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Georgia Tech

Yellow JacketsBalanced
Atlantic Coast Conference7-6#61 (+0.85)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

55· COverall
Offense
77· BRating
75· BPer play
81· BConsistency
60· CBig plays
Defense
29· DRating
11· FPer play
4· FConsistency
Situational
70· BRed-zone O
15· DRed-zone D
72· B3rd down O
18· D3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.059
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.073
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.078
Defensive EPA/play
+0.109
lower = better
Off Success Rate
50.5%
Def Success Rate
51.6%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
24.5%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
25.5%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.031
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.004
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.56

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.55
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.70
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.20
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.01
own return game
Return Defense
-0.06
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#61
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#91
model 30 higher
Recruiting Rank
#37
recruiting 24 spots higher
11 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Georgia Tech ranks among all FBS teams in 2023 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
76th
Opp-adjusted defense
16th
Offensive EPA/play
76th
Defensive EPA/play
11th
Offensive success rate
93th
Explosiveness
61th
Defensive havoc
36th
Points per drive
75th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Oregon State2021OA +0.096 / -0.057similar: offensive success rate, havoc rate, takeaway rate3802Georgia Southern2025OA +0.032 / -0.156similar: defensive success rate, offensive EPA, run defense3583UAB2023OA +0.012 / -0.113similar: run defense, offensive EPA, TD drive rate3534Arizona2017OA +0.178 / -0.100similar: offensive success rate, takeaway rate, rushing offense3485Kansas2024OA +0.048 / -0.020similar: rushing offense, passing offense, turnover rate347

2023 Schedule & Results

13 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Louisville34-39L----
2vs South Carolina State48-13W-41.0L52.5O
3@ Ole Miss23-48L+18.0L63O
4@ Wake Forest30-16W+4.0W60U
5vs Bowling Green27-38L-22.0L51.5O
6@ Miami23-20W+21.0W57.5U
8vs Boston College23-38L-4.5L58.5O
9vs North Carolina46-42W+11.5W63.5O
10@ Virginia45-17W+2.0W55.5O
11@ Clemson21-42L+14.5L55.5O
12vs Syracuse31-22W-6.5W53P
13vs Georgia23-31L+24.0W60U
17@ UCF30-17W----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
8-5
61.5%
O/U Record
8-4-1
66.7%
Straight Up
7-6
53.8%
Home ATS4-3
Away ATS4-2
Favorite ATS1-3
Underdog ATS7-2
Last 5 ATS
WLWWW
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off54thRush Off87thRed Zone Off71th3rd Down Off73thPass Def31thRush Def6thRed Zone Def16th3rd Down Def18th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.08479th+0.10710th
Red Zone+0.09371th+0.15716th
Third Down+0.29273th+0.35518th
No Garbage Time+0.07776th+0.10811th
First Half+0.10175th+0.08621th
Second Half+0.06673th+0.1298th
Early Downs+0.03777th+0.05216th
Passing Downs+0.06354th+0.11131th
Standard Downs+0.09487th+0.1056th
Goal to Go+0.11570th+0.4197th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 43.5%Rush 56.5%
Havoc/Game
12.2
Havoc Rate
17.3%
TO Margin
+0.3
Explosive/G
15.1
Yards/Game
424.6
Pts/Drive
2.56
3rd Down%
43.1%
3&Out%
17.0%

Team Statistics

2023 season totals across 13 games — Georgia Tech vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatGeorgia TechOpponents
Scoring
Points404383
Points / Game31.129.5
First Downs
Total290287
Rushing143148
Passing123119
Penalty2420
Rushing
Attempts492535
Yards2,6492,877
Yards / Carry5.45.4
Yards / Game203.8221.3
Touchdowns2428
Passing
Attempts379368
Completions231225
Completion %60.9%61.1%
Yards2,8712,805
Yards / Attempt7.67.6
Touchdowns2718
Interceptions1714
Passer Rating139.12133.70
Total Offense
Plays871903
Yards5,5205,682
Yards / Play6.36.3
Yards / Game424.6437.1
Punt Returns
Returns1212
Yards121108
Average10.19.0
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns2326
Yards510698
Average22.226.8
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts4641
Yards1,9671,653
Average42.840.3
Interception Returns
Returns1417
Yards156195
Touchdowns03
Fumbles
Fumbles1019
Lost411
Penalties
Penalties6785
Yards582757
Yards / Game44.858.2
Time of Possession
Per Game28:3831:22
Third Downs
Attempts167170
Conversions7274
Conversion %43.1%43.5%
Fourth Downs
Attempts2326
Conversions1214
Conversion %52.2%53.8%
Red Zone
Trips5055
Scores (TD + FG)4347
Score %86.0%85.5%
Touchdowns3036
TD %60.0%65.5%
Field Goals
Attempts2222
Made1715
Pct77.3%68.2%
PAT Kicking
Attempts4647
Made4544
Pct97.8%93.6%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts52
Made10
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →