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FLA
Florida
GatorsBalancedSoutheastern Conference8-4#8 (+9.27)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
94· AOverall
Offense
94· ARating
90· A-Per play
92· A-Consistency
87· BBig plays
Defense
64· CRating
31· DPer play
42· CConsistency
Situational
60· CRed-zone O
25· DRed-zone D
89· B3rd down O
36· D3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
+0.063
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.013
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.180
Defensive EPA/play
+0.066
lower = better
Off Success Rate
54.2%
Def Success Rate
49.4%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
27.2%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
25.2%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.113
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.063
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
3.25
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
+1.56
expected pts/game
Kicking
+1.25
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.46
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.08
own return game
Return Defense
+0.68
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#8
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
#13
model 5 spots higher
Market (Vegas)
#11
model 3 higher
Recruiting Rank
#4
recruiting 4 spots higher
52 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where Florida ranks among all FBS teams in 2020 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense94th
Opp-adjusted defense38th
Offensive EPA/play91th
Defensive EPA/play31th
Offensive success rate96th
Explosiveness88th
Defensive havoc55th
Points per drive92th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Troy2019OA +0.097 / -0.123similar: TD drive rate, pass defense, run defense4682Oklahoma State2017OA +0.215 / +0.003similar: passing offense, rushing offense, offensive EPA4323SMU2020OA +0.035 / -0.008similar: rushing offense, offensive EPA, passing offense4184North Texas2017OA -0.005 / -0.142similar: passing offense, rushing offense, pass defense4095Missouri2017OA +0.143 / -0.049similar: defensive EPA, TD drive rate, offensive EPA393
2020 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | @ Ole Miss | 51-35 | W | -13.5 | W | 57 | O |
| 5 | vs South Carolina | 38-24 | W | -17.5 | L | 57.5 | O |
| 6 | @ Texas A&M | 38-41 | L | -6.5 | L | 58 | O |
| 9 | vs Missouri | 41-17 | W | -12.5 | W | 61.5 | U |
| 10 | @ Georgia | 44-28 | W | +3.0 | W | 52.5 | O |
| 11 | vs Arkansas | 63-35 | W | -17.5 | W | 62.5 | O |
| 12 | @ Vanderbilt | 38-17 | W | -31.5 | L | 68 | U |
| 13 | vs Kentucky | 34-10 | W | -25.5 | L | 61.5 | U |
| 14 | @ Tennessee | 31-19 | W | -17.5 | L | 61.5 | U |
| 15 | vs LSU | 34-37 | L | -23.5 | L | 66.5 | O |
| 16 | vs Alabama | 46-52 | L | +17.0 | W | 74.5 | O |
| 18 | @ Oklahoma | 20-55 | L | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
5-7
41.7%
O/U Record
8-4
66.7%
Straight Up
8-4
66.7%
Home ATS3-3
Away ATS2-4
Favorite ATS3-6
Underdog ATS2-1
Last 5 ATS
LLLWL
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.181 | 93th | +0.111 | 16th |
| Red Zone | +0.048 | 61th | +0.109 | 25th |
| Third Down | +0.341 | 90th | +0.131 | 36th |
| No Garbage Time | +0.191 | 93th | +0.072 | 27th |
| First Half | +0.221 | 92th | +0.120 | 18th |
| Second Half | +0.134 | 88th | +0.102 | 23th |
| Early Downs | +0.125 | 91th | +0.071 | 21th |
| Passing Downs | +0.228 | 88th | +0.199 | 13th |
| Standard Downs | +0.160 | 91th | +0.071 | 23th |
| Goal to Go | -0.101 | 31th | -0.257 | 85th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 56.3%Rush 43.7%
Havoc/Game
13.9
Havoc Rate
19.3%
TO Margin
-0.3
Explosive/G
17.8
Yards/Game
509.8
Pts/Drive
3.25
3rd Down%
50.0%
3&Out%
9.6%
Team Statistics
2020 season totals across 12 games — Florida vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Florida | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 478 | 370 |
| Points / Game | 39.8 | 30.8 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 316 | 274 |
| Rushing | 87 | 118 |
| Passing | 202 | 138 |
| Penalty | 27 | 18 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 367 | 449 |
| Yards | 1,575 | 2,046 |
| Yards / Carry | 4.3 | 4.6 |
| Yards / Game | 131.3 | 170.5 |
| Touchdowns | 12 | 16 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 473 | 398 |
| Completions | 321 | 255 |
| Completion % | 67.9% | 64.1% |
| Yards | 4,543 | 3,090 |
| Yards / Attempt | 9.6 | 7.8 |
| Touchdowns | 46 | 28 |
| Interceptions | 10 | 9 |
| Passer Rating | 176.41 | 147.98 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 840 | 847 |
| Yards | 6,118 | 5,136 |
| Yards / Play | 7.3 | 6.1 |
| Yards / Game | 509.8 | 428.0 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 11 | 3 |
| Yards | 139 | 31 |
| Average | 12.6 | 10.3 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 14 | 28 |
| Yards | 272 | 533 |
| Average | 19.4 | 19.0 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 29 | 57 |
| Yards | 1,333 | 2,445 |
| Average | 46.0 | 42.9 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 8 | 10 |
| Yards | 84 | 247 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 4 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 15 | 12 |
| Lost | 9 | 7 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 64 | 71 |
| Yards | 542 | 648 |
| Yards / Game | 45.2 | 54.0 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 30:30 | 29:30 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 140 | 168 |
| Conversions | 70 | 69 |
| Conversion % | 50.0% | 41.1% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 12 | 23 |
| Conversions | 7 | 15 |
| Conversion % | 58.3% | 65.2% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 62 | 45 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 56 | 38 |
| Score % | 90.3% | 84.4% |
| Touchdowns | 42 | 29 |
| TD % | 67.7% | 64.4% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 24 | 14 |
| Made | 19 | 12 |
| Pct | 79.2% | 85.7% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 59 | 45 |
| Made | 59 | 44 |
| Pct | 100.0% | 97.8% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 1 | 3 |
| Made | 1 | 1 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.