Fourth Down Data
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SC

South Carolina

GamecocksBalanced
Southeastern Conference4-8#47 (+4.94)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

65· COverall
Offense
30· DRating
10· FPer play
8· FConsistency
0· FBig plays
Defense
85· BRating
66· CPer play
66· CConsistency
Situational
3· FRed-zone O
79· BRed-zone D
3· F3rd down O
71· B3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.095
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.084
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.150
Defensive EPA/play
-0.044
lower = better
Off Success Rate
41.8%
Def Success Rate
44.5%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
18.5%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
20.7%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.106
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.235
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.55

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.63
expected pts/game
Kicking
+1.20
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.46
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.08
own return game
Return Defense
-0.19
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#47
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#24
recruiting 23 spots higher
21 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where South Carolina ranks among all FBS teams in 2019 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
13th
Opp-adjusted defense
78th
Offensive EPA/play
10th
Defensive EPA/play
67th
Offensive success rate
11th
Explosiveness
0th
Defensive havoc
45th
Points per drive
13th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Mississippi State2023OA -0.053 / +0.047similar: TD drive rate, offensive success rate, turnover rate3962Illinois2021OA -0.054 / +0.040similar: offensive success rate, pass defense, run defense3893Western Kentucky2018OA -0.103 / +0.001similar: run defense, pass defense, passing offense3634Missouri2019OA -0.070 / +0.066similar: takeaway rate, defensive EPA, havoc rate3605Bowling Green2021OA -0.136 / +0.005similar: passing offense, offensive EPA, offensive success rate356

2019 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1@ North Carolina20-24L-11.0L61U
2vs Charleston Southern72-10W-36.5W42.5O
3vs Alabama23-47L+25.5W59.5O
4@ Missouri14-34L+9.5L61U
5vs Kentucky24-7W-3.5W54U
7@ Georgia20-17W+20.5W52U
8vs Florida27-38L+3.5L44.5O
9@ Tennessee21-41L-4.0L45.5O
10vs Vanderbilt24-7W-15.5W51U
11vs App State15-20L-7.0L51U
12@ Texas A&M6-30L+10.5L47U
14vs Clemson3-38L+28.5L51U

Betting Profile

ATS Record
5-7
41.7%
O/U Record
4-8
33.3%
Straight Up
4-8
33.3%
Home ATS4-3
Away ATS1-4
Favorite ATS3-3
Underdog ATS2-4
Last 5 ATS
LWLLL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off4thRush Off32thRed Zone Off3th3rd Down Off3thPass Def70thRush Def59thRed Zone Def80th3rd Down Def72th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.11812th-0.03466th
Red Zone-0.3553th-0.17480th
Third Down-0.3213th-0.07672th
No Garbage Time-0.14111th-0.04869th
First Half-0.07221th-0.07772th
Second Half-0.1649th+0.00949th
Early Downs+0.02862th-0.00857th
Passing Downs-0.2604th-0.06470th
Standard Downs-0.03632th-0.01759th
Goal to Go-0.6283th-0.29182th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 54.1%Rush 45.9%
Havoc/Game
13.3
Havoc Rate
18.1%
TO Margin
+0.3
Explosive/G
11.7
Yards/Game
371.9
Pts/Drive
1.55
3rd Down%
32.1%
3&Out%
27.3%

Team Statistics

2019 season totals across 12 games — South Carolina vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatSouth CarolinaOpponents
Scoring
Points269313
Points / Game22.426.1
First Downs
Total232246
Rushing8597
Passing128127
Penalty1922
Rushing
Attempts396450
Yards1,7961,896
Yards / Carry4.54.2
Yards / Game149.7158.0
Touchdowns189
Passing
Attempts466404
Completions268239
Completion %57.5%59.2%
Yards2,6672,823
Yards / Attempt5.77.0
Touchdowns1223
Interceptions712
Passer Rating111.08130.70
Total Offense
Plays862854
Yards4,4634,719
Yards / Play5.25.5
Yards / Game371.9393.3
Punt Returns
Returns1118
Yards146249
Average13.313.8
Touchdowns02
Kickoff Returns
Returns2116
Yards425384
Average20.224.0
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts6961
Yards3,2442,730
Average47.044.8
Interception Returns
Returns127
Yards102168
Touchdowns12
Fumbles
Fumbles129
Lost75
Penalties
Penalties7972
Yards656572
Yards / Game54.747.7
Time of Possession
Per Game27:0132:59
Third Downs
Attempts184180
Conversions5969
Conversion %32.1%38.3%
Fourth Downs
Attempts2714
Conversions135
Conversion %48.1%35.7%
Red Zone
Trips3536
Scores (TD + FG)2729
Score %77.1%80.6%
Touchdowns1718
TD %48.6%50.0%
Field Goals
Attempts2226
Made1818
Pct81.8%69.2%
PAT Kicking
Attempts3036
Made2935
Pct96.7%97.2%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts11
Made01
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →