← All Teams
UTAH
Utah
UtesRun-HeavyBig 12 Conference8-5#52 (+1.88)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
62· COverall
Offense
22· DRating
26· DPer play
34· DConsistency
34· DBig plays
Defense
85· BRating
81· BPer play
86· BConsistency
Situational
17· DRed-zone O
62· CRed-zone D
36· D3rd down O
81· B3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.066
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.115
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.053
Defensive EPA/play
-0.060
lower = better
Off Success Rate
44.3%
Def Success Rate
41.4%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
22.6%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
22.5%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.007
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.046
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.83
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
+0.27
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.19
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.25
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.07
own return game
Return Defense
-0.09
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#52
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#50
market 2 higher
Recruiting Rank
#29
recruiting 23 spots higher
17 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where Utah ranks among all FBS teams in 2023 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense22th
Opp-adjusted defense93th
Offensive EPA/play26th
Defensive EPA/play81th
Offensive success rate28th
Explosiveness34th
Defensive havoc84th
Points per drive25th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Virginia Tech2017OA -0.009 / +0.191similar: turnover rate, TD drive rate, offensive EPA4632Oklahoma State2021OA +0.044 / +0.195similar: defensive success rate, takeaway rate, run defense4213Oklahoma State2020OA -0.004 / +0.038similar: TD drive rate, defensive EPA, run defense4054Purdue2017OA +0.012 / +0.097similar: run defense, turnover rate, passing offense3885Northern Illinois2017OA -0.083 / +0.118similar: defensive success rate, rushing offense, run defense381
2023 Schedule & Results
13 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Florida | 24-11 | W | - | - | - | - |
| 2 | @ Baylor | 20-13 | W | -7.5 | L | 45 | U |
| 3 | vs Weber State | 31-7 | W | - | - | - | - |
| 4 | vs UCLA | 14-7 | W | +4.5 | L | 44.5 | U |
| 5 | @ Oregon State | 7-21 | L | - | - | - | - |
| 7 | vs California | 34-14 | W | -13.5 | W | 45 | O |
| 8 | @ USC | 34-32 | W | +7.0 | W | 56 | O |
| 9 | vs Oregon | 6-35 | L | +6.5 | L | 49 | U |
| 10 | vs Arizona State | 55-3 | W | -11.0 | W | 41.5 | O |
| 11 | @ Washington | 28-35 | L | +9.5 | W | 54 | O |
| 12 | @ Arizona | 18-42 | L | 0.0 | L | 44.5 | O |
| 13 | vs Colorado | 23-17 | W | -22.0 | L | 52 | U |
| 17 | @ Northwestern | 7-14 | L | -6.5 | L | 41.5 | U |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
6-6
50.0%
O/U Record
5-7
41.7%
Straight Up
8-5
61.5%
Home ATS4-2
Away ATS2-4
Favorite ATS4-3
Underdog ATS2-3
Last 5 ATS
WWLLL
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.048 | 26th | -0.083 | 90th |
| Red Zone | -0.172 | 17th | -0.073 | 63th |
| Third Down | +0.137 | 36th | +0.027 | 82th |
| No Garbage Time | -0.054 | 26th | -0.065 | 83th |
| First Half | +0.022 | 50th | -0.008 | 60th |
| Second Half | -0.120 | 12th | -0.161 | 95th |
| Early Downs | -0.071 | 33th | -0.089 | 78th |
| Passing Downs | -0.033 | 27th | -0.141 | 93th |
| Standard Downs | -0.056 | 30th | -0.043 | 60th |
| Goal to Go | +0.063 | 58th | +0.016 | 48th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 36.9%Rush 63.1%
Havoc/Game
13.2
Havoc Rate
21.6%
TO Margin
+0.2
Explosive/G
13.8
Yards/Game
348.4
Pts/Drive
1.83
3rd Down%
41.3%
3&Out%
21.7%
Team Statistics
2023 season totals across 13 games — Utah vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Utah | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 301 | 251 |
| Points / Game | 23.2 | 19.3 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 244 | 199 |
| Rushing | 132 | 56 |
| Passing | 93 | 126 |
| Penalty | 19 | 17 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 562 | 345 |
| Yards | 2,373 | 1,076 |
| Yards / Carry | 4.2 | 3.1 |
| Yards / Game | 182.5 | 82.8 |
| Touchdowns | 19 | 13 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 328 | 421 |
| Completions | 189 | 246 |
| Completion % | 57.6% | 58.4% |
| Yards | 2,156 | 2,917 |
| Yards / Attempt | 6.6 | 6.9 |
| Touchdowns | 15 | 17 |
| Interceptions | 11 | 8 |
| Passer Rating | 121.22 | 126.16 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 890 | 766 |
| Yards | 4,529 | 3,993 |
| Yards / Play | 5.1 | 5.2 |
| Yards / Game | 348.4 | 307.2 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 24 | 16 |
| Yards | 111 | 143 |
| Average | 4.6 | 8.9 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 1 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 21 | 32 |
| Yards | 425 | 730 |
| Average | 20.2 | 22.8 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 56 | 67 |
| Yards | 2,503 | 2,863 |
| Average | 44.7 | 42.7 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 8 | 11 |
| Yards | 82 | 200 |
| Touchdowns | 2 | 1 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 14 | 15 |
| Lost | 2 | 7 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 65 | 92 |
| Yards | 541 | 694 |
| Yards / Game | 41.6 | 53.4 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 34:04 | 25:56 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 196 | 166 |
| Conversions | 81 | 49 |
| Conversion % | 41.3% | 29.5% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 29 | 24 |
| Conversions | 12 | 10 |
| Conversion % | 41.4% | 41.7% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 48 | 32 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 39 | 25 |
| Score % | 81.3% | 78.1% |
| Touchdowns | 25 | 19 |
| TD % | 52.1% | 59.4% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 20 | 17 |
| Made | 16 | 9 |
| Pct | 80.0% | 52.9% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 35 | 28 |
| Made | 35 | 28 |
| Pct | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 1 | 4 |
| Made | 1 | 1 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.