Fourth Down Data
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TULN

Tulane

Green WaveRun-Heavy
American Conference9-5#28 (+4.86)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

79· BOverall
Offense
79· BRating
70· BPer play
74· BConsistency
59· CBig plays
Defense
72· BRating
76· BPer play
66· CConsistency
Situational
78· BRed-zone O
93· ARed-zone D
93· A3rd down O
38· D3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.022
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.033
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.053
Defensive EPA/play
-0.082
lower = better
Off Success Rate
49.2%
Def Success Rate
42.9%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
24.2%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
21.7%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.135
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.198
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.62

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.56
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.23
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.18
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.11
own return game
Return Defense
+0.04
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#28
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#27
market 1 higher
Recruiting Rank
#70
model 42 spots higher
1 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Tulane ranks among all FBS teams in 2024 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
72th
Opp-adjusted defense
80th
Offensive EPA/play
71th
Defensive EPA/play
77th
Offensive success rate
79th
Explosiveness
60th
Defensive havoc
66th
Points per drive
77th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Washington2025OA +0.037 / +0.079similar: defensive EPA, passing offense, takeaway rate4312Fresno State2018OA +0.015 / +0.140similar: offensive success rate, defensive success rate, offensive EPA4183Georgia2017OA +0.162 / +0.179similar: passing offense, havoc rate, offensive success rate4134Oregon2025OA +0.146 / +0.155similar: takeaway rate, offensive success rate, pass defense4105Oregon2019OA +0.082 / +0.145similar: rushing offense, offensive EPA, TD drive rate402

2024 Schedule & Results

14 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Southeastern Louisiana52-0W----
2vs Kansas State27-34L+10.0W49.5O
3@ Oklahoma19-34L+13.5L46.5O
4@ Louisiana41-33W-2.5W53.5O
5vs South Florida45-10W-5.0W64U
6@ UAB71-20W-16.0W55.5O
8vs Rice24-10W-22.5L53U
9@ North Texas45-37W-16.5W55.5U
10@ Charlotte34-3W----
11vs Temple52-6W-26.5W49.5O
12@ Navy35-0W-7.0W54U
14vs Memphis24-34L-4.5L45.5O
15@ Army14-35L----
17@ Florida8-33L----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
9-5
64.3%
O/U Record
8-6
57.1%
Straight Up
9-5
64.3%
Home ATS4-2
Away ATS5-3
Favorite ATS8-3
Underdog ATS1-2
Last 5 ATS
WWLLL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off95thRush Off51thRed Zone Off78th3rd Down Off94thPass Def84thRush Def70thRed Zone Def94th3rd Down Def38th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.08081th-0.08781th
Red Zone+0.13678th-0.26494th
Third Down+0.37694th+0.14038th
No Garbage Time+0.04569th-0.09081th
First Half+0.11484th-0.13489th
Second Half+0.04660th-0.03765th
Early Downs-0.02149th-0.11385th
Passing Downs+0.21795th-0.13484th
Standard Downs+0.01151th-0.05970th
Goal to Go+0.18072th-0.19681th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 36.7%Rush 63.3%
Havoc/Game
12.6
Havoc Rate
20.0%
TO Margin
+0.5
Explosive/G
12.7
Yards/Game
405.0
Pts/Drive
2.62
3rd Down%
50.3%
3&Out%
17.6%

Team Statistics

2024 season totals across 14 games — Tulane vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatTulaneOpponents
Scoring
Points491289
Points / Game35.120.6
First Downs
Total291244
Rushing147102
Passing119115
Penalty2527
Rushing
Attempts567456
Yards2,7392,041
Yards / Carry4.84.5
Yards / Game195.6145.8
Touchdowns3220
Passing
Attempts329404
Completions207235
Completion %62.9%58.2%
Yards2,9312,488
Yards / Attempt8.96.2
Touchdowns2513
Interceptions914
Passer Rating157.36113.59
Total Offense
Plays896860
Yards5,6704,529
Yards / Play6.35.3
Yards / Game405.0323.5
Punt Returns
Returns129
Yards6184
Average5.19.3
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns2923
Yards696471
Average24.020.5
Touchdowns20
Punting
Punts4260
Yards1,7962,489
Average42.841.5
Interception Returns
Returns149
Yards24528
Touchdowns50
Fumbles
Fumbles1317
Lost68
Penalties
Penalties8680
Yards701653
Yards / Game50.146.6
Time of Possession
Per Game32:1327:47
Third Downs
Attempts171176
Conversions8658
Conversion %50.3%33.0%
Fourth Downs
Attempts2229
Conversions1012
Conversion %45.5%41.4%
Red Zone
Trips6544
Scores (TD + FG)5637
Score %86.2%84.1%
Touchdowns4521
TD %69.2%47.7%
Field Goals
Attempts1820
Made1318
Pct72.2%90.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts6231
Made5831
Pct93.5%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts33
Made20
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →