Fourth Down Data
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SC

South Carolina

GamecocksBalanced
Southeastern Conference9-4#40 (+6.83)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

70· BOverall
Offense
48· CRating
43· CPer play
57· CConsistency
28· DBig plays
Defense
82· BRating
61· CPer play
60· CConsistency
Situational
42· CRed-zone O
74· BRed-zone D
35· D3rd down O
42· C3rd down D
How grades work →2017 is the earliest season the model grades — first-year numbers run a touch noisier than later seasons.

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.025
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.081
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.035
Defensive EPA/play
-0.061
lower = better
Off Success Rate
46.4%
Def Success Rate
44.8%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
21.9%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
22.7%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.026
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.151
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.86

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.03
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.12
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.27
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.08
own return game
Return Defense
+0.10
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#40
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#24
recruiting 16 spots higher
21 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where South Carolina ranks among all FBS teams in 2017 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
65th
Opp-adjusted defense
77th
Offensive EPA/play
44th
Defensive EPA/play
62th
Offensive success rate
53th
Explosiveness
29th
Defensive havoc
53th
Points per drive
32th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Tulane2023OA -0.001 / +0.033similar: offensive EPA, defensive EPA, defensive success rate3532Middle Tennessee2018OA +0.025 / +0.049similar: defensive success rate, offensive EPA, run defense3533California2021OA -0.056 / -0.013similar: takeaway rate, offensive EPA, pass defense3524Virginia Tech2024OA +0.002 / +0.048similar: defensive success rate, turnover rate, run defense3435UNLV2022OA -0.113 / -0.043similar: offensive EPA, run defense, defensive EPA341

2017 Schedule & Results

13 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1@ NC State35-28W+9.0W41.5O
2@ Missouri31-13W+3.0W71U
3vs Kentucky13-23L-6.0L48U
4vs Louisiana Tech17-16W-9.0L49.5U
5@ Texas A&M17-24L+8.0W50.5U
6vs Arkansas48-22W+3.0W45O
7@ Tennessee15-9W+2.5W45U
9vs Vanderbilt34-27W-7.0P43O
10@ Georgia10-24L+23.5W45U
11vs Florida28-20W-4.5W40.5O
12vs Wofford31-10W-24.0L--
13vs Clemson10-34L+12.5L46.5U
18vs Michigan26-19W----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
7-4-1
63.6%
O/U Record
4-7
36.4%
Straight Up
8-4
66.7%
Home ATS3-4
Away ATS4-0
Favorite ATS1-3
Underdog ATS6-1
Last 5 ATS
PWWLL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off17thRush Off65thRed Zone Off43th3rd Down Off35thPass Def82thRush Def42thRed Zone Def74th3rd Down Def43th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.03841th-0.05860th
Red Zone-0.03043th-0.12774th
Third Down-0.08435th+0.02543th
No Garbage Time-0.04240th-0.05958th
First Half-0.11017th-0.00844th
Second Half+0.03774th-0.10776th
Early Downs+0.05177th-0.05662th
Passing Downs-0.15017th-0.15382th
Standard Downs+0.02065th-0.00642th
Goal to Go+0.03459th-0.20778th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 49.5%Rush 50.5%
Havoc/Game
13.2
Havoc Rate
18.0%
TO Margin
+0.8
Explosive/G
12.9
Yards/Game
337.1
Pts/Drive
1.86
3rd Down%
38.0%
3&Out%
22.4%

Team Statistics

2017 season totals across 13 games — South Carolina vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatSouth CarolinaOpponents
Scoring
Points315269
Points / Game24.220.7
First Downs
Total231265
Rushing92102
Passing125139
Penalty1424
Rushing
Attempts405484
Yards1,5881,834
Yards / Carry3.93.8
Yards / Game122.2141.1
Touchdowns1615
Passing
Attempts397440
Completions245259
Completion %61.7%58.9%
Yards2,7942,938
Yards / Attempt7.06.7
Touchdowns1814
Interceptions1214
Passer Rating129.75119.09
Total Offense
Plays802924
Yards4,3824,772
Yards / Play5.55.2
Yards / Game337.1367.1
Punt Returns
Returns2015
Yards14184
Average7.05.6
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns3321
Yards713431
Average21.620.5
Touchdowns20
Punting
Punts5559
Yards2,3902,531
Average43.542.9
Interception Returns
Returns1412
Yards140150
Touchdowns21
Fumbles
Fumbles1022
Lost514
Penalties
Penalties6271
Yards494526
Yards / Game38.040.5
Time of Possession
Per Game28:4231:18
Third Downs
Attempts171191
Conversions6576
Conversion %38.0%39.8%
Fourth Downs
Attempts1418
Conversions69
Conversion %42.9%50.0%
Red Zone
Trips3448
Scores (TD + FG)2939
Score %85.3%81.3%
Touchdowns1925
TD %55.9%52.1%
Field Goals
Attempts2824
Made1521
Pct53.6%87.5%
PAT Kicking
Attempts3828
Made3626
Pct94.7%92.9%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts12
Made00
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →