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UTAH
Utah
UtesBalancedBig 12 Conference3-2#67 (+0.04)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
48· COverall
Offense
39· DRating
22· DPer play
58· CConsistency
50· CBig plays
Defense
70· BRating
90· A-Per play
86· BConsistency
Situational
23· DRed-zone O
35· DRed-zone D
27· D3rd down O
35· D3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.020
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.040
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.063
Defensive EPA/play
-0.130
lower = better
Off Success Rate
47.6%
Def Success Rate
42.2%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
24.2%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
21.4%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.066
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.117
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.95
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
-0.74
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.05
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.37
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.61
own return game
Return Defense
-1.04
vs opponent returns
Peer Context
Where Utah ranks among all FBS teams in 2020 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense27th
Opp-adjusted defense88th
Offensive EPA/play22th
Defensive EPA/play91th
Offensive success rate59th
Explosiveness50th
Defensive havoc93th
Points per drive32th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Marshall2018OA -0.082 / +0.061similar: havoc rate, offensive EPA, defensive success rate3982Wisconsin2021OA +0.015 / +0.232similar: run defense, offensive EPA, passing offense3743Louisville2022OA -0.010 / +0.144similar: takeaway rate, run defense, pass defense3604Southern Miss2022OA -0.126 / +0.054similar: havoc rate, defensive success rate, offensive EPA3515Southern Miss2018OA -0.135 / +0.134similar: run defense, defensive EPA, turnover rate340
2020 Schedule & Results
5 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | vs USC | 17-33 | L | +2.5 | L | 57.5 | U |
| 13 | @ Washington | 21-24 | L | +7.0 | W | 49.25 | U |
| 14 | vs Oregon State | 30-24 | W | -11.0 | L | 51.5 | O |
| 15 | @ Colorado | 38-21 | W | -2.8 | W | 48 | O |
| 16 | vs Washington State | 45-28 | W | -10.5 | W | 56.25 | O |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
3-2
60.0%
O/U Record
3-2
60.0%
Straight Up
3-2
60.0%
Home ATS1-2
Away ATS2-0
Favorite ATS2-1
Underdog ATS1-1
Last 5 ATS
LWLWW
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.063 | 20th | -0.130 | 92th |
| Red Zone | -0.118 | 23th | +0.060 | 35th |
| Third Down | -0.057 | 27th | +0.139 | 35th |
| No Garbage Time | -0.063 | 23th | -0.130 | 92th |
| First Half | -0.133 | 15th | -0.064 | 80th |
| Second Half | +0.010 | 46th | -0.189 | 93th |
| Early Downs | -0.085 | 19th | -0.066 | 77th |
| Passing Downs | -0.081 | 24th | -0.292 | 99th |
| Standard Downs | -0.054 | 29th | -0.025 | 66th |
| Goal to Go | -0.031 | 42th | +0.596 | 3th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 45.0%Rush 55.0%
Havoc/Game
16.0
Havoc Rate
23.6%
TO Margin
0.0
Explosive/G
16.8
Yards/Game
409.8
Pts/Drive
1.95
3rd Down%
37.7%
3&Out%
19.7%
Team Statistics
2020 season totals across 5 games — Utah vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Utah | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 151 | 130 |
| Points / Game | 30.2 | 26.0 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 102 | 91 |
| Rushing | 48 | 25 |
| Passing | 49 | 57 |
| Penalty | 5 | 9 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 191 | 141 |
| Yards | 970 | 539 |
| Yards / Carry | 5.1 | 3.8 |
| Yards / Game | 194.0 | 107.8 |
| Touchdowns | 9 | 7 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 156 | 191 |
| Completions | 95 | 110 |
| Completion % | 60.9% | 57.6% |
| Yards | 1,079 | 1,286 |
| Yards / Attempt | 6.9 | 6.7 |
| Touchdowns | 6 | 8 |
| Interceptions | 7 | 7 |
| Passer Rating | 122.72 | 120.64 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 347 | 332 |
| Yards | 2,049 | 1,825 |
| Yards / Play | 5.9 | 5.5 |
| Yards / Game | 409.8 | 365.0 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 9 | 4 |
| Yards | 147 | 92 |
| Average | 16.3 | 23.0 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 1 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 4 | 18 |
| Yards | 113 | 404 |
| Average | 28.3 | 22.4 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 20 | 23 |
| Yards | 790 | 1,065 |
| Average | 39.5 | 46.3 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 7 | 7 |
| Yards | 201 | 74 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 0 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 10 | 9 |
| Lost | 6 | 6 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 26 | 29 |
| Yards | 238 | 258 |
| Yards / Game | 47.6 | 51.6 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 33:20 | 26:40 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 69 | 67 |
| Conversions | 26 | 23 |
| Conversion % | 37.7% | 34.3% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 11 | 10 |
| Conversions | 5 | 2 |
| Conversion % | 45.5% | 20.0% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 20 | 18 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 17 | 15 |
| Score % | 85.0% | 83.3% |
| Touchdowns | 12 | 11 |
| TD % | 60.0% | 61.1% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 8 | 8 |
| Made | 8 | 6 |
| Pct | 100.0% | 75.0% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 17 | 16 |
| Made | 17 | 16 |
| Pct | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 1 | 0 |
| Made | 1 | 0 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.