | 72.9% | 55.6% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 14 | 18 |
| Made | 11 | 12 |
| Pct | 78.6% | 66.7% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 41 | 32 |
| Made | 40 | 30 |
| Pct | 97.6% | 93.8% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 3 | 6 |
| Made | 1 | 1 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.