Fourth Down Data
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SC

South Carolina

GamecocksBalanced
Southeastern Conference4-8#39 (+6.78)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

71· BOverall
Offense
52· CRating
10· FPer play
4· FConsistency
6· FBig plays
Defense
84· BRating
74· BPer play
64· CConsistency
Situational
28· DRed-zone O
97· A+Red-zone D
28· D3rd down O
80· B3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.037
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.088
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.138
Defensive EPA/play
-0.085
lower = better
Off Success Rate
40.5%
Def Success Rate
43.7%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
19.8%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
22.1%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.053
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.055
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.58

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.65
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.35
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.08
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.16
own return game
Return Defense
+0.07
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#39
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#64
model 25 higher
Recruiting Rank
#19
recruiting 20 spots higher
36 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where South Carolina ranks among all FBS teams in 2025 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
38th
Opp-adjusted defense
81th
Offensive EPA/play
9th
Defensive EPA/play
75th
Offensive success rate
7th
Explosiveness
5th
Defensive havoc
34th
Points per drive
9th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Pittsburgh2023OA -0.131 / +0.084similar: defensive EPA, offensive success rate, offensive EPA4462Mississippi State2020OA -0.062 / +0.041similar: offensive EPA, defensive EPA, rushing offense3753Southern Miss2021OA -0.274 / +0.086similar: offensive success rate, run defense, rushing offense3624Old Dominion2023OA -0.079 / +0.034similar: passing offense, run defense, offensive success rate3585Texas State2022OA -0.153 / +0.039similar: TD drive rate, run defense, offensive EPA355

2025 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Virginia Tech24-11W-7.0W51.5U
2vs South Carolina State38-10W-42.5L54U
3vs Vanderbilt7-31L-3.0L48.5U
4@ Missouri20-29L+10.0W48.5O
5vs Kentucky35-13W-5.5W47.5O
7@ LSU10-20L+8.5L44U
8vs Oklahoma7-26L+4.5L43U
9vs Alabama22-29L+10.5W40.5O
10@ Ole Miss14-30L+12.5L55.5U
12@ Texas A&M30-31L+17.5W49.5O
13vs Coastal Carolina51-7W-40.5W62.5U
14vs Clemson14-28L-2.5L46.5U

Betting Profile

ATS Record
6-6
50.0%
O/U Record
4-8
33.3%
Straight Up
4-8
33.3%
Home ATS4-4
Away ATS2-2
Favorite ATS3-3
Underdog ATS3-3
Last 5 ATS
WLWWL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off7thRush Off23thRed Zone Off28th3rd Down Off28thPass Def67thRush Def72thRed Zone Def98th3rd Down Def81th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.1257th-0.06867th
Red Zone-0.10428th-0.35898th
Third Down-0.03528th-0.10481th
No Garbage Time-0.13910th-0.07470th
First Half-0.05132th-0.12485th
Second Half-0.1961th+0.00144th
Early Downs-0.05627th-0.04862th
Passing Downs-0.2307th-0.07367th
Standard Downs-0.06123th-0.06572th
Goal to Go-0.19119th-0.41891th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 45.4%Rush 54.6%
Havoc/Game
12.1
Havoc Rate
17.1%
TO Margin
+0.3
Explosive/G
11.0
Yards/Game
336.3
Pts/Drive
1.58
3rd Down%
31.9%
3&Out%
24.0%

Team Statistics

2025 season totals across 12 games — South Carolina vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatSouth CarolinaOpponents
Scoring
Points272265
Points / Game22.722.1
First Downs
Total211236
Rushing9191
Passing99123
Penalty2122
Rushing
Attempts411433
Yards1,3331,640
Yards / Carry3.23.8
Yards / Game111.1136.7
Touchdowns1413
Passing
Attempts342373
Completions209225
Completion %61.1%60.3%
Yards2,7032,596
Yards / Attempt7.97.0
Touchdowns1313
Interceptions1112
Passer Rating133.61123.85
Total Offense
Plays753806
Yards4,0364,236
Yards / Play5.45.3
Yards / Game336.3353.0
Punt Returns
Returns2314
Yards30899
Average13.47.1
Touchdowns31
Kickoff Returns
Returns1921
Yards402368
Average21.217.5
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts5456
Yards2,3892,470
Average44.244.1
Interception Returns
Returns1211
Yards11690
Touchdowns12
Fumbles
Fumbles1418
Lost710
Penalties
Penalties8870
Yards687672
Yards / Game57.356.0
Time of Possession
Per Game28:0231:58
Third Downs
Attempts160169
Conversions5167
Conversion %31.9%39.6%
Fourth Downs
Attempts3217
Conversions169
Conversion %50.0%52.9%
Red Zone
Trips2643
Scores (TD + FG)2233
Score %84.6%76.7%
Touchdowns1520
TD %57.7%46.5%
Field Goals
Attempts1622
Made1219
Pct75.0%86.4%
PAT Kicking
Attempts3225
Made3224
Pct100.0%96.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts24
Made03
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →