Fourth Down Data
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TULN

Tulane

Green WaveRun-Heavy
American Conference7-6#61 (+1.04)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

54· COverall
Offense
29· DRating
30· DPer play
12· FConsistency
34· DBig plays
Defense
64· CRating
61· CPer play
90· A-Consistency
Situational
92· A-Red-zone O
86· BRed-zone D
55· C3rd down O
62· C3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.062
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.035
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.038
Defensive EPA/play
-0.046
lower = better
Off Success Rate
41.9%
Def Success Rate
42.2%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
23.0%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
21.6%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.008
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.008
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.96

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.04
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.37
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.40
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.04
own return game
Return Defense
+0.05
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#61
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#77
model 16 spots higher
0 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Tulane ranks among all FBS teams in 2018 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
25th
Opp-adjusted defense
63th
Offensive EPA/play
30th
Defensive EPA/play
61th
Offensive success rate
13th
Explosiveness
35th
Defensive havoc
89th
Points per drive
33th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1South Florida2024OA -0.014 / +0.005similar: offensive EPA, offensive success rate, run defense3772TCU2020OA -0.008 / +0.043similar: offensive EPA, TD drive rate, rushing offense3573UAB2020OA -0.016 / +0.042similar: run defense, havoc rate, offensive EPA3394Wisconsin2022OA -0.016 / +0.093similar: pass defense, defensive success rate, turnover rate3365Florida2017OA +0.003 / +0.060similar: run defense, pass defense, defensive EPA335

2018 Schedule & Results

13 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Wake Forest17-23L-3.5W60.5O
2vs Nicholls State42-17W-17.0W49.5O
3@ UAB24-31L-3.5L57.5U
4@ Ohio State6-49L+37.5L66.5U
5vs Memphis40-24W+14.5W66U
6@ Cincinnati21-37L+7.0L48O
8vs SMU23-27L-7.0L55.5U
9@ Tulsa24-17W-1.0W49U
10@ South Florida41-15W+6.0W60.5U
11vs East Carolina24-18W-10.5L53U
12@ Houston17-48L+7.5L68U
13vs Navy29-28W-5.0L51.5O
16@ Louisiana41-24W----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
5-7
41.7%
O/U Record
4-8
33.3%
Straight Up
7-5
58.3%
Home ATS2-3
Away ATS3-4
Favorite ATS3-4
Underdog ATS2-3
Last 5 ATS
WWLLL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off50thRush Off22thRed Zone Off92th3rd Down Off55thPass Def52thRush Def65thRed Zone Def87th3rd Down Def63th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.03930th-0.02959th
Red Zone+0.23292th-0.18487th
Third Down+0.07655th-0.02463th
No Garbage Time-0.04129th-0.04361th
First Half-0.05829th-0.01449th
Second Half-0.02239th-0.04469th
Early Downs-0.04431th-0.05664th
Passing Downs-0.00050th+0.00352th
Standard Downs-0.06322th-0.04965th
Goal to Go+0.16973th-0.19583th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 33.2%Rush 66.8%
Havoc/Game
17.2
Havoc Rate
22.7%
TO Margin
-0.1
Explosive/G
14.5
Yards/Game
401.1
Pts/Drive
1.96
3rd Down%
35.4%
3&Out%
25.5%

Team Statistics

2018 season totals across 13 games — Tulane vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatTulaneOpponents
Scoring
Points349358
Points / Game26.827.5
First Downs
Total243280
Rushing133106
Passing93145
Penalty1729
Rushing
Attempts604494
Yards2,8361,915
Yards / Carry4.73.9
Yards / Game218.2147.3
Touchdowns2920
Passing
Attempts300457
Completions151239
Completion %50.3%52.3%
Yards2,3783,373
Yards / Attempt7.97.4
Touchdowns1525
Interceptions712
Passer Rating128.75127.10
Total Offense
Plays904951
Yards5,2145,288
Yards / Play5.85.6
Yards / Game401.1406.8
Punt Returns
Returns2719
Yards144179
Average5.39.4
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns3626
Yards808485
Average22.418.7
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts7473
Yards3,0512,917
Average41.240.0
Interception Returns
Returns127
Yards116163
Touchdowns10
Fumbles
Fumbles1714
Lost126
Penalties
Penalties8882
Yards805737
Yards / Game61.956.7
Time of Possession
Per Game32:1527:45
Third Downs
Attempts189193
Conversions6765
Conversion %35.4%33.7%
Fourth Downs
Attempts2829
Conversions1014
Conversion %35.7%48.3%
Red Zone
Trips3345
Scores (TD + FG)3035
Score %90.9%77.8%
Touchdowns2225
TD %66.7%55.6%
Field Goals
Attempts1318
Made1013
Pct76.9%72.2%
PAT Kicking
Attempts4342
Made4139
Pct95.3%92.9%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts24
Made22
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →