Fourth Down Data
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OU

Oklahoma

SoonersRun-Heavy
Southeastern Conference6-7#44 (+2.90)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

67· COverall
Offense
21· DRating
7· FPer play
12· FConsistency
10· FBig plays
Defense
92· A-Rating
97· A+Per play
98· A+Consistency
Situational
21· DRed-zone O
88· BRed-zone D
33· D3rd down O
75· B3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.049
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.067
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.165
Defensive EPA/play
-0.155
lower = better
Off Success Rate
42.3%
Def Success Rate
39.5%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
20.7%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
19.5%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.009
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.067
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.64

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.34
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.82
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.42
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.07
own return game
Return Defense
+0.01
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#44
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#41
market 3 higher
Recruiting Rank
#8
recruiting 36 spots higher
63 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Oklahoma ranks among all FBS teams in 2024 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
10th
Opp-adjusted defense
98th
Offensive EPA/play
7th
Defensive EPA/play
98th
Offensive success rate
13th
Explosiveness
10th
Defensive havoc
69th
Points per drive
13th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Michigan State2019OA -0.016 / +0.106similar: turnover rate, TD drive rate, offensive success rate3892Texas State2022OA -0.153 / +0.039similar: pass defense, rushing offense, TD drive rate3783Michigan2024OA -0.043 / +0.043similar: TD drive rate, passing offense, rushing offense3784Florida Atlantic2020OA -0.038 / +0.056similar: TD drive rate, defensive success rate, rushing offense3725Michigan State2017OA +0.020 / +0.139similar: havoc rate, run defense, rushing offense368

2024 Schedule & Results

13 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Temple51-3W----
2vs Houston16-12W-27.5L53U
3vs Tulane34-19W-13.5W46.5O
4vs Tennessee15-25L+7.0L56.5U
5@ Auburn27-21W-2.0W45O
7vs Texas3-34L+14.5L49.5U
8vs South Carolina9-35L-2.5L41O
9@ Ole Miss14-26L+20.3W49U
10vs Maine59-14W-34.5W45.5O
11@ Missouri23-30L-2.5L41.5O
13vs Alabama24-3W+13.5W47.25U
14@ LSU17-37L+6.0L47O
18@ Navy20-21L----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
6-7
46.2%
O/U Record
6-7
46.2%
Straight Up
6-7
46.2%
Home ATS4-4
Away ATS2-3
Favorite ATS4-4
Underdog ATS2-3
Last 5 ATS
WLWLL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off25thRush Off2thRed Zone Off22th3rd Down Off34thPass Def84thRush Def96thRed Zone Def89th3rd Down Def76th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.1485th-0.14896th
Red Zone-0.14922th-0.19989th
Third Down+0.02434th-0.01676th
No Garbage Time-0.1606th-0.15196th
First Half-0.12116th-0.16593th
Second Half-0.1774th-0.13090th
Early Downs-0.2281th-0.14693th
Passing Downs-0.07525th-0.13784th
Standard Downs-0.1912th-0.15596th
Goal to Go-0.16022th-0.04657th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 41.7%Rush 58.3%
Havoc/Game
14.1
Havoc Rate
20.6%
TO Margin
0.0
Explosive/G
12.3
Yards/Game
331.0
Pts/Drive
1.64
3rd Down%
37.8%
3&Out%
18.1%

Team Statistics

2024 season totals across 13 games — Oklahoma vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatOklahomaOpponents
Scoring
Points312280
Points / Game24.021.5
First Downs
Total247212
Rushing12081
Passing100114
Penalty2717
Rushing
Attempts521476
Yards2,0171,496
Yards / Carry3.93.1
Yards / Game155.2115.1
Touchdowns1711
Passing
Attempts373361
Completions235217
Completion %63.0%60.1%
Yards2,2862,641
Yards / Attempt6.17.3
Touchdowns1617
Interceptions69
Passer Rating125.42132.12
Total Offense
Plays894837
Yards4,3034,137
Yards / Play4.84.9
Yards / Game331.0318.2
Punt Returns
Returns2822
Yards223107
Average8.04.9
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns1316
Yards246390
Average18.924.4
Touchdowns01
Punting
Punts6169
Yards2,7263,121
Average44.745.2
Interception Returns
Returns96
Yards184118
Touchdowns22
Fumbles
Fumbles2617
Lost1512
Penalties
Penalties6981
Yards591688
Yards / Game45.552.9
Time of Possession
Per Game28:5931:02
Third Downs
Attempts193196
Conversions7371
Conversion %37.8%36.2%
Fourth Downs
Attempts3121
Conversions1610
Conversion %51.6%47.6%
Red Zone
Trips4538
Scores (TD + FG)3731
Score %82.2%81.6%
Touchdowns2718
TD %60.0%47.4%
Field Goals
Attempts2022
Made1617
Pct80.0%77.3%
PAT Kicking
Attempts3330
Made3227
Pct97.0%90.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts53
Made11
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →