Fourth Down Data
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SC

South Carolina

GamecocksBalanced
Southeastern Conference5-7#71 (-0.30)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

48· COverall
Offense
38· DRating
40· CPer play
25· DConsistency
26· DBig plays
Defense
65· CRating
44· CPer play
43· CConsistency
Situational
75· BRed-zone O
53· CRed-zone D
34· D3rd down O
40· C3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.031
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.005
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.018
Defensive EPA/play
+0.022
lower = better
Off Success Rate
43.8%
Def Success Rate
46.8%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
22.2%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
22.9%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.040
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.118
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.99

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.07
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.85
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.94
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.04
own return game
Return Defense
+0.06
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#71
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#85
model 14 higher
Recruiting Rank
#21
recruiting 50 spots higher
23 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where South Carolina ranks among all FBS teams in 2023 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
32th
Opp-adjusted defense
55th
Offensive EPA/play
40th
Defensive EPA/play
44th
Offensive success rate
22th
Explosiveness
26th
Defensive havoc
20th
Points per drive
41th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Florida State2019OA -0.009 / +0.034similar: pass defense, offensive EPA, offensive success rate3412Maryland2022OA +0.033 / +0.023similar: takeaway rate, turnover rate, defensive EPA3413Colorado2018OA -0.017 / +0.030similar: offensive EPA, TD drive rate, run defense3414Pittsburgh2017OA +0.004 / -0.016similar: pass defense, takeaway rate, defensive EPA3335Michigan State2025OA +0.075 / -0.070similar: TD drive rate, havoc rate, offensive EPA331

2023 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs North Carolina17-31L+2.5L63.5U
2vs Furman47-21W-17.5W53.5O
3@ Georgia14-24L+27.5W54.5U
4vs Mississippi State37-30W-6.0W48.5O
5@ Tennessee20-41L+12.0L63U
7vs Florida39-41L-2.5L51.5O
8@ Missouri12-34L+7.0L59.75U
9@ Texas A&M17-30L+14.0W54.25U
10vs Jacksonville State38-28W-15.5L55O
11vs Vanderbilt47-6W-13.5W58U
12vs Kentucky17-14W+1.5W54U
13vs Clemson7-16L+7.0L52U

Betting Profile

ATS Record
6-6
50.0%
O/U Record
4-8
33.3%
Straight Up
5-7
41.7%
Home ATS4-4
Away ATS2-2
Favorite ATS3-2
Underdog ATS3-4
Last 5 ATS
WLWWL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off34thRush Off52thRed Zone Off75th3rd Down Off35thPass Def72thRush Def32thRed Zone Def53th3rd Down Def41th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.00942th+0.02146th
Red Zone+0.10975th-0.02053th
Third Down+0.13235th+0.20641th
No Garbage Time-0.01141th+0.02842th
First Half+0.06364th+0.08819th
Second Half-0.08819th-0.04065th
Early Downs-0.02451th-0.00036th
Passing Downs-0.00534th-0.01472th
Standard Downs-0.01252th+0.03932th
Goal to Go+0.09967th+0.29816th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 52.8%Rush 47.2%
Havoc/Game
12.4
Havoc Rate
16.5%
TO Margin
+0.3
Explosive/G
13.8
Yards/Game
363.1
Pts/Drive
1.99
3rd Down%
33.8%
3&Out%
24.8%

Team Statistics

2023 season totals across 12 games — South Carolina vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatSouth CarolinaOpponents
Scoring
Points312316
Points / Game26.026.3
First Downs
Total217255
Rushing62112
Passing139126
Penalty1617
Rushing
Attempts369462
Yards1,0211,793
Yards / Carry2.83.9
Yards / Game85.1149.4
Touchdowns1719
Passing
Attempts412401
Completions283245
Completion %68.7%61.1%
Yards3,3362,955
Yards / Attempt8.17.4
Touchdowns2116
Interceptions810
Passer Rating149.64131.18
Total Offense
Plays781863
Yards4,3574,748
Yards / Play5.65.5
Yards / Game363.1395.7
Punt Returns
Returns1311
Yards9841
Average7.53.7
Touchdowns10
Kickoff Returns
Returns2011
Yards352208
Average17.618.9
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts6253
Yards2,6762,263
Average43.242.7
Interception Returns
Returns108
Yards12927
Touchdowns11
Fumbles
Fumbles1417
Lost57
Penalties
Penalties8667
Yards666530
Yards / Game55.544.2
Time of Possession
Per Game28:1831:42
Third Downs
Attempts160182
Conversions5478
Conversion %33.8%42.9%
Fourth Downs
Attempts2423
Conversions914
Conversion %37.5%60.9%
Red Zone
Trips3946
Scores (TD + FG)3537
Score %89.7%80.4%
Touchdowns2628
TD %66.7%60.9%
Field Goals
Attempts1423
Made1219
Pct85.7%82.6%
PAT Kicking
Attempts3536
Made3435
Pct97.1%97.2%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts51
Made01
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →