← All Teams
CONN
UConn
HuskiesBalancedFBS Independents9-4#82 (-3.98)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
40· COverall
Offense
61· CRating
92· A-Per play
87· BConsistency
59· CBig plays
Defense
15· DRating
21· DPer play
11· FConsistency
Situational
73· BRed-zone O
23· DRed-zone D
59· C3rd down O
76· B3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
+0.056
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.123
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.142
Defensive EPA/play
+0.067
lower = better
Off Success Rate
50.2%
Def Success Rate
49.9%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
23.2%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
23.3%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.076
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.032
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.94
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
+0.63
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.66
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.00
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.04
own return game
Return Defense
+0.00
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#82
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#40
market 42 higher
Recruiting Rank
#79
recruiting 3 spots higher
0 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where UConn ranks among all FBS teams in 2025 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense72th
Opp-adjusted defense10th
Offensive EPA/play93th
Defensive EPA/play21th
Offensive success rate85th
Explosiveness59th
Defensive havoc47th
Points per drive89th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Georgia Tech2024OA +0.026 / -0.008similar: havoc rate, offensive success rate, pass defense3702Arizona State2018OA +0.072 / -0.049similar: pass defense, turnover rate, havoc rate3703Florida International2018OA +0.106 / -0.062similar: offensive EPA, passing offense, rushing offense3664North Carolina2021OA +0.091 / -0.074similar: passing offense, rushing offense, run defense3605Texas2019OA +0.093 / +0.011similar: TD drive rate, havoc rate, rushing offense355
2025 Schedule & Results
13 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Central Connecticut State | 59-13 | W | - | - | - | - |
| 2 | @ Syracuse | 20-27 | L | +7.0 | P | 57 | U |
| 3 | @ Delaware | 41-44 | L | -4.0 | L | 79.5 | O |
| 4 | vs Ball State | 31-25 | W | -13.5 | L | 40.5 | O |
| 5 | @ Buffalo | 20-17 | W | -6.5 | L | 37.5 | U |
| 6 | vs Florida International | 51-10 | W | -34.5 | W | 57.5 | O |
| 8 | @ Boston College | 38-23 | W | +1.5 | W | 58 | O |
| 9 | @ Rice | 34-37 | L | -10.0 | L | 49.5 | O |
| 10 | vs UAB | 38-19 | W | -11.5 | W | 62.5 | U |
| 11 | vs Duke | 37-34 | W | +3.5 | W | 65.5 | O |
| 12 | vs Air Force | 26-16 | W | -7.5 | W | 64 | U |
| 13 | @ Florida Atlantic | 48-45 | W | -10.5 | L | 74.5 | O |
| 18 | @ Army | 16-41 | L | +13.0 | L | 42 | O |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
5-6-1
45.5%
O/U Record
8-4
66.7%
Straight Up
9-4
69.2%
Home ATS4-1
Away ATS1-5
Favorite ATS3-5
Underdog ATS2-1
Last 5 ATS
WWWLL
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.141 | 93th | +0.074 | 18th |
| Red Zone | +0.113 | 73th | +0.135 | 24th |
| Third Down | +0.127 | 60th | -0.085 | 77th |
| No Garbage Time | +0.147 | 94th | +0.064 | 21th |
| First Half | +0.148 | 91th | -0.017 | 47th |
| Second Half | +0.135 | 87th | +0.165 | 3th |
| Early Downs | +0.120 | 93th | +0.103 | 5th |
| Passing Downs | +0.070 | 70th | +0.094 | 19th |
| Standard Downs | +0.179 | 97th | +0.066 | 19th |
| Goal to Go | +0.240 | 83th | +0.170 | 27th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 52.7%Rush 47.3%
Havoc/Game
13.2
Havoc Rate
18.0%
TO Margin
+1.2
Explosive/G
13.5
Yards/Game
445.2
Pts/Drive
2.94
3rd Down%
41.8%
3&Out%
17.4%
Team Statistics
2025 season totals across 13 games — UConn vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | UConn | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 459 | 351 |
| Points / Game | 35.3 | 27.0 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 277 | 296 |
| Rushing | 104 | 149 |
| Passing | 153 | 130 |
| Penalty | 20 | 17 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 407 | 547 |
| Yards | 2,091 | 2,594 |
| Yards / Carry | 5.1 | 4.7 |
| Yards / Game | 160.8 | 199.5 |
| Touchdowns | 26 | 28 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 453 | 393 |
| Completions | 308 | 257 |
| Completion % | 68.0% | 65.4% |
| Yards | 3,697 | 2,840 |
| Yards / Attempt | 8.2 | 7.2 |
| Touchdowns | 30 | 17 |
| Interceptions | 1 | 11 |
| Passer Rating | 157.96 | 134.77 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 860 | 940 |
| Yards | 5,788 | 5,434 |
| Yards / Play | 6.7 | 5.8 |
| Yards / Game | 445.2 | 418.0 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 19 | 11 |
| Yards | 150 | 76 |
| Average | 7.9 | 6.9 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 33 | 21 |
| Yards | 691 | 481 |
| Average | 20.9 | 22.9 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 51 | 53 |
| Yards | 2,247 | 2,250 |
| Average | 44.1 | 42.5 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 11 | 1 |
| Yards | 46 | 11 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 4 | 11 |
| Lost | 1 | 6 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 64 | 58 |
| Yards | 628 | 504 |
| Yards / Game | 48.3 | 38.8 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 28:50 | 31:10 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 170 | 179 |
| Conversions | 71 | 67 |
| Conversion % | 41.8% | 37.4% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 20 | 35 |
| Conversions | 14 | 20 |
| Conversion % | 70.0% | 57.1% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 55 | 44 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 49 | 39 |
| Score % | 89.1% | 88.6% |
| Touchdowns | 35 | 29 |
| TD % | 63.6% | 65.9% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 26 | 18 |
| Made | 23 | 14 |
| Pct | 88.5% | 77.8% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 52 | 36 |
| Made | 52 | 35 |
| Pct | 100.0% | 97.2% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 4 | 7 |
| Made | 1 | 2 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.