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Georgia Tech

Yellow JacketsBalanced
Atlantic Coast Conference7-6#57 (+1.98)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

58· COverall
Offense
70· BRating
73· BPer play
76· BConsistency
55· CBig plays
Defense
59· CRating
29· DPer play
30· DConsistency
Situational
73· BRed-zone O
17· DRed-zone D
45· C3rd down O
76· B3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.026
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.008
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.055
Defensive EPA/play
+0.036
lower = better
Off Success Rate
49.4%
Def Success Rate
46.4%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
24.1%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
26.0%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.019
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.007
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.41

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.82
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.39
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.32
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.08
own return game
Return Defense
-0.04
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#57
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#68
model 11 higher
Recruiting Rank
#44
recruiting 13 spots higher
9 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Georgia Tech ranks among all FBS teams in 2024 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
77th
Opp-adjusted defense
39th
Offensive EPA/play
74th
Defensive EPA/play
29th
Offensive success rate
81th
Explosiveness
56th
Defensive havoc
44th
Points per drive
66th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Louisville2021OA +0.077 / +0.021similar: takeaway rate, TD drive rate, run defense4092Arizona State2018OA +0.072 / -0.049similar: offensive EPA, run defense, rushing offense4023Oklahoma2022OA +0.102 / +0.001similar: rushing offense, defensive EPA, offensive EPA3804Arizona State2017OA +0.087 / +0.002similar: rushing offense, TD drive rate, passing offense3795UConn2025OA +0.056 / -0.123similar: havoc rate, pass defense, offensive success rate372

2024 Schedule & Results

13 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
0vs Florida State24-21W+10.5W55.5U
1vs Georgia State35-12W-21.0W55.5U
2@ Syracuse28-31L-2.5L57.5O
3vs VMI59-7W-42.0W56O
4@ Louisville19-31L+10.5L58.5U
6vs Duke24-14W-9.0W53U
7@ North Carolina41-34W-5.5W59O
8vs Notre Dame13-31L+11.5L49U
9@ Virginia Tech6-21L+10.5L51.75U
11vs Miami28-23W+11.0W63.5U
13vs NC State30-29W+19.5W53O
14@ Georgia42-44L----
18@ Vanderbilt27-35L----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
7-6
53.8%
O/U Record
6-7
46.2%
Straight Up
7-6
53.8%
Home ATS5-2
Away ATS2-4
Favorite ATS4-3
Underdog ATS3-3
Last 5 ATS
LWLWL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off75thRush Off77thRed Zone Off74th3rd Down Off46thPass Def64thRush Def12thRed Zone Def17th3rd Down Def77th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.07479th+0.03831th
Red Zone+0.12674th+0.14917th
Third Down+0.08846th-0.01977th
No Garbage Time+0.05977th+0.03431th
First Half+0.11886th+0.02237th
Second Half+0.03154th+0.05328th
Early Downs+0.07987th+0.06314th
Passing Downs+0.10375th-0.06064th
Standard Downs+0.06177th+0.09112th
Goal to Go+0.07060th+0.06740th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 45.6%Rush 54.4%
Havoc/Game
10.8
Havoc Rate
17.5%
TO Margin
+0.1
Explosive/G
15.4
Yards/Game
424.5
Pts/Drive
2.41
3rd Down%
40.8%
3&Out%
20.7%

Team Statistics

2024 season totals across 13 games — Georgia Tech vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatGeorgia TechOpponents
Scoring
Points376333
Points / Game28.925.6
First Downs
Total281238
Rushing12691
Passing138125
Penalty1722
Rushing
Attempts491390
Yards2,4311,588
Yards / Carry5.04.1
Yards / Game187.0122.2
Touchdowns2915
Passing
Attempts412401
Completions269253
Completion %65.3%63.1%
Yards3,0882,869
Yards / Attempt7.57.2
Touchdowns1724
Interceptions75
Passer Rating138.47140.45
Total Offense
Plays903791
Yards5,5194,457
Yards / Play6.15.6
Yards / Game424.5342.8
Punt Returns
Returns2025
Yards151216
Average7.58.6
Touchdowns01
Kickoff Returns
Returns2118
Yards373374
Average17.820.8
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts4952
Yards2,1192,316
Average43.244.5
Interception Returns
Returns57
Yards88115
Touchdowns01
Fumbles
Fumbles149
Lost36
Penalties
Penalties7056
Yards563524
Yards / Game43.340.3
Time of Possession
Per Game30:5028:40
Third Downs
Attempts169161
Conversions6954
Conversion %40.8%33.5%
Fourth Downs
Attempts2829
Conversions1618
Conversion %57.1%62.1%
Red Zone
Trips5339
Scores (TD + FG)4734
Score %88.7%87.2%
Touchdowns3729
TD %69.8%74.4%
Field Goals
Attempts2218
Made1510
Pct68.2%55.6%
PAT Kicking
Attempts4537
Made4537
Pct100.0%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts812
Made14
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →