Fourth Down Data
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UAB

UAB

BlazersBalanced
American Conference4-8#119 (-6.42)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

12· FOverall
Offense
60· CRating
73· BPer play
82· BConsistency
81· BBig plays
Defense
1· FRating
7· FPer play
18· DConsistency
Situational
12· FRed-zone O
24· DRed-zone D
67· C3rd down O
1· F3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.012
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.113
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.069
Defensive EPA/play
+0.131
lower = better
Off Success Rate
50.1%
Def Success Rate
49.6%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
26.0%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
26.7%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.063
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.069
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.42

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-1.11
expected pts/game
Kicking
-1.10
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.05
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.03
own return game
Return Defense
+0.07
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#119
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#110
market 9 higher
Recruiting Rank
#76
recruiting 43 spots higher
0 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where UAB ranks among all FBS teams in 2023 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
58th
Opp-adjusted defense
7th
Offensive EPA/play
73th
Defensive EPA/play
7th
Offensive success rate
86th
Explosiveness
81th
Defensive havoc
33th
Points per drive
66th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Charlotte2021OA +0.009 / -0.235similar: TD drive rate, defensive success rate, turnover rate3902Coastal Carolina2019OA -0.000 / -0.063similar: havoc rate, offensive success rate, TD drive rate3663Georgia Southern2025OA +0.032 / -0.156similar: defensive EPA, pass defense, run defense3614Georgia Tech2023OA +0.059 / -0.073similar: run defense, offensive EPA, TD drive rate3535UCF2023OA +0.077 / -0.002similar: run defense, defensive success rate, havoc rate352

2023 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs North Carolina A&T35-6W----
2@ Georgia Southern35-49L+7.0L63.5O
3vs Louisiana21-41L-2.5L60O
4@ Georgia21-49L+42.5W54.5O
5@ Tulane23-35L+21.5W58.5U
6vs South Florida56-35W+3.5W68.5O
7@ UTSA20-41L+10.0L67.5U
8vs Memphis21-45L+5.5L63O
10vs Florida Atlantic45-42W+1.0W60O
11@ Navy6-31L-3.0L54.5U
12vs Temple34-24W-7.5W64.5U
13@ North Texas42-45L+3.0P74O

Betting Profile

ATS Record
5-5-1
50.0%
O/U Record
7-4
63.6%
Straight Up
4-8
33.3%
Home ATS3-2
Away ATS2-3
Favorite ATS1-2
Underdog ATS4-3
Last 5 ATS
LWLWP
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off74thRush Off68thRed Zone Off12th3rd Down Off67thPass Def10thRush Def12thRed Zone Def24th3rd Down Def1th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.06572th+0.1217th
Red Zone-0.19612th+0.11224th
Third Down+0.27567th+0.6441th
No Garbage Time+0.08178th+0.1428th
First Half+0.18693th+0.12412th
Second Half-0.06524th+0.11910th
Early Downs+0.02173th+0.00533th
Passing Downs+0.14674th+0.19410th
Standard Downs+0.03068th+0.08712th
Goal to Go-0.20114th-0.13570th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 50.1%Rush 49.9%
Havoc/Game
12.5
Havoc Rate
17.1%
TO Margin
+0.1
Explosive/G
15.9
Yards/Game
450.0
Pts/Drive
2.42
3rd Down%
40.3%
3&Out%
17.2%

Team Statistics

2023 season totals across 12 games — UAB vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatUABOpponents
Scoring
Points359443
Points / Game29.936.9
First Downs
Total285282
Rushing120130
Passing143127
Penalty2225
Rushing
Attempts426457
Yards1,9332,365
Yards / Carry4.55.2
Yards / Game161.1197.1
Touchdowns2431
Passing
Attempts427389
Completions306241
Completion %71.7%62.0%
Yards3,4672,855
Yards / Attempt8.17.3
Touchdowns2224
Interceptions1310
Passer Rating150.78138.82
Total Offense
Plays853846
Yards5,4005,220
Yards / Play6.36.2
Yards / Game450.0435.0
Punt Returns
Returns616
Yards60148
Average10.09.3
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns3143
Yards572880
Average18.520.5
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts4031
Yards1,7151,290
Average42.941.6
Interception Returns
Returns1013
Yards137390
Touchdowns12
Fumbles
Fumbles1324
Lost711
Penalties
Penalties8066
Yards675600
Yards / Game56.350.0
Time of Possession
Per Game29:1030:50
Third Downs
Attempts159158
Conversions6478
Conversion %40.3%49.4%
Fourth Downs
Attempts2727
Conversions1316
Conversion %48.1%59.3%
Red Zone
Trips5261
Scores (TD + FG)3852
Score %73.1%85.2%
Touchdowns2841
TD %53.8%67.2%
Field Goals
Attempts1817
Made1114
Pct61.1%82.4%
PAT Kicking
Attempts3955
Made3855
Pct97.4%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts82
Made32
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →