Fourth Down Data
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UAB

UAB

BlazersBalanced
American Conference3-9#114 (-5.72)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

16· DOverall
Offense
33· DRating
17· DPer play
30· DConsistency
20· DBig plays
Defense
9· FRating
15· DPer play
13· FConsistency
Situational
6· FRed-zone O
18· DRed-zone D
64· C3rd down O
20· D3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.034
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.035
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.092
Defensive EPA/play
+0.078
lower = better
Off Success Rate
45.2%
Def Success Rate
47.1%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
21.9%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
25.3%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.170
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.068
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.04

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.18
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.28
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.26
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.23
own return game
Return Defense
-0.03
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#114
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#109
market 5 higher
Recruiting Rank
#70
recruiting 44 spots higher
1 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where UAB ranks among all FBS teams in 2024 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
18th
Opp-adjusted defense
16th
Offensive EPA/play
17th
Defensive EPA/play
15th
Offensive success rate
40th
Explosiveness
20th
Defensive havoc
11th
Points per drive
31th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Virginia2023OA -0.060 / -0.007similar: pass defense, takeaway rate, rushing offense4202Louisiana Tech2022OA -0.079 / -0.123similar: pass defense, run defense, defensive EPA4033Charlotte2024OA -0.021 / -0.045similar: takeaway rate, TD drive rate, run defense3514South Florida2020OA -0.047 / -0.026similar: rushing offense, offensive EPA, passing offense3395San José State2017OA -0.187 / -0.129similar: turnover rate, pass defense, havoc rate339

2024 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Alcorn State41-3W----
2@ UL Monroe6-32L-11.0L54.5U
3@ Arkansas27-37L+24.5W61.5O
5vs Navy18-41L+3.5L57.5O
6vs Tulane20-71L+16.0L55.5O
7@ Army10-44L+26.0L54.5U
8@ South Florida25-35L+13.5W57.5O
10vs Tulsa59-21W-3.0W58O
11vs UConn23-31L+6.5L56.5U
12@ Memphis18-53L+14.0L62.5O
13vs Rice40-14W+6.5W51O
14@ Charlotte27-29L+2.5W60.5U

Betting Profile

ATS Record
6-6
50.0%
O/U Record
7-5
58.3%
Straight Up
3-9
25.0%
Home ATS3-3
Away ATS3-3
Favorite ATS2-1
Underdog ATS4-5
Last 5 ATS
WLLWW
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off33thRush Off11thRed Zone Off6th3rd Down Off65thPass Def34thRush Def13thRed Zone Def19th3rd Down Def20th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.07216th+0.07417th
Red Zone-0.2516th+0.13919th
Third Down+0.16865th+0.22620th
No Garbage Time-0.10215th+0.05225th
First Half-0.07528th-0.01951th
Second Half-0.06919th+0.1614th
Early Downs-0.1188th+0.03225th
Passing Downs-0.03433th+0.05234th
Standard Downs-0.09211th+0.08613th
Goal to Go-0.4514th-0.05963th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 53.3%Rush 46.7%
Havoc/Game
10.3
Havoc Rate
14.5%
TO Margin
-1.0
Explosive/G
11.5
Yards/Game
392.5
Pts/Drive
2.04
3rd Down%
38.0%
3&Out%
20.4%

Team Statistics

2024 season totals across 12 games — UAB vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatUABOpponents
Scoring
Points314411
Points / Game26.234.3
First Downs
Total260263
Rushing100141
Passing13790
Penalty2332
Rushing
Attempts391505
Yards1,5712,555
Yards / Carry4.05.1
Yards / Game130.9212.9
Touchdowns931
Passing
Attempts446318
Completions284174
Completion %63.7%54.7%
Yards3,1392,164
Yards / Attempt7.06.8
Touchdowns2418
Interceptions168
Passer Rating133.38125.53
Total Offense
Plays837823
Yards4,7104,719
Yards / Play5.65.7
Yards / Game392.5393.3
Punt Returns
Returns1620
Yards329169
Average20.68.4
Touchdowns20
Kickoff Returns
Returns3024
Yards651549
Average21.722.9
Touchdowns01
Punting
Punts4253
Yards1,8012,322
Average42.943.8
Interception Returns
Returns816
Yards181213
Touchdowns12
Fumbles
Fumbles2112
Lost95
Penalties
Penalties9876
Yards886715
Yards / Game73.859.6
Time of Possession
Per Game29:3030:30
Third Downs
Attempts166157
Conversions6365
Conversion %38.0%41.4%
Fourth Downs
Attempts2618
Conversions1210
Conversion %46.2%55.6%
Red Zone
Trips4456
Scores (TD + FG)3548
Score %79.5%85.7%
Touchdowns2137
TD %47.7%66.1%
Field Goals
Attempts2420
Made2116
Pct87.5%80.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts3147
Made3145
Pct100.0%95.7%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts55
Made22
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →