← All Teams
UNLV
UNLV
RebelsBalancedMountain West Conference5-7#120 (-6.65)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
12· FOverall
Offense
33· DRating
41· CPer play
37· DConsistency
28· DBig plays
Defense
19· DRating
58· CPer play
33· DConsistency
Situational
15· DRed-zone O
72· BRed-zone D
29· D3rd down O
76· B3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.113
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.043
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.049
Defensive EPA/play
-0.046
lower = better
Off Success Rate
44.6%
Def Success Rate
46.5%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
21.9%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
22.1%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.004
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.024
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.04
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
-1.34
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.67
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.13
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.81
own return game
Return Defense
+0.27
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#120
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#74
market 46 higher
Recruiting Rank
#75
recruiting 45 spots higher
0 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where UNLV ranks among all FBS teams in 2022 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense15th
Opp-adjusted defense30th
Offensive EPA/play41th
Defensive EPA/play59th
Offensive success rate38th
Explosiveness28th
Defensive havoc25th
Points per drive43th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Maryland2025OA -0.071 / +0.010similar: rushing offense, turnover rate, defensive EPA3632California2021OA -0.056 / -0.013similar: offensive EPA, TD drive rate, takeaway rate3563South Carolina2017OA +0.025 / +0.081similar: offensive EPA, run defense, defensive EPA3414San Diego State2023OA -0.047 / -0.059similar: turnover rate, pass defense, havoc rate3335Old Dominion2023OA -0.079 / +0.034similar: turnover rate, havoc rate, defensive EPA331
2022 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | vs Idaho State | 52-21 | W | -24.0 | W | 50.5 | O |
| 2 | @ California | 14-20 | L | +12.5 | W | 48.5 | U |
| 3 | vs North Texas | 58-27 | W | -2.5 | W | 63.5 | O |
| 4 | @ Utah State | 34-24 | W | -14.5 | L | 42 | O |
| 5 | vs New Mexico | 31-20 | W | +6.5 | L | 51.5 | U |
| 6 | @ San José State | 7-40 | L | - | - | - | - |
| 7 | vs Air Force | 7-42 | L | +10.0 | L | 50 | U |
| 8 | @ Notre Dame | 21-44 | L | +25.5 | W | 47.5 | O |
| 10 | @ San Diego State | 10-14 | L | +6.5 | W | 48.5 | U |
| 11 | vs Fresno State | 30-37 | L | - | - | - | - |
| 12 | @ Hawai'i | 25-31 | L | -11.0 | L | 55.5 | O |
| 13 | vs Nevada | 27-22 | W | -12.5 | L | 49 | P |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
7-5
58.3%
O/U Record
6-5-1
54.5%
Straight Up
5-7
41.7%
Home ATS3-3
Away ATS4-2
Favorite ATS3-3
Underdog ATS4-2
Last 5 ATS
WWWLL
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.052 | 39th | -0.047 | 61th |
| Red Zone | -0.206 | 16th | -0.156 | 73th |
| Third Down | -0.039 | 29th | -0.084 | 76th |
| No Garbage Time | -0.048 | 41th | -0.047 | 60th |
| First Half | -0.088 | 33th | -0.047 | 59th |
| Second Half | -0.014 | 50th | -0.048 | 59th |
| Early Downs | -0.018 | 49th | -0.041 | 58th |
| Passing Downs | -0.175 | 12th | -0.027 | 54th |
| Standard Downs | +0.021 | 63th | -0.056 | 63th |
| Goal to Go | -0.115 | 38th | -0.134 | 64th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 47.3%Rush 52.7%
Havoc/Game
11.8
Havoc Rate
16.1%
TO Margin
+0.5
Explosive/G
12.2
Yards/Game
352.4
Pts/Drive
2.04
3rd Down%
32.3%
3&Out%
30.2%
Team Statistics
2022 season totals across 12 games — UNLV vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | UNLV | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 316 | 342 |
| Points / Game | 26.3 | 28.5 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 212 | 250 |
| Rushing | 88 | 116 |
| Passing | 108 | 111 |
| Penalty | 16 | 23 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 403 | 481 |
| Yards | 1,649 | 1,895 |
| Yards / Carry | 4.1 | 3.9 |
| Yards / Game | 137.4 | 157.9 |
| Touchdowns | 18 | 19 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 361 | 359 |
| Completions | 227 | 223 |
| Completion % | 62.9% | 62.1% |
| Yards | 2,580 | 2,709 |
| Yards / Attempt | 7.1 | 7.5 |
| Touchdowns | 15 | 21 |
| Interceptions | 7 | 15 |
| Passer Rating | 132.75 | 136.45 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 764 | 840 |
| Yards | 4,229 | 4,604 |
| Yards / Play | 5.5 | 5.5 |
| Yards / Game | 352.4 | 383.7 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 12 | 26 |
| Yards | 75 | 218 |
| Average | 6.3 | 8.4 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 19 | 30 |
| Yards | 396 | 465 |
| Average | 20.8 | 15.5 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 1 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 63 | 44 |
| Yards | 2,509 | 1,836 |
| Average | 39.8 | 41.7 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 15 | 7 |
| Yards | 232 | 38 |
| Touchdowns | 2 | 0 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 11 | 11 |
| Lost | 8 | 6 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 68 | 54 |
| Yards | 682 | 500 |
| Yards / Game | 56.8 | 41.7 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 28:45 | 31:14 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 155 | 161 |
| Conversions | 50 | 60 |
| Conversion % | 32.3% | 37.3% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 19 | 28 |
| Conversions | 10 | 17 |
| Conversion % | 52.6% | 60.7% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 40 | 54 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 34 | 43 |
| Score % | 85.0% | 79.6% |
| Touchdowns | 23 | 28 |
| TD % | 57.5% | 51.9% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 19 | 23 |
| Made | 18 | 18 |
| Pct | 94.7% | 78.3% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 34 | 39 |
| Made | 34 | 38 |
| Pct | 100.0% | 97.4% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 3 | 2 |
| Made | 2 | 1 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.