Fourth Down Data
← All Teams
UAB

UAB

BlazersRun-Heavy
American Conference7-6#67 (+0.27)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

51· COverall
Offense
56· CRating
78· BPer play
68· CConsistency
90· A-Big plays
Defense
57· CRating
44· CPer play
36· DConsistency
Situational
29· DRed-zone O
12· FRed-zone D
90· A-3rd down O
18· D3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.012
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.013
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.084
Defensive EPA/play
-0.005
lower = better
Off Success Rate
47.6%
Def Success Rate
46.8%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
27.6%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
24.5%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.090
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.060
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.55

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.35
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.11
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.07
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.60
own return game
Return Defense
-0.91
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#67
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#31
market 36 higher
Recruiting Rank
#75
model 8 spots higher
0 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where UAB ranks among all FBS teams in 2022 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
45th
Opp-adjusted defense
46th
Offensive EPA/play
79th
Defensive EPA/play
45th
Offensive success rate
65th
Explosiveness
91th
Defensive havoc
57th
Points per drive
70th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Louisville2020OA +0.021 / -0.013similar: passing offense, defensive EPA, havoc rate4142Louisville2017OA +0.148 / -0.016similar: havoc rate, defensive EPA, defensive success rate3623UCF2023OA +0.077 / -0.002similar: offensive success rate, offensive EPA, TD drive rate3624Tulane2019OA +0.046 / +0.029similar: rushing offense, takeaway rate, offensive EPA3475Memphis2019OA +0.169 / -0.025similar: havoc rate, defensive EPA, takeaway rate346

2022 Schedule & Results

13 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Alabama A&M59-0W----
2@ Liberty14-21L-6.0L50U
3vs Georgia Southern35-21W-12.0W57U
5@ Rice24-28L-10.0L51.5O
6vs Middle Tennessee41-14W-9.5W53.5O
7vs Charlotte34-20W+1.5L57.5U
8@ Western Kentucky17-20L----
9@ Florida Atlantic17-24L-4.5L46.5U
10vs UTSA38-44L+1.5L52O
11vs North Texas41-21W-6.0W57.5O
12@ LSU10-41L+14.5L52.5U
13@ Louisiana Tech37-27W-17.5L56O
16vs Miami (OH)24-20W----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
3-9
25.0%
O/U Record
5-7
41.7%
Straight Up
7-6
53.8%
Home ATS3-3
Away ATS0-6
Favorite ATS3-6
Underdog ATS0-3
Last 5 ATS
LWLLL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off67thRush Off76thRed Zone Off30th3rd Down Off91thPass Def51thRush Def44thRed Zone Def13th3rd Down Def19th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.06673th-0.01148th
Red Zone-0.10330th+0.21313th
Third Down+0.39491th+0.22819th
No Garbage Time+0.07876th-0.01146th
First Half+0.07173th-0.07170th
Second Half+0.06176th+0.05321th
Early Downs+0.02968th-0.07776th
Passing Downs+0.07567th-0.02051th
Standard Downs+0.06276th-0.00744th
Goal to Go-0.19026th+0.5431th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 37.8%Rush 62.2%
Havoc/Game
13.1
Havoc Rate
18.9%
TO Margin
0.0
Explosive/G
16.2
Yards/Game
437.9
Pts/Drive
2.55
3rd Down%
44.9%
3&Out%
14.8%

Team Statistics

2022 season totals across 13 games — UAB vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatUABOpponents
Scoring
Points391301
Points / Game30.123.2
First Downs
Total279256
Rushing143109
Passing109125
Penalty2722
Rushing
Attempts528473
Yards3,0592,157
Yards / Carry5.84.6
Yards / Game235.3165.9
Touchdowns3223
Passing
Attempts321406
Completions194232
Completion %60.4%57.1%
Yards2,6342,534
Yards / Attempt8.26.2
Touchdowns1516
Interceptions710
Passer Rating140.42117.65
Total Offense
Plays849879
Yards5,6934,691
Yards / Play6.75.3
Yards / Game437.9360.8
Punt Returns
Returns1316
Yards126191
Average9.711.9
Touchdowns20
Kickoff Returns
Returns2629
Yards556607
Average21.420.9
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts4457
Yards1,9922,441
Average45.342.8
Interception Returns
Returns107
Yards20071
Touchdowns10
Fumbles
Fumbles1810
Lost118
Penalties
Penalties9174
Yards797652
Yards / Game61.350.2
Time of Possession
Per Game31:5527:54
Third Downs
Attempts167189
Conversions7577
Conversion %44.9%40.7%
Fourth Downs
Attempts2735
Conversions1319
Conversion %48.1%54.3%
Red Zone
Trips5145
Scores (TD + FG)4038
Score %78.4%84.4%
Touchdowns3133
TD %60.8%73.3%
Field Goals
Attempts1913
Made148
Pct73.7%61.5%
PAT Kicking
Attempts4737
Made4735
Pct100.0%94.6%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts33
Made11
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →