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MIA
Miami
HurricanesBalancedAtlantic Coast Conference5-7#80 (-1.41)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
41· COverall
Offense
26· DRating
23· DPer play
44· CConsistency
34· DBig plays
Defense
37· DRating
54· CPer play
71· BConsistency
Situational
15· DRed-zone O
67· CRed-zone D
18· D3rd down O
15· D3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.012
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.007
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.106
Defensive EPA/play
-0.036
lower = better
Off Success Rate
46.1%
Def Success Rate
43.8%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
22.6%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
23.4%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.070
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.062
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.70
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
+2.02
expected pts/game
Kicking
+1.24
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.09
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.71
own return game
Return Defense
+0.16
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#80
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#56
market 24 higher
Recruiting Rank
#15
recruiting 65 spots higher
37 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where Miami ranks among all FBS teams in 2022 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense44th
Opp-adjusted defense49th
Offensive EPA/play24th
Defensive EPA/play55th
Offensive success rate50th
Explosiveness35th
Defensive havoc91th
Points per drive25th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Temple2017OA -0.067 / +0.055similar: rushing offense, defensive success rate, pass defense3902Georgia Southern2023OA -0.070 / -0.060similar: havoc rate, offensive success rate, passing offense3433Baylor2026OA +0.006 / +0.027similar: takeaway rate, rushing offense, offensive EPA3364East Carolina2020OA -0.035 / +0.005similar: takeaway rate, defensive EPA, TD drive rate3275Hawai'i2021OA -0.081 / -0.044similar: run defense, pass defense, takeaway rate325
2022 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Bethune-Cookman | 70-13 | W | - | - | - | - |
| 2 | vs Southern Miss | 30-7 | W | -26.5 | L | 51 | U |
| 3 | @ Texas A&M | 9-17 | L | +6.0 | L | 44.5 | U |
| 4 | vs Middle Tennessee | 31-45 | L | -25.5 | L | 53.5 | O |
| 6 | vs North Carolina | 24-27 | L | -3.5 | L | 66 | U |
| 7 | @ Virginia Tech | 20-14 | W | -7.0 | L | 46.5 | U |
| 8 | vs Duke | 21-45 | L | -9.0 | L | 58 | O |
| 9 | @ Virginia | 14-12 | W | -2.0 | P | 48.25 | U |
| 10 | vs Florida State | 3-45 | L | +7.5 | L | 52.75 | U |
| 11 | @ Georgia Tech | 35-14 | W | +1.5 | W | 44.5 | O |
| 12 | @ Clemson | 10-40 | L | +19.0 | L | 48 | O |
| 13 | vs Pittsburgh | 16-42 | L | +6.5 | L | 43.5 | O |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
1-9-1
10.0%
O/U Record
5-6
45.5%
Straight Up
5-7
41.7%
Home ATS0-6
Away ATS1-3
Favorite ATS0-5
Underdog ATS1-4
Last 5 ATS
PLWLL
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.084 | 24th | -0.023 | 51th |
| Red Zone | -0.227 | 15th | -0.134 | 67th |
| Third Down | -0.110 | 19th | +0.284 | 15th |
| No Garbage Time | -0.113 | 22th | -0.015 | 47th |
| First Half | -0.099 | 28th | -0.003 | 44th |
| Second Half | -0.069 | 33th | -0.045 | 57th |
| Early Downs | -0.063 | 30th | -0.068 | 71th |
| Passing Downs | -0.052 | 39th | -0.002 | 44th |
| Standard Downs | -0.101 | 21th | -0.035 | 57th |
| Goal to Go | -0.331 | 13th | -0.191 | 73th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 50.1%Rush 49.9%
Havoc/Game
15.3
Havoc Rate
23.0%
TO Margin
-0.3
Explosive/G
13.4
Yards/Game
367.4
Pts/Drive
1.70
3rd Down%
40.0%
3&Out%
13.9%
Team Statistics
2022 season totals across 12 games — Miami vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Miami | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 283 | 321 |
| Points / Game | 23.6 | 26.8 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 255 | 223 |
| Rushing | 100 | 94 |
| Passing | 130 | 107 |
| Penalty | 25 | 22 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 412 | 426 |
| Yards | 1,540 | 1,705 |
| Yards / Carry | 3.7 | 4.0 |
| Yards / Game | 128.3 | 142.1 |
| Touchdowns | 12 | 18 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 413 | 335 |
| Completions | 255 | 204 |
| Completion % | 61.7% | 60.9% |
| Yards | 2,869 | 2,797 |
| Yards / Attempt | 6.9 | 8.3 |
| Touchdowns | 18 | 20 |
| Interceptions | 12 | 14 |
| Passer Rating | 128.67 | 142.37 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 825 | 761 |
| Yards | 4,409 | 4,502 |
| Yards / Play | 5.3 | 5.9 |
| Yards / Game | 367.4 | 375.2 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 13 | 16 |
| Yards | 75 | 69 |
| Average | 5.8 | 4.3 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 35 | 14 |
| Yards | 935 | 237 |
| Average | 26.7 | 16.9 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 50 | 56 |
| Yards | 2,273 | 2,333 |
| Average | 45.5 | 41.7 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 14 | 12 |
| Yards | 136 | 169 |
| Touchdowns | 2 | 2 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 15 | 18 |
| Lost | 13 | 8 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 84 | 72 |
| Yards | 710 | 653 |
| Yards / Game | 59.2 | 54.4 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 30:42 | 29:15 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 165 | 162 |
| Conversions | 66 | 68 |
| Conversion % | 40.0% | 42.0% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 23 | 14 |
| Conversions | 10 | 9 |
| Conversion % | 43.5% | 64.3% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 48 | 47 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 39 | 39 |
| Score % | 81.3% | 83.0% |
| Touchdowns | 26 | 27 |
| TD % | 54.2% | 57.4% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 20 | 15 |
| Made | 17 | 13 |
| Pct | 85.0% | 86.7% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 32 | 40 |
| Made | 32 | 40 |
| Pct | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 3 | 2 |
| Made | 1 | 0 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.