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UConn
HuskiesBalancedFBS Independents9-4#60 (+1.49)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
55· COverall
Offense
38· DRating
44· CPer play
35· DConsistency
21· DBig plays
Defense
73· BRating
86· BPer play
93· AConsistency
Situational
71· BRed-zone O
77· BRed-zone D
10· F3rd down O
95· A3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.004
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.040
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.002
Defensive EPA/play
-0.116
lower = better
Off Success Rate
44.8%
Def Success Rate
40.5%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
22.0%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
19.6%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.114
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.131
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.26
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
-0.28
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.41
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.28
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.05
own return game
Return Defense
-0.20
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#60
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#48
market 12 higher
Recruiting Rank
#80
model 20 spots higher
0 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where UConn ranks among all FBS teams in 2024 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense41th
Opp-adjusted defense83th
Offensive EPA/play45th
Defensive EPA/play87th
Offensive success rate34th
Explosiveness21th
Defensive havoc61th
Points per drive53th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Auburn2019OA -0.022 / +0.217similar: defensive EPA, offensive EPA, defensive success rate3882Duke2023OA +0.031 / +0.042similar: offensive success rate, offensive EPA, takeaway rate3793Penn State2018OA +0.000 / +0.080similar: TD drive rate, offensive EPA, passing offense3644Duke2017OA -0.014 / +0.122similar: rushing offense, defensive EPA, passing offense3625Louisville2025OA +0.020 / +0.123similar: pass defense, TD drive rate, defensive EPA361
2024 Schedule & Results
13 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Maryland | 7-50 | L | +20.0 | L | 45 | O |
| 2 | vs Merrimack | 63-17 | W | -45.0 | W | 76.5 | O |
| 3 | @ Duke | 21-26 | L | +16.5 | W | 47.5 | U |
| 4 | vs Florida Atlantic | 48-14 | W | -2.5 | W | 45.5 | O |
| 5 | vs Buffalo | 47-3 | W | -5.5 | W | 44.5 | O |
| 6 | vs Temple | 29-20 | W | -17.0 | L | 50.5 | U |
| 8 | vs Wake Forest | 20-23 | L | -1.0 | L | 57.5 | U |
| 9 | vs Rice | 17-10 | W | -7.5 | L | 48.5 | O |
| 10 | vs Georgia State | 34-27 | W | - | - | - | - |
| 11 | @ UAB | 31-23 | W | -6.5 | W | 56.5 | U |
| 13 | @ Syracuse | 24-31 | L | +10.5 | W | 54 | O |
| 14 | @ Massachusetts | 47-42 | W | -10.5 | L | 49.5 | O |
| 18 | @ North Carolina | 27-14 | W | +3.0 | W | 53 | U |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
8-5
61.5%
O/U Record
7-6
53.8%
Straight Up
9-4
69.2%
Home ATS4-3
Away ATS4-2
Favorite ATS5-4
Underdog ATS3-1
Last 5 ATS
LWWLW
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.002 | 47th | -0.089 | 83th |
| Red Zone | +0.117 | 72th | -0.156 | 78th |
| Third Down | -0.123 | 10th | -0.201 | 96th |
| No Garbage Time | +0.002 | 48th | -0.115 | 89th |
| First Half | -0.051 | 34th | -0.120 | 86th |
| Second Half | +0.056 | 63th | -0.057 | 73th |
| Early Downs | +0.036 | 74th | -0.087 | 75th |
| Passing Downs | -0.040 | 31th | -0.063 | 66th |
| Standard Downs | +0.024 | 60th | -0.103 | 88th |
| Goal to Go | +0.209 | 79th | -0.135 | 74th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 43.4%Rush 56.6%
Havoc/Game
13.3
Havoc Rate
19.2%
TO Margin
-0.1
Explosive/G
13.2
Yards/Game
397.6
Pts/Drive
2.26
3rd Down%
38.4%
3&Out%
22.8%
Team Statistics
2024 season totals across 13 games — UConn vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | UConn | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 415 | 300 |
| Points / Game | 31.9 | 23.1 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 268 | 235 |
| Rushing | 121 | 96 |
| Passing | 115 | 115 |
| Penalty | 32 | 24 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 516 | 453 |
| Yards | 2,590 | 1,720 |
| Yards / Carry | 5.0 | 3.8 |
| Yards / Game | 199.2 | 132.3 |
| Touchdowns | 23 | 16 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 396 | 433 |
| Completions | 222 | 268 |
| Completion % | 56.1% | 61.9% |
| Yards | 2,579 | 2,795 |
| Yards / Attempt | 6.5 | 6.5 |
| Touchdowns | 25 | 16 |
| Interceptions | 9 | 10 |
| Passer Rating | 127.05 | 123.69 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 912 | 886 |
| Yards | 5,169 | 4,515 |
| Yards / Play | 5.7 | 5.1 |
| Yards / Game | 397.6 | 347.3 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 35 | 27 |
| Yards | 261 | 229 |
| Average | 7.5 | 8.5 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 1 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 19 | 30 |
| Yards | 524 | 731 |
| Average | 27.6 | 24.4 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 2 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 63 | 86 |
| Yards | 2,702 | 3,559 |
| Average | 42.9 | 41.4 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 10 | 9 |
| Yards | 146 | 56 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 0 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 13 | 15 |
| Lost | 7 | 5 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 69 | 100 |
| Yards | 685 | 835 |
| Yards / Game | 52.7 | 64.2 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 29:57 | 30:03 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 185 | 195 |
| Conversions | 71 | 58 |
| Conversion % | 38.4% | 29.7% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 16 | 23 |
| Conversions | 8 | 11 |
| Conversion % | 50.0% | 47.8% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 44 | 43 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 41 | 36 |
| Score % | 93.2% | 83.7% |
| Touchdowns | 27 | 20 |
| TD % | 61.4% | 46.5% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 26 | 23 |
| Made | 20 | 19 |
| Pct | 76.9% | 82.6% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 49 | 34 |
| Made | 49 | 33 |
| Pct | 100.0% | 97.1% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 1 | 1 |
| Made | 0 | 0 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.