Fourth Down Data
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UTEP

UTEP

MinersBalanced
Mountain West Conference3-9#133 (-12.25)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

1· FOverall
Offense
1· FRating
2· FPer play
3· FConsistency
1· FBig plays
Defense
16· DRating
68· CPer play
64· CConsistency
Situational
5· FRed-zone O
55· CRed-zone D
18· D3rd down O
70· B3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.081
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.004
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.206
Defensive EPA/play
-0.055
lower = better
Off Success Rate
39.6%
Def Success Rate
44.4%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
19.4%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
24.1%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.150
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.058
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.26

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-1.79
expected pts/game
Kicking
-2.01
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.15
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.21
own return game
Return Defense
-0.13
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#133
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#125
market 8 higher
Recruiting Rank
#80
recruiting 53 spots higher
0 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where UTEP ranks among all FBS teams in 2024 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
1th
Opp-adjusted defense
57th
Offensive EPA/play
2th
Defensive EPA/play
69th
Offensive success rate
5th
Explosiveness
1th
Defensive havoc
69th
Points per drive
2th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1West Virginia2025OA -0.070 / +0.036similar: run defense, passing offense, offensive EPA3982New Mexico2021OA -0.227 / +0.012similar: rushing offense, offensive EPA, defensive EPA3873Texas State2022OA -0.153 / +0.039similar: havoc rate, run defense, TD drive rate3854Western Kentucky2018OA -0.103 / +0.001similar: turnover rate, takeaway rate, defensive EPA3785Nevada2022OA -0.135 / -0.053similar: passing offense, defensive success rate, offensive success rate371

2024 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1@ Nebraska7-40L+27.5L49U
2vs Southern Utah24-27L-6.5L52.5U
3@ Liberty10-28L+23.0W57.5U
4@ Colorado State17-27L+9.0L49.5U
6vs Sam Houston21-41L+19.5L57.5O
7@ Western Kentucky17-44L+7.0W48O
8vs Florida International30-21W+6.5W49U
9@ Louisiana Tech10-14L----
10vs Middle Tennessee13-20L-3.0L51.5U
11vs Kennesaw State43-35W-4.0W42.5O
13@ Tennessee0-56L+41.5L52.5O
14@ New Mexico State42-35W+3.0W51.5O

Betting Profile

ATS Record
5-7
41.7%
O/U Record
6-6
50.0%
Straight Up
3-9
25.0%
Home ATS2-3
Away ATS3-4
Favorite ATS1-2
Underdog ATS4-5
Last 5 ATS
WLWLW
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off9thRush Off3thRed Zone Off5th3rd Down Off18thPass Def75thRush Def61thRed Zone Def55th3rd Down Def71th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.1844th-0.06175th
Red Zone-0.2555th-0.02455th
Third Down-0.03818th+0.00271th
No Garbage Time-0.2062th-0.05569th
First Half-0.2741th-0.12085th
Second Half-0.08814th+0.00449th
Early Downs-0.1467th-0.05963th
Passing Downs-0.1969th-0.09475th
Standard Downs-0.1773th-0.04261th
Goal to Go+0.11965th-0.16078th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 45.5%Rush 54.5%
Havoc/Game
15.0
Havoc Rate
20.4%
TO Margin
-0.1
Explosive/G
11.3
Yards/Game
320.8
Pts/Drive
1.26
3rd Down%
33.0%
3&Out%
29.2%

Team Statistics

2024 season totals across 12 games — UTEP vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatUTEPOpponents
Scoring
Points234388
Points / Game19.532.3
First Downs
Total200246
Rushing86100
Passing95126
Penalty1920
Rushing
Attempts438501
Yards1,4492,152
Yards / Carry3.34.3
Yards / Game120.8179.3
Touchdowns925
Passing
Attempts365352
Completions223216
Completion %61.1%61.4%
Yards2,4002,678
Yards / Attempt6.67.6
Touchdowns1523
Interceptions1211
Passer Rating123.32140.58
Total Offense
Plays803853
Yards3,8494,830
Yards / Play4.85.7
Yards / Game320.8402.5
Punt Returns
Returns1725
Yards311190
Average18.37.6
Touchdowns10
Kickoff Returns
Returns2422
Yards496593
Average20.727.0
Touchdowns11
Punting
Punts6859
Yards2,4982,467
Average36.741.8
Interception Returns
Returns1112
Yards164134
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles1721
Lost77
Penalties
Penalties6869
Yards611629
Yards / Game50.952.4
Time of Possession
Per Game27:5332:03
Third Downs
Attempts179185
Conversions5974
Conversion %33.0%40.0%
Fourth Downs
Attempts2720
Conversions810
Conversion %29.6%50.0%
Red Zone
Trips2746
Scores (TD + FG)1937
Score %70.4%80.4%
Touchdowns1429
TD %51.9%63.0%
Field Goals
Attempts1820
Made1014
Pct55.6%70.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts2845
Made2844
Pct100.0%97.8%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts14
Made13
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →