Fourth Down Data
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Texas Tech

Red RaidersBalanced
Big 12 Conference8-5#77 (-0.59)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

43· COverall
Offense
67· CRating
69· CPer play
44· CConsistency
72· BBig plays
Defense
20· DRating
13· FPer play
7· FConsistency
Situational
66· CRed-zone O
47· CRed-zone D
98· A+3rd down O
61· C3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.014
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.036
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.052
Defensive EPA/play
+0.086
lower = better
Off Success Rate
46.1%
Def Success Rate
50.3%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
24.9%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
25.2%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.033
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.156
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.63

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.97
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.62
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.41
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.10
own return game
Return Defense
+0.05
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#77
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#65
market 12 higher
Recruiting Rank
#38
recruiting 39 spots higher
12 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Texas Tech ranks among all FBS teams in 2024 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
63th
Opp-adjusted defense
15th
Offensive EPA/play
69th
Defensive EPA/play
13th
Offensive success rate
51th
Explosiveness
72th
Defensive havoc
20th
Points per drive
78th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Eastern Michigan2022OA +0.042 / -0.141similar: TD drive rate, offensive EPA, takeaway rate3652SMU2017OA +0.140 / -0.078similar: defensive EPA, pass defense, turnover rate3563Missouri2021OA +0.061 / -0.103similar: pass defense, defensive EPA, offensive success rate3494Colorado State2017OA +0.040 / -0.109similar: defensive EPA, turnover rate, TD drive rate3455North Carolina2021OA +0.091 / -0.074similar: defensive EPA, havoc rate, TD drive rate345

2024 Schedule & Results

13 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Abilene Christian52-51W-32.5L56.5O
2@ Washington State16-37L-1.0L66U
3vs North Texas66-21W-9.5W69O
4vs Arizona State30-22W-2.5W59.5U
5vs Cincinnati44-41W-2.5W58.5O
6@ Arizona28-22W+6.5W64U
8vs Baylor35-59L-6.5L55.5O
9@ TCU34-35L+6.5W67O
10@ Iowa State23-22W+14.0W56U
11vs Colorado27-41L+3.5L62.5O
13@ Oklahoma State56-48W-3.5W67.5O
14vs West Virginia52-15W-3.5W64.5O
18@ Arkansas26-39L----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
8-5
61.5%
O/U Record
9-4
69.2%
Straight Up
8-5
61.5%
Home ATS4-3
Away ATS4-2
Favorite ATS5-3
Underdog ATS3-2
Last 5 ATS
WLWWL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off65thRush Off70thRed Zone Off66th3rd Down Off99thPass Def20thRush Def13thRed Zone Def47th3rd Down Def61th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.05872th+0.09511th
Red Zone+0.08166th+0.01147th
Third Down+0.41899th+0.04261th
No Garbage Time+0.05976th+0.07916th
First Half+0.09579th-0.02654th
Second Half+0.01949th+0.2081th
Early Downs+0.01059th+0.0978th
Passing Downs+0.07865th+0.11920th
Standard Downs+0.04870th+0.08313th
Goal to Go-0.11329th+0.12425th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 53.1%Rush 46.9%
Havoc/Game
11.2
Havoc Rate
15.5%
TO Margin
+0.1
Explosive/G
17.1
Yards/Game
462.7
Pts/Drive
2.63
3rd Down%
49.0%
3&Out%
14.6%

Team Statistics

2024 season totals across 13 games — Texas Tech vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatTexas TechOpponents
Scoring
Points489453
Points / Game37.634.8
First Downs
Total319301
Rushing12499
Passing174175
Penalty2127
Rushing
Attempts474443
Yards2,1581,977
Yards / Carry4.64.5
Yards / Game166.0152.1
Touchdowns2628
Passing
Attempts536475
Completions336304
Completion %62.7%64.0%
Yards3,8574,005
Yards / Attempt7.28.4
Touchdowns3128
Interceptions1114
Passer Rating138.11148.38
Total Offense
Plays1,010918
Yards6,0155,982
Yards / Play6.06.5
Yards / Game462.7460.2
Punt Returns
Returns1114
Yards67164
Average6.111.7
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns4421
Yards922327
Average21.015.6
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts4749
Yards1,9822,071
Average42.242.3
Interception Returns
Returns1411
Yards126161
Touchdowns20
Fumbles
Fumbles1720
Lost108
Penalties
Penalties9585
Yards792706
Yards / Game60.954.3
Time of Possession
Per Game30:1129:49
Third Downs
Attempts208171
Conversions10265
Conversion %49.0%38.0%
Fourth Downs
Attempts2926
Conversions1415
Conversion %48.3%57.7%
Red Zone
Trips6257
Scores (TD + FG)5650
Score %90.3%87.7%
Touchdowns4036
TD %64.5%63.2%
Field Goals
Attempts2427
Made2220
Pct91.7%74.1%
PAT Kicking
Attempts5352
Made5349
Pct100.0%94.2%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts75
Made40
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →