Fourth Down Data
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TEM

Temple

OwlsBalanced
American Conference8-5#72 (-2.05)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

47· COverall
Offense
16· DRating
25· DPer play
33· DConsistency
18· DBig plays
Defense
75· BRating
72· BPer play
91· A-Consistency
Situational
26· DRed-zone O
77· BRed-zone D
20· D3rd down O
38· D3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.103
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.056
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.063
Defensive EPA/play
-0.064
lower = better
Off Success Rate
44.2%
Def Success Rate
41.9%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
21.5%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
22.5%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.001
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.105
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.89

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.65
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.14
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.57
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.06
own return game
Return Defense
+0.12
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#72
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
Market (Vegas)
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#64
recruiting 8 spots higher
1 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Temple ranks among all FBS teams in 2019 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
12th
Opp-adjusted defense
72th
Offensive EPA/play
25th
Defensive EPA/play
73th
Offensive success rate
29th
Explosiveness
19th
Defensive havoc
66th
Points per drive
30th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Troy2025OA -0.100 / +0.021similar: defensive EPA, takeaway rate, havoc rate3872Toledo2024OA -0.022 / +0.030similar: turnover rate, offensive EPA, havoc rate3863Western Kentucky2018OA -0.103 / +0.001similar: rushing offense, pass defense, offensive success rate3834Texas2017OA -0.139 / +0.201similar: rushing offense, defensive success rate, pass defense3825Miami2019OA -0.046 / +0.076similar: TD drive rate, rushing offense, offensive EPA375

2019 Schedule & Results

13 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Bucknell56-12W+6.0L56.5O
3vs Maryland20-17W+5.0W66U
4@ Buffalo22-38L-14.0L51O
5vs Georgia Tech24-2W-9.5W47.5U
6@ East Carolina27-17W-12.5L46U
7vs Memphis30-28W+3.5W50O
8@ SMU21-45L+9.0L60.5O
9vs UCF21-63L+11.0L61.5O
11@ South Florida17-7W0.0W50U
12vs Tulane29-21W+7.0W53U
13@ Cincinnati13-15L+9.0W44.5U
14vs UConn49-17W-27.0W48O
18vs North Carolina13-55L----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
7-5
58.3%
O/U Record
6-6
50.0%
Straight Up
7-5
58.3%
Home ATS5-2
Away ATS2-3
Favorite ATS2-2
Underdog ATS5-3
Last 5 ATS
LWWWW
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off28thRush Off30thRed Zone Off26th3rd Down Off20thPass Def46thRush Def83thRed Zone Def78th3rd Down Def39th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.05925th-0.06375th
Red Zone-0.14326th-0.15778th
Third Down-0.12820th+0.07639th
No Garbage Time-0.05826th-0.05971th
First Half-0.07022th-0.07269th
Second Half-0.04732th-0.05371th
Early Downs-0.04831th-0.11488th
Passing Downs-0.09228th+0.00946th
Standard Downs-0.04130th-0.10483th
Goal to Go+0.10168th-0.36288th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 49.6%Rush 50.4%
Havoc/Game
15.6
Havoc Rate
20.0%
TO Margin
0.0
Explosive/G
13.7
Yards/Game
392.0
Pts/Drive
1.89
3rd Down%
37.8%
3&Out%
23.6%

Team Statistics

2019 season totals across 13 games — Temple vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatTempleOpponents
Scoring
Points342337
Points / Game26.325.9
First Downs
Total263281
Rushing92121
Passing146124
Penalty2536
Rushing
Attempts479541
Yards1,7842,066
Yards / Carry3.73.8
Yards / Game137.2158.9
Touchdowns1619
Passing
Attempts472455
Completions282242
Completion %59.7%53.2%
Yards3,3122,846
Yards / Attempt7.06.3
Touchdowns2621
Interceptions138
Passer Rating131.36117.44
Total Offense
Plays951996
Yards5,0964,912
Yards / Play5.44.9
Yards / Game392.0377.8
Punt Returns
Returns1314
Yards68105
Average5.27.5
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns3919
Yards781352
Average20.018.5
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts6570
Yards2,4693,042
Average38.043.5
Interception Returns
Returns813
Yards110104
Touchdowns13
Fumbles
Fumbles1817
Lost712
Penalties
Penalties9269
Yards801596
Yards / Game61.645.8
Time of Possession
Per Game29:1630:44
Third Downs
Attempts201211
Conversions7680
Conversion %37.8%37.9%
Fourth Downs
Attempts3636
Conversions1518
Conversion %41.7%50.0%
Red Zone
Trips5050
Scores (TD + FG)3735
Score %74.0%70.0%
Touchdowns2928
TD %58.0%56.0%
Field Goals
Attempts1517
Made1110
Pct73.3%58.8%
PAT Kicking
Attempts4243
Made3941
Pct92.9%95.3%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts30
Made00
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →