Fourth Down Data
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KU

Kansas

JayhawksRun-Heavy
Big 12 Conference5-7#56 (+2.01)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

58· COverall
Offense
77· BRating
86· BPer play
86· BConsistency
83· BBig plays
Defense
48· CRating
21· DPer play
39· DConsistency
Situational
64· CRed-zone O
81· BRed-zone D
94· A3rd down O
52· C3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.048
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.020
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.119
Defensive EPA/play
+0.066
lower = better
Off Success Rate
50.1%
Def Success Rate
45.5%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
25.8%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
27.3%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.054
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.002
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.65

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.59
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.02
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.45
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.09
own return game
Return Defense
-0.07
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#56
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#45
market 11 higher
Recruiting Rank
#63
model 7 spots higher
3 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Kansas ranks among all FBS teams in 2024 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
87th
Opp-adjusted defense
28th
Offensive EPA/play
87th
Defensive EPA/play
21th
Offensive success rate
88th
Explosiveness
84th
Defensive havoc
67th
Points per drive
78th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Boise State2023OA +0.080 / -0.028similar: offensive EPA, rushing offense, turnover rate3782Oregon State2021OA +0.096 / -0.057similar: takeaway rate, offensive EPA, run defense3683Ohio2025OA +0.039 / -0.025similar: offensive success rate, TD drive rate, offensive EPA3614Nevada2026OA +0.038 / +0.011similar: rushing offense, offensive EPA, defensive success rate3575Charlotte2019OA +0.119 / -0.146similar: offensive success rate, TD drive rate, pass defense350

2024 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Lindenwood48-3W----
2@ Illinois17-23L-6.0L55.5U
3vs UNLV20-23L----
4@ West Virginia28-32L+2.0L57.5O
5vs TCU27-38L-2.0L59O
6@ Arizona State31-35L+2.5L50.5O
8vs Houston42-14W-6.5W46.5O
9@ Kansas State27-29L+10.0W55.5O
11vs Iowa State45-36W+3.0W50O
12@ BYU17-13W+3.0W55.5U
13vs Colorado37-21W+2.5W59.5U
14@ Baylor17-45L-1.5L61.5O

Betting Profile

ATS Record
5-7
41.7%
O/U Record
7-5
58.3%
Straight Up
5-7
41.7%
Home ATS3-3
Away ATS2-4
Favorite ATS1-5
Underdog ATS4-2
Last 5 ATS
WWWWL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off81thRush Off88thRed Zone Off64th3rd Down Off95thPass Def47thRush Def10thRed Zone Def81th3rd Down Def53th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.12290th+0.06819th
Red Zone+0.07564th-0.17381th
Third Down+0.37795th+0.06953th
No Garbage Time+0.13091th+0.08713th
First Half+0.19797th+0.10513th
Second Half+0.04160th+0.02940th
Early Downs+0.05380th+0.07413th
Passing Downs+0.12981th+0.02247th
Standard Downs+0.11988th+0.09410th
Goal to Go-0.07434th-0.11269th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 39.9%Rush 60.1%
Havoc/Game
13.3
Havoc Rate
20.3%
TO Margin
0.0
Explosive/G
15.4
Yards/Game
420.2
Pts/Drive
2.65
3rd Down%
51.0%
3&Out%
14.9%

Team Statistics

2024 season totals across 12 games — Kansas vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatKansasOpponents
Scoring
Points356312
Points / Game29.726.0
First Downs
Total258255
Rushing133115
Passing108126
Penalty1714
Rushing
Attempts460412
Yards2,5371,842
Yards / Carry5.54.5
Yards / Game211.4153.5
Touchdowns2910
Passing
Attempts306360
Completions176227
Completion %57.5%63.1%
Yards2,5052,869
Yards / Attempt8.28.0
Touchdowns1525
Interceptions1212
Passer Rating134.61146.25
Total Offense
Plays766772
Yards5,0424,711
Yards / Play6.66.1
Yards / Game420.2392.6
Punt Returns
Returns812
Yards55178
Average6.914.8
Touchdowns01
Kickoff Returns
Returns2714
Yards445305
Average16.521.8
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts3439
Yards1,4211,613
Average41.841.4
Interception Returns
Returns1212
Yards120193
Touchdowns21
Fumbles
Fumbles109
Lost55
Penalties
Penalties5454
Yards464489
Yards / Game38.740.8
Time of Possession
Per Game31:0428:56
Third Downs
Attempts147152
Conversions7567
Conversion %51.0%44.1%
Fourth Downs
Attempts1519
Conversions1011
Conversion %66.7%57.9%
Red Zone
Trips4740
Scores (TD + FG)4232
Score %89.4%80.0%
Touchdowns3220
TD %68.1%50.0%
Field Goals
Attempts1520
Made1216
Pct80.0%80.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts4634
Made4434
Pct95.7%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts03
Made03
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →