Fourth Down Data
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FIU

Florida International

PanthersBalanced
Conference USA9-4#43 (+3.56)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

68· COverall
Offense
85· BRating
92· A-Per play
52· CConsistency
86· BBig plays
Defense
34· DRating
44· CPer play
30· DConsistency
Situational
69· CRed-zone O
62· CRed-zone D
82· B3rd down O
74· B3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.106
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.062
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.145
Defensive EPA/play
+0.015
lower = better
Off Success Rate
46.6%
Def Success Rate
48.0%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
25.8%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
24.5%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.130
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.134
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.94

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.58
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.56
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.05
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.05
own return game
Return Defense
-0.08
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#43
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#77
model 34 spots higher
0 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Florida International ranks among all FBS teams in 2018 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
89th
Opp-adjusted defense
28th
Offensive EPA/play
93th
Defensive EPA/play
45th
Offensive success rate
51th
Explosiveness
86th
Defensive havoc
38th
Points per drive
90th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1UConn2025OA +0.056 / -0.123similar: offensive EPA, passing offense, rushing offense3662San José State2023OA +0.068 / -0.050similar: TD drive rate, defensive success rate, run defense3603South Alabama2024OA +0.039 / -0.006similar: havoc rate, defensive EPA, offensive EPA3594Louisiana2024OA +0.053 / -0.015similar: offensive EPA, run defense, rushing offense3585Louisiana2019OA +0.173 / -0.015similar: passing offense, havoc rate, run defense356

2018 Schedule & Results

13 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Indiana28-38L+7.0W57.5O
2@ Old Dominion28-20W-3.0W51.5U
3vs Massachusetts63-24W-3.5W65.5O
4@ Miami17-31L+26.0W58U
5vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff55-9W-59.0L--
7vs Middle Tennessee24-21W-2.0W61U
8vs Rice36-17W-24.0L53.5U
9@ Western Kentucky38-17W-3.0W54O
10vs Florida Atlantic14-49L-2.0L59.5O
11@ UTSA45-7W-10.5W46.5O
12@ Charlotte42-35W-3.5W44.5O
13vs Marshall25-28L+3.5W52.5O
17@ Toledo35-32W----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
9-3
75.0%
O/U Record
7-4
63.6%
Straight Up
9-3
75.0%
Home ATS3-3
Away ATS6-0
Favorite ATS6-3
Underdog ATS3-0
Last 5 ATS
WLWWW
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off82thRush Off92thRed Zone Off70th3rd Down Off83thPass Def38thRush Def43thRed Zone Def63th3rd Down Def74th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.12990th+0.02939th
Red Zone+0.07970th-0.06463th
Third Down+0.23183th-0.06074th
No Garbage Time+0.13892th+0.01444th
First Half+0.09180th+0.00145th
Second Half+0.16595th+0.06130th
Early Downs+0.05473th+0.00540th
Passing Downs+0.13782th+0.07338th
Standard Downs+0.12492th+0.00743th
Goal to Go+0.06150th-0.05970th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 44.6%Rush 55.4%
Havoc/Game
12.2
Havoc Rate
17.7%
TO Margin
+0.7
Explosive/G
15.0
Yards/Game
421.5
Pts/Drive
2.94
3rd Down%
46.8%
3&Out%
18.6%

Team Statistics

2018 season totals across 13 games — Florida International vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatFlorida InternationalOpponents
Scoring
Points450328
Points / Game34.625.2
First Downs
Total273292
Rushing106147
Passing143116
Penalty2429
Rushing
Attempts476514
Yards2,2862,499
Yards / Carry4.84.9
Yards / Game175.8192.2
Touchdowns2720
Passing
Attempts383373
Completions251225
Completion %65.5%60.3%
Yards3,1942,523
Yards / Attempt8.36.8
Touchdowns2719
Interceptions817
Passer Rating154.67124.83
Total Offense
Plays859887
Yards5,4805,022
Yards / Play6.45.7
Yards / Game421.5386.3
Punt Returns
Returns1515
Yards219171
Average14.611.4
Touchdowns11
Kickoff Returns
Returns2922
Yards504426
Average17.419.4
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts4450
Yards1,8932,050
Average43.041.0
Interception Returns
Returns178
Yards19776
Touchdowns22
Fumbles
Fumbles1712
Lost55
Penalties
Penalties6560
Yards609572
Yards / Game46.844.0
Time of Possession
Per Game30:4429:16
Third Downs
Attempts173164
Conversions8166
Conversion %46.8%40.2%
Fourth Downs
Attempts2323
Conversions1515
Conversion %65.2%65.2%
Red Zone
Trips4953
Scores (TD + FG)4041
Score %81.6%77.4%
Touchdowns3231
TD %65.3%58.5%
Field Goals
Attempts1818
Made1411
Pct77.8%61.1%
PAT Kicking
Attempts5539
Made5439
Pct98.2%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts33
Made32
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →