Fourth Down Data
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OU

Oklahoma

SoonersRun-Heavy
Southeastern Conference6-7#40 (+3.34)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

70· BOverall
Offense
79· BRating
83· BPer play
83· BConsistency
79· BBig plays
Defense
54· CRating
26· DPer play
18· DConsistency
Situational
92· A-Red-zone O
16· DRed-zone D
40· C3rd down O
63· C3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.102
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.001
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.099
Defensive EPA/play
+0.041
lower = better
Off Success Rate
48.2%
Def Success Rate
48.8%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
26.3%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
25.5%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.058
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.041
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.60

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.55
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.90
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.95
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.34
own return game
Return Defense
-0.17
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#40
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#24
market 16 higher
Recruiting Rank
#9
recruiting 31 spots higher
52 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Oklahoma ranks among all FBS teams in 2022 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
82th
Opp-adjusted defense
53th
Offensive EPA/play
84th
Defensive EPA/play
26th
Offensive success rate
68th
Explosiveness
80th
Defensive havoc
63th
Points per drive
76th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1TCU2022OA +0.134 / +0.023similar: run defense, rushing offense, pass defense4162Baylor2022OA +0.078 / -0.009similar: TD drive rate, defensive EPA, rushing offense4043Louisville2021OA +0.077 / +0.021similar: passing offense, turnover rate, offensive success rate4034Georgia Tech2024OA +0.026 / -0.008similar: rushing offense, defensive EPA, offensive EPA3805UCLA2021OA +0.125 / -0.079similar: pass defense, defensive EPA, defensive success rate376

2022 Schedule & Results

13 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs UTEP45-13W-30.3W57O
2vs Kent State33-3W-33.0L72.5U
3@ Nebraska49-14W-11.0W64.5U
4vs Kansas State34-41L-12.5L53O
5@ TCU24-55L-6.5L69O
6vs Texas0-49L+8.0L64.5U
7vs Kansas52-42W-9.0W62.5O
9@ Iowa State27-13W-1.5W55.5U
10vs Baylor35-38L-3.5L57.5O
11@ West Virginia20-23L-8.0L66U
12vs Oklahoma State28-13W-7.5W64.5U
13@ Texas Tech48-51L-2.5L63.5O
18@ Florida State32-35L----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
6-7
46.2%
O/U Record
7-6
53.8%
Straight Up
6-7
46.2%
Home ATS3-4
Away ATS3-3
Favorite ATS5-6
Underdog ATS1-1
Last 5 ATS
LLWLW
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off40thRush Off87thRed Zone Off93th3rd Down Off40thPass Def37thRush Def30thRed Zone Def16th3rd Down Def64th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.05068th+0.02332th
Red Zone+0.20193th+0.17716th
Third Down+0.01740th-0.00264th
No Garbage Time+0.09583th+0.03428th
First Half+0.09778th+0.02932th
Second Half-0.00456th+0.01632th
Early Downs+0.13396th+0.07613th
Passing Downs-0.05140th+0.02737th
Standard Downs+0.09987th+0.02030th
Goal to Go+0.32091th+0.24513th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 41.2%Rush 58.8%
Havoc/Game
16.0
Havoc Rate
19.4%
TO Margin
+0.5
Explosive/G
16.9
Yards/Game
474.0
Pts/Drive
2.60
3rd Down%
40.5%
3&Out%
18.0%

Team Statistics

2022 season totals across 13 games — Oklahoma vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatOklahomaOpponents
Scoring
Points427390
Points / Game32.830.0
First Downs
Total310335
Rushing155139
Passing138173
Penalty1723
Rushing
Attempts581544
Yards2,8522,437
Yards / Carry4.94.5
Yards / Game219.4187.5
Touchdowns2829
Passing
Attempts407499
Completions251309
Completion %61.7%61.9%
Yards3,3103,556
Yards / Attempt8.17.1
Touchdowns2720
Interceptions817
Passer Rating147.95128.20
Total Offense
Plays9881,043
Yards6,1625,993
Yards / Play6.25.7
Yards / Game474.0461.0
Punt Returns
Returns1212
Yards16934
Average14.12.8
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns2618
Yards475449
Average18.324.9
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts6368
Yards2,9482,968
Average46.843.6
Interception Returns
Returns178
Yards13174
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles1312
Lost74
Penalties
Penalties7464
Yards652528
Yards / Game50.240.6
Time of Possession
Per Game26:1233:35
Third Downs
Attempts195208
Conversions7985
Conversion %40.5%40.9%
Fourth Downs
Attempts2728
Conversions1114
Conversion %40.7%50.0%
Red Zone
Trips5058
Scores (TD + FG)4250
Score %84.0%86.2%
Touchdowns3539
TD %70.0%67.2%
Field Goals
Attempts1819
Made1216
Pct66.7%84.2%
PAT Kicking
Attempts5346
Made5344
Pct100.0%95.7%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts23
Made22
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →