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WSU
Washington State
CougarsPass-HeavyPac-12 Conference6-7#46 (+5.20)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
66· COverall
Offense
90· A-Rating
92· A-Per play
98· A+Consistency
93· ABig plays
Defense
23· DRating
2· FPer play
2· FConsistency
Situational
34· DRed-zone O
23· DRed-zone D
75· B3rd down O
11· F3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
+0.109
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.128
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.157
Defensive EPA/play
+0.167
lower = better
Off Success Rate
54.9%
Def Success Rate
50.5%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
27.5%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
28.1%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.009
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.045
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
3.24
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
+1.09
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.64
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.51
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.05
own return game
Return Defense
-0.11
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#46
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#52
model 6 spots higher
3 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where Washington State ranks among all FBS teams in 2019 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense89th
Opp-adjusted defense6th
Offensive EPA/play93th
Defensive EPA/play2th
Offensive success rate99th
Explosiveness94th
Defensive havoc21th
Points per drive96th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Arizona2022OA +0.125 / -0.168similar: defensive EPA, passing offense, rushing offense4182North Texas2017OA -0.005 / -0.142similar: turnover rate, havoc rate, run defense3883Virginia2021OA +0.166 / -0.113similar: defensive EPA, defensive success rate, offensive EPA3714Florida2020OA +0.063 / -0.013similar: offensive EPA, offensive success rate, pass defense3705UCLA2017OA +0.065 / -0.053similar: defensive success rate, havoc rate, passing offense366
2019 Schedule & Results
13 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs New Mexico State | 58-7 | W | +3.0 | L | 73 | U |
| 2 | vs Northern Colorado | 59-17 | W | -42.0 | P | 63 | O |
| 3 | @ Houston | 31-24 | W | -9.0 | L | 73.5 | U |
| 4 | vs UCLA | 63-67 | L | -17.0 | L | 59.5 | O |
| 5 | @ Utah | 13-38 | L | +5.0 | L | 56.5 | U |
| 7 | @ Arizona State | 34-38 | L | -2.5 | L | 60 | O |
| 8 | vs Colorado | 41-10 | W | -13.5 | W | 69 | U |
| 9 | @ Oregon | 35-37 | L | +14.0 | W | 68.5 | O |
| 11 | @ California | 20-33 | L | -8.5 | L | 52.5 | O |
| 12 | vs Stanford | 49-22 | W | -10.5 | W | 65.5 | O |
| 13 | vs Oregon State | 54-53 | W | -10.5 | L | 77.5 | O |
| 14 | @ Washington | 13-31 | L | +7.5 | L | 65.5 | U |
| 18 | vs Air Force | 21-31 | L | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
3-8-1
27.3%
O/U Record
7-5
58.3%
Straight Up
5-7
41.7%
Home ATS2-3
Away ATS1-5
Favorite ATS2-5
Underdog ATS1-3
Last 5 ATS
WLWLL
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.133 | 95th | +0.135 | 5th |
| Red Zone | -0.092 | 34th | +0.098 | 23th |
| Third Down | +0.160 | 76th | +0.273 | 11th |
| No Garbage Time | +0.148 | 93th | +0.170 | 1th |
| First Half | +0.156 | 90th | +0.148 | 8th |
| Second Half | +0.109 | 85th | +0.122 | 8th |
| Early Downs | +0.104 | 87th | +0.077 | 13th |
| Passing Downs | +0.241 | 92th | +0.251 | 8th |
| Standard Downs | +0.093 | 82th | +0.076 | 17th |
| Goal to Go | +0.006 | 53th | -0.071 | 57th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 77.2%Rush 22.8%
Havoc/Game
11.0
Havoc Rate
15.8%
TO Margin
-0.5
Explosive/G
17.8
Yards/Game
505.2
Pts/Drive
3.24
3rd Down%
42.6%
3&Out%
9.6%
Team Statistics
2019 season totals across 13 games — Washington State vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Washington State | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 491 | 408 |
| Points / Game | 37.8 | 31.4 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 335 | 297 |
| Rushing | 54 | 131 |
| Passing | 258 | 139 |
| Penalty | 23 | 27 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 210 | 488 |
| Yards | 885 | 2,411 |
| Yards / Carry | 4.2 | 4.9 |
| Yards / Game | 68.1 | 185.5 |
| Touchdowns | 12 | 27 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 710 | 398 |
| Completions | 505 | 250 |
| Completion % | 71.1% | 62.8% |
| Yards | 5,683 | 3,471 |
| Yards / Attempt | 8.0 | 8.7 |
| Touchdowns | 50 | 23 |
| Interceptions | 16 | 10 |
| Passer Rating | 157.09 | 150.12 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 920 | 886 |
| Yards | 6,568 | 5,882 |
| Yards / Play | 7.1 | 6.6 |
| Yards / Game | 505.2 | 452.5 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 6 | 8 |
| Yards | 97 | 116 |
| Average | 16.2 | 14.5 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 1 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 40 | 26 |
| Yards | 858 | 506 |
| Average | 21.4 | 19.5 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 1 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 30 | 47 |
| Yards | 1,352 | 1,857 |
| Average | 45.1 | 39.5 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 10 | 16 |
| Yards | 126 | 111 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 1 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 12 | 17 |
| Lost | 9 | 9 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 85 | 88 |
| Yards | 794 | 764 |
| Yards / Game | 61.1 | 58.8 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 29:20 | 30:40 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 141 | 162 |
| Conversions | 60 | 68 |
| Conversion % | 42.6% | 42.0% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 22 | 23 |
| Conversions | 13 | 13 |
| Conversion % | 59.1% | 56.5% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 71 | 48 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 61 | 41 |
| Score % | 85.9% | 85.4% |
| Touchdowns | 45 | 33 |
| TD % | 63.4% | 68.8% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 21 | 19 |
| Made | 20 | 12 |
| Pct | 95.2% | 63.2% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 58 | 48 |
| Made | 55 | 46 |
| Pct | 94.8% | 95.8% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 4 | 5 |
| Made | 1 | 4 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.