Fourth Down Data
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UAB

UAB

BlazersRun-Heavy
American Conference6-3#39 (+3.37)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

70· BOverall
Offense
47· CRating
33· DPer play
40· CConsistency
26· DBig plays
Defense
84· BRating
89· BPer play
98· A+Consistency
Situational
88· BRed-zone O
39· DRed-zone D
56· C3rd down O
77· B3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.016
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.042
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.031
Defensive EPA/play
-0.126
lower = better
Off Success Rate
45.8%
Def Success Rate
39.5%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
22.4%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
22.7%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.095
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.035
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.11

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.01
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.63
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.49
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.01
own return game
Return Defense
-0.15
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#39
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#26
market 13 higher
Recruiting Rank
—
no recruiting profile

Peer Context

Where UAB ranks among all FBS teams in 2020 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
33th
Opp-adjusted defense
89th
Offensive EPA/play
33th
Defensive EPA/play
90th
Offensive success rate
35th
Explosiveness
26th
Defensive havoc
87th
Points per drive
47th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Wisconsin2022OA -0.016 / +0.093similar: defensive EPA, passing offense, TD drive rate3842Toledo2022OA -0.078 / +0.060similar: turnover rate, rushing offense, havoc rate3733Pittsburgh2022OA -0.021 / +0.091similar: defensive success rate, TD drive rate, defensive EPA3714Michigan2017OA -0.033 / +0.192similar: pass defense, defensive success rate, passing offense3525Cincinnati2019OA +0.024 / +0.099similar: passing offense, TD drive rate, defensive EPA342

2020 Schedule & Results

9 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Central Arkansas45-35W+13.8L54.5U
2@ Miami14-31L----
4@ South Alabama42-10W----
5vs UTSA21-13W-20.3L54.5U
7vs Western Kentucky37-14W-13.5W44.5O
8vs Louisiana20-24L----
9@ Louisiana Tech34-37L-12.0L47.5O
15@ Rice21-16W+4.5W43.5U
16@ Marshall22-13W----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
3-6
33.3%
O/U Record
4-5
44.4%
Straight Up
6-3
66.7%
Home ATS1-3
Away ATS2-3
Favorite ATS2-4
Underdog ATS1-2
Last 5 ATS
LWLLW
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off51thRush Off28thRed Zone Off89th3rd Down Off56thPass Def98thRush Def70thRed Zone Def40th3rd Down Def77th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.02438th-0.12091th
Red Zone+0.27689th+0.03540th
Third Down+0.10756th-0.07277th
No Garbage Time-0.03134th-0.12691th
First Half-0.01343th-0.13691th
Second Half-0.03634th-0.10382th
Early Downs-0.07026th-0.05273th
Passing Downs+0.03351th-0.24798th
Standard Downs-0.05628th-0.03870th
Goal to Go+0.32383th-0.07969th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 40.0%Rush 60.0%
Havoc/Game
14.8
Havoc Rate
22.1%
TO Margin
-0.2
Explosive/G
14.8
Yards/Game
401.3
Pts/Drive
2.11
3rd Down%
42.3%
3&Out%
20.0%

Team Statistics

2020 season totals across 9 games — UAB vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatUABOpponents
Scoring
Points256193
Points / Game28.421.4
First Downs
Total174162
Rushing7963
Passing8175
Penalty1424
Rushing
Attempts366312
Yards1,8001,241
Yards / Carry4.94.0
Yards / Game200.0137.9
Touchdowns175
Passing
Attempts244285
Completions136150
Completion %55.7%52.6%
Yards1,8121,559
Yards / Attempt7.45.5
Touchdowns1415
Interceptions98
Passer Rating129.68110.34
Total Offense
Plays610597
Yards3,6122,800
Yards / Play5.94.7
Yards / Game401.3311.1
Punt Returns
Returns712
Yards7577
Average10.76.4
Touchdowns10
Kickoff Returns
Returns1331
Yards269753
Average20.724.3
Touchdowns01
Punting
Punts4651
Yards1,9582,204
Average42.643.2
Interception Returns
Returns89
Yards39219
Touchdowns01
Fumbles
Fumbles99
Lost76
Penalties
Penalties8243
Yards768417
Yards / Game85.346.3
Time of Possession
Per Game32:2627:34
Third Downs
Attempts130131
Conversions5539
Conversion %42.3%29.8%
Fourth Downs
Attempts924
Conversions614
Conversion %66.7%58.3%
Red Zone
Trips3624
Scores (TD + FG)3321
Score %91.7%87.5%
Touchdowns2413
TD %66.7%54.2%
Field Goals
Attempts1215
Made1111
Pct91.7%73.3%
PAT Kicking
Attempts3222
Made3122
Pct96.9%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts01
Made00
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →