Fourth Down Data
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TEM

Temple

OwlsBalanced
American Conference7-6#80 (-1.64)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

40· COverall
Offense
30· DRating
36· DPer play
42· CConsistency
40· CBig plays
Defense
57· CRating
60· CPer play
64· CConsistency
Situational
22· DRed-zone O
20· DRed-zone D
66· C3rd down O
13· F3rd down D
How grades work →2017 is the earliest season the model grades — first-year numbers run a touch noisier than later seasons.

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.067
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.055
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.052
Defensive EPA/play
-0.059
lower = better
Off Success Rate
45.8%
Def Success Rate
43.6%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
22.5%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
23.7%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.007
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.057
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.97

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.26
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.54
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.58
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.17
own return game
Return Defense
+0.05
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#80
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
Market (Vegas)
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#66
recruiting 14 spots higher
1 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Temple ranks among all FBS teams in 2017 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
21th
Opp-adjusted defense
68th
Offensive EPA/play
37th
Defensive EPA/play
60th
Offensive success rate
43th
Explosiveness
41th
Defensive havoc
83th
Points per drive
40th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Miami2022OA -0.012 / -0.007similar: rushing offense, defensive success rate, pass defense3902Tulsa2021OA -0.014 / +0.041similar: TD drive rate, defensive EPA, takeaway rate3663Georgia Southern2023OA -0.070 / -0.060similar: offensive EPA, offensive success rate, havoc rate3584Marshall2017OA -0.030 / +0.016similar: run defense, defensive success rate, havoc rate3555USC2018OA -0.060 / +0.011similar: rushing offense, TD drive rate, turnover rate352

2017 Schedule & Results

13 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1@ Notre Dame16-49L-7.0W57U
2vs Villanova16-13W-17.0L--
3vs Massachusetts29-21W-14.5L52U
4@ South Florida7-43L+17.5L61.5U
5vs Houston13-20L+10.5W44.5U
6@ East Carolina34-10W-3.5W58.5U
7vs UConn24-28L-10.5L56.5U
8@ Army28-31L+7.0W48O
10vs Navy34-26W+6.5W51.5O
11@ Cincinnati35-24W-3.0W49.5O
12vs UCF19-45L+13.5L58.5O
13@ Tulsa43-22W-4.5W56.5O
17@ Florida International28-3W----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
7-5
58.3%
O/U Record
5-6
45.5%
Straight Up
7-5
58.3%
Home ATS2-4
Away ATS5-1
Favorite ATS4-3
Underdog ATS3-2
Last 5 ATS
WWWLW
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off24thRush Off51thRed Zone Off23th3rd Down Off66thPass Def62thRush Def60thRed Zone Def20th3rd Down Def13th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.06131th-0.06161th
Red Zone-0.11323th+0.13220th
Third Down+0.09066th+0.19513th
No Garbage Time-0.05735th-0.06260th
First Half-0.06935th-0.13277th
Second Half-0.05335th+0.00439th
Early Downs-0.08730th-0.13085th
Passing Downs-0.11124th-0.06362th
Standard Downs-0.03451th-0.06060th
Goal to Go-0.16726th+0.17618th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 49.6%Rush 50.4%
Havoc/Game
15.8
Havoc Rate
21.8%
TO Margin
-0.3
Explosive/G
14.2
Yards/Game
388.2
Pts/Drive
1.97
3rd Down%
41.4%
3&Out%
15.3%

Team Statistics

2017 season totals across 13 games — Temple vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatTempleOpponents
Scoring
Points326335
Points / Game25.125.8
First Downs
Total263267
Rushing89119
Passing152117
Penalty2231
Rushing
Attempts461532
Yards1,7732,270
Yards / Carry3.84.3
Yards / Game136.4174.6
Touchdowns1518
Passing
Attempts453387
Completions262221
Completion %57.8%57.1%
Yards3,2732,689
Yards / Attempt7.26.9
Touchdowns2121
Interceptions1510
Passer Rating127.20128.21
Total Offense
Plays914919
Yards5,0464,959
Yards / Play5.55.4
Yards / Game388.2381.5
Punt Returns
Returns2214
Yards16897
Average7.66.9
Touchdowns10
Kickoff Returns
Returns4747
Yards1,046976
Average22.320.8
Touchdowns10
Punting
Punts5963
Yards2,3122,651
Average39.242.1
Interception Returns
Returns1015
Yards234206
Touchdowns01
Fumbles
Fumbles1420
Lost78
Penalties
Penalties10192
Yards902819
Yards / Game69.463.0
Time of Possession
Per Game30:2329:37
Third Downs
Attempts198193
Conversions8274
Conversion %41.4%38.3%
Fourth Downs
Attempts2023
Conversions1011
Conversion %50.0%47.8%
Red Zone
Trips4553
Scores (TD + FG)3746
Score %82.2%86.8%
Touchdowns2432
TD %53.3%60.4%
Field Goals
Attempts2829
Made1918
Pct67.9%62.1%
PAT Kicking
Attempts3640
Made3339
Pct91.7%97.5%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts30
Made10
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →