Fourth Down Data
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SC

South Carolina

GamecocksBalanced
Southeastern Conference7-6#57 (+2.09)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

57· COverall
Offense
75· BRating
71· BPer play
80· BConsistency
64· CBig plays
Defense
37· DRating
19· DPer play
4· FConsistency
Situational
3· FRed-zone O
54· CRed-zone D
69· C3rd down O
75· B3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.092
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.024
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.052
Defensive EPA/play
+0.085
lower = better
Off Success Rate
48.7%
Def Success Rate
51.5%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
24.2%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
25.7%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.033
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.171
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.42

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.88
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.51
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.19
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.11
own return game
Return Defense
+0.07
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#57
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#25
recruiting 32 spots higher
20 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where South Carolina ranks among all FBS teams in 2018 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
84th
Opp-adjusted defense
39th
Offensive EPA/play
72th
Defensive EPA/play
19th
Offensive success rate
79th
Explosiveness
65th
Defensive havoc
23th
Points per drive
71th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1North Texas2024OA +0.029 / -0.031similar: pass defense, run defense, takeaway rate3892Purdue2018OA +0.051 / -0.031similar: pass defense, offensive EPA, rushing offense3713Georgia Southern2022OA +0.096 / -0.166similar: offensive success rate, havoc rate, passing offense3604Memphis2021OA +0.054 / -0.036similar: TD drive rate, turnover rate, havoc rate3525Eastern Michigan2021OA -0.010 / -0.137similar: rushing offense, passing offense, TD drive rate347

2018 Schedule & Results

13 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Coastal Carolina49-15W-3.5L54U
2vs Georgia17-41L+8.5L54.5O
4@ Vanderbilt37-14W-1.5W53.5U
5@ Kentucky10-24L--52U
6vs Missouri37-35W+1.0W62.5O
7vs Texas A&M23-26L+2.5L50U
9vs Tennessee27-24W-10.5L53U
10@ Ole Miss48-44W+2.0W70O
11@ Florida31-35L+7.0W55O
12vs Chattanooga49-9W-31.0W49.5O
13@ Clemson35-56L+25.5W58.5O
14vs Akron28-3W-28.5L55U
18@ Virginia0-28L----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
6-5
54.5%
O/U Record
6-6
50.0%
Straight Up
6-6
50.0%
Home ATS2-4
Away ATS4-1
Favorite ATS2-3
Underdog ATS4-2
Last 5 ATS
WWWWL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off83thRush Off41thRed Zone Off3th3rd Down Off70thPass Def79thRush Def6thRed Zone Def55th3rd Down Def76th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.03362th+0.05923th
Red Zone-0.3133th-0.00855th
Third Down+0.13770th-0.06276th
No Garbage Time+0.04671th+0.07621th
First Half+0.08378th+0.12714th
Second Half-0.02041th-0.00852th
Early Downs+0.02864th+0.1246th
Passing Downs+0.14683th-0.11779th
Standard Downs-0.02341th+0.1386th
Goal to Go-0.3518th-0.02467th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 49.9%Rush 50.1%
Havoc/Game
12.9
Havoc Rate
16.6%
TO Margin
-0.4
Explosive/G
14.2
Yards/Game
425.6
Pts/Drive
2.42
3rd Down%
42.3%
3&Out%
18.9%

Team Statistics

2018 season totals across 13 games — South Carolina vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatSouth CarolinaOpponents
Scoring
Points391354
Points / Game30.127.2
First Downs
Total281330
Rushing104152
Passing157151
Penalty2027
Rushing
Attempts444569
Yards1,9862,539
Yards / Carry4.54.5
Yards / Game152.8195.3
Touchdowns1529
Passing
Attempts443422
Completions272262
Completion %61.4%62.1%
Yards3,5472,977
Yards / Attempt8.07.1
Touchdowns3212
Interceptions146
Passer Rating146.17127.88
Total Offense
Plays887991
Yards5,5335,516
Yards / Play6.25.6
Yards / Game425.6424.3
Punt Returns
Returns1215
Yards95115
Average7.97.7
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns3817
Yards814374
Average21.422.0
Touchdowns10
Punting
Punts4951
Yards2,1522,244
Average43.944.0
Interception Returns
Returns614
Yards54157
Touchdowns11
Fumbles
Fumbles1321
Lost710
Penalties
Penalties8285
Yards682766
Yards / Game52.558.9
Time of Possession
Per Game24:5735:03
Third Downs
Attempts168182
Conversions7171
Conversion %42.3%39.0%
Fourth Downs
Attempts2520
Conversions1011
Conversion %40.0%55.0%
Red Zone
Trips5662
Scores (TD + FG)4351
Score %76.8%82.3%
Touchdowns3237
TD %57.1%59.7%
Field Goals
Attempts1630
Made1321
Pct81.3%70.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts4740
Made4639
Pct97.9%97.5%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts32
Made30
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →