Fourth Down Data
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TEM

Temple

OwlsBalanced
American Conference5-7#108 (-10.46)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

21· DOverall
Offense
60· CRating
81· BPer play
65· CConsistency
74· BBig plays
Defense
4· FRating
8· FPer play
4· FConsistency
Situational
78· BRed-zone O
13· FRed-zone D
12· F3rd down O
26· D3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.068
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.135
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.098
Defensive EPA/play
+0.114
lower = better
Off Success Rate
46.7%
Def Success Rate
49.3%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
24.3%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
26.2%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.016
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.047
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.45

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.96
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.36
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-1.29
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.04
own return game
Return Defense
+0.02
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#108
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
Market (Vegas)
#103
market 5 higher
Recruiting Rank
#79
recruiting 29 spots higher
0 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Temple ranks among all FBS teams in 2025 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
75th
Opp-adjusted defense
7th
Offensive EPA/play
82th
Defensive EPA/play
8th
Offensive success rate
55th
Explosiveness
75th
Defensive havoc
16th
Points per drive
67th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Stanford2020OA +0.023 / -0.041similar: defensive EPA, TD drive rate, offensive EPA3592Oregon State2019OA +0.104 / -0.130similar: turnover rate, offensive EPA, takeaway rate3583Michigan State2025OA +0.075 / -0.070similar: havoc rate, turnover rate, defensive EPA3574Western Michigan2024OA +0.021 / -0.047similar: TD drive rate, defensive EPA, offensive EPA3545Michigan2020OA +0.019 / -0.036similar: pass defense, defensive success rate, TD drive rate345

2025 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1@ Massachusetts42-10W-14.5W52.5U
2vs Howard55-7W-27.5W46.5O
3vs Oklahoma3-42L+24.0L51.5U
4@ Georgia Tech24-45L+32.5W60.5O
6vs UTSA27-21W+6.5W58U
7vs Navy31-32L-3.5L50.5O
8@ Charlotte49-14W-33.0W59.5O
9@ Tulsa38-37W-4.5L67.5O
10vs East Carolina14-45L+5.5L57.5O
11@ Army13-14L+7.0W45.5U
13vs Tulane13-37L+13.5L55.5U
14@ North Texas25-52L----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
7-5
58.3%
O/U Record
7-5
58.3%
Straight Up
5-7
41.7%
Home ATS2-4
Away ATS5-1
Favorite ATS3-2
Underdog ATS4-3
Last 5 ATS
LLWWL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off47thRush Off96thRed Zone Off79th3rd Down Off12thPass Def41thRush Def17thRed Zone Def13th3rd Down Def26th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.08981th+0.05126th
Red Zone+0.14279th+0.18513th
Third Down-0.17612th+0.15426th
No Garbage Time+0.10484th+0.10611th
First Half+0.09678th+0.12111th
Second Half+0.07979th-0.02253th
Early Downs+0.12194th-0.01848th
Passing Downs-0.02847th+0.01041th
Standard Downs+0.14996th+0.07017th
Goal to Go+0.18276th+0.19324th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 46.3%Rush 53.7%
Havoc/Game
10.1
Havoc Rate
15.1%
TO Margin
+0.9
Explosive/G
12.1
Yards/Game
344.8
Pts/Drive
2.45
3rd Down%
37.6%
3&Out%
20.6%

Team Statistics

2025 season totals across 12 games — Temple vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatTempleOpponents
Scoring
Points334356
Points / Game27.829.7
First Downs
Total219249
Rushing91120
Passing115102
Penalty1327
Rushing
Attempts403473
Yards1,7692,368
Yards / Carry4.45.0
Yards / Game147.4197.3
Touchdowns1327
Passing
Attempts347309
Completions214189
Completion %61.7%61.2%
Yards2,3692,394
Yards / Attempt6.87.7
Touchdowns2818
Interceptions27
Passer Rating144.49140.94
Total Offense
Plays750782
Yards4,1384,762
Yards / Play5.56.1
Yards / Game344.8396.8
Punt Returns
Returns125
Yards1749
Average14.51.8
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns2214
Yards364322
Average16.523.0
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts6246
Yards2,6152,147
Average42.246.7
Interception Returns
Returns72
Yards10615
Touchdowns10
Fumbles
Fumbles712
Lost28
Penalties
Penalties6061
Yards606502
Yards / Game50.541.8
Time of Possession
Per Game30:0629:52
Third Downs
Attempts157147
Conversions5959
Conversion %37.6%40.1%
Fourth Downs
Attempts1923
Conversions1417
Conversion %73.7%73.9%
Red Zone
Trips4245
Scores (TD + FG)3841
Score %90.5%91.1%
Touchdowns3033
TD %71.4%73.3%
Field Goals
Attempts1414
Made1113
Pct78.6%92.9%
PAT Kicking
Attempts4141
Made4141
Pct100.0%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts24
Made13
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →