Fourth Down Data
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Florida Atlantic

OwlsRun-Heavy
American Conference5-4#65 (+0.20)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

50· COverall
Offense
10· FRating
16· DPer play
10· FConsistency
22· DBig plays
Defense
87· BRating
93· APer play
95· AConsistency
Situational
14· FRed-zone O
95· ARed-zone D
52· C3rd down O
77· B3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.038
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.056
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.101
Defensive EPA/play
-0.151
lower = better
Off Success Rate
40.5%
Def Success Rate
40.9%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
22.1%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
20.1%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.050
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.057
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.56

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.66
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.00
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.04
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.23
own return game
Return Defense
-0.84
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#65
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#36
market 29 higher
Recruiting Rank
—
no recruiting profile

Peer Context

Where Florida Atlantic ranks among all FBS teams in 2020 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
13th
Opp-adjusted defense
94th
Offensive EPA/play
16th
Defensive EPA/play
94th
Offensive success rate
8th
Explosiveness
22th
Defensive havoc
53th
Points per drive
14th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Iowa2023OA -0.201 / +0.172similar: defensive success rate, defensive EPA, run defense3992Nebraska2023OA -0.116 / +0.124similar: defensive EPA, run defense, passing offense3983Louisiana Tech2024OA -0.068 / +0.030similar: TD drive rate, pass defense, turnover rate3924Michigan2017OA -0.033 / +0.192similar: offensive success rate, defensive success rate, turnover rate3735Oklahoma2024OA -0.049 / +0.067similar: TD drive rate, defensive success rate, rushing offense372

2020 Schedule & Results

9 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
5vs Charlotte21-17W-6.5L60.5U
8@ Marshall9-20L+17.0W51U
9vs UTSA24-3W-5.0W47.5U
10vs Western Kentucky10-6W-7.0L40U
11@ Florida International38-19W-33.0L50.5U
12vs Massachusetts24-2W----
14@ Georgia Southern3-20L-9.5L43.5O
15@ Southern Miss31-45L----
17vs Memphis10-25L----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
3-6
33.3%
O/U Record
2-7
22.2%
Straight Up
5-4
55.6%
Home ATS1-4
Away ATS2-2
Favorite ATS2-4
Underdog ATS1-2
Last 5 ATS
LLLLL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off38thRush Off5thRed Zone Off14th3rd Down Off52thPass Def90thRush Def92thRed Zone Def96th3rd Down Def78th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.10113th-0.14895th
Red Zone-0.18014th-0.37296th
Third Down+0.08652th-0.07678th
No Garbage Time-0.10117th-0.14694th
First Half-0.12716th-0.09584th
Second Half-0.07723th-0.20597th
Early Downs-0.1308th-0.16197th
Passing Downs-0.02838th-0.14190th
Standard Downs-0.1495th-0.15192th
Goal to Go-0.01246th+0.17627th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 39.0%Rush 61.0%
Havoc/Game
13.2
Havoc Rate
19.2%
TO Margin
0.0
Explosive/G
14.4
Yards/Game
324.6
Pts/Drive
1.56
3rd Down%
38.8%
3&Out%
20.2%

Team Statistics

2020 season totals across 9 games — Florida Atlantic vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatFlorida AtlanticOpponents
Scoring
Points170157
Points / Game18.917.4
First Downs
Total161159
Rushing8478
Passing6574
Penalty127
Rushing
Attempts363335
Yards1,6211,391
Yards / Carry4.54.2
Yards / Game180.1154.6
Touchdowns126
Passing
Attempts232266
Completions122146
Completion %52.6%54.9%
Yards1,3001,689
Yards / Attempt5.66.3
Touchdowns89
Interceptions66
Passer Rating105.86114.88
Total Offense
Plays595601
Yards2,9213,080
Yards / Play4.95.1
Yards / Game324.6342.2
Punt Returns
Returns1012
Yards89118
Average8.99.8
Touchdowns01
Kickoff Returns
Returns1614
Yards332373
Average20.826.6
Touchdowns01
Punting
Punts4644
Yards1,9831,917
Average43.143.6
Interception Returns
Returns66
Yards3025
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles712
Lost55
Penalties
Penalties4250
Yards350494
Yards / Game38.954.9
Time of Possession
Per Game29:0130:33
Third Downs
Attempts134135
Conversions5254
Conversion %38.8%40.0%
Fourth Downs
Attempts2317
Conversions116
Conversion %47.8%35.3%
Red Zone
Trips2623
Scores (TD + FG)1916
Score %73.1%69.6%
Touchdowns148
TD %53.8%34.8%
Field Goals
Attempts1018
Made812
Pct80.0%66.7%
PAT Kicking
Attempts2115
Made2015
Pct95.2%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts02
Made01
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →