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Louisiana Tech

BulldogsBalanced
Sun Belt Conference5-8#85 (-2.10)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

37· DOverall
Offense
4· FRating
8· FPer play
10· FConsistency
11· FBig plays
Defense
74· BRating
81· BPer play
92· A-Consistency
Situational
12· FRed-zone O
69· CRed-zone D
60· C3rd down O
55· C3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.068
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.030
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.139
Defensive EPA/play
-0.092
lower = better
Off Success Rate
41.5%
Def Success Rate
41.4%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
21.0%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
21.1%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.046
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.062
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.59

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.54
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.52
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.84
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.05
own return game
Return Defense
+0.17
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#85
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#101
model 16 higher
Recruiting Rank
#80
recruiting 5 spots higher
0 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Louisiana Tech ranks among all FBS teams in 2024 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
4th
Opp-adjusted defense
76th
Offensive EPA/play
8th
Defensive EPA/play
81th
Offensive success rate
10th
Explosiveness
11th
Defensive havoc
26th
Points per drive
11th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Florida Atlantic2020OA -0.038 / +0.056similar: TD drive rate, pass defense, turnover rate3922Texas State2018OA -0.180 / +0.024similar: offensive success rate, offensive EPA, passing offense3783Virginia2017OA -0.067 / +0.061similar: passing offense, offensive EPA, offensive success rate3724Florida State2018OA -0.108 / +0.043similar: rushing offense, offensive EPA, TD drive rate3635Buffalo2025OA -0.180 / -0.001similar: rushing offense, offensive EPA, offensive success rate357

2024 Schedule & Results

13 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Nicholls State25-17W-8.3L56.5U
3@ NC State20-30L+21.5W49O
4vs Tulsa20-23L-2.5L57.5U
5@ Florida International10-17L-2.5L50.5U
7vs Middle Tennessee48-21W-11.5L49.5O
8@ New Mexico State30-33L-6.5L49U
9vs UTEP14-10W+10.0W45.5U
10@ Sam Houston3-9L----
11vs Jacksonville State37-44L+10.0W56O
12@ Western Kentucky12-7W+13.5W53U
13@ Arkansas14-35L+21.5W49.5U
14vs Kennesaw State33-0W-12.0W42U
18@ Army6-27L+17.5L44U

Betting Profile

ATS Record
7-6
53.8%
O/U Record
4-9
30.8%
Straight Up
5-8
38.5%
Home ATS3-3
Away ATS4-3
Favorite ATS2-5
Underdog ATS5-1
Last 5 ATS
WWWWL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off13thRush Off7thRed Zone Off12th3rd Down Off60thPass Def52thRush Def94thRed Zone Def69th3rd Down Def55th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.1417th-0.08984th
Red Zone-0.21612th-0.10269th
Third Down+0.14660th+0.06155th
No Garbage Time-0.1389th-0.07174th
First Half-0.11317th-0.08876th
Second Half-0.1675th-0.09084th
Early Downs-0.08816th-0.18899th
Passing Downs-0.17213th-0.00152th
Standard Downs-0.1227th-0.14494th
Goal to Go-0.4344th-0.00649th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 46.0%Rush 54.0%
Havoc/Game
10.9
Havoc Rate
15.8%
TO Margin
-0.4
Explosive/G
13.8
Yards/Game
332.9
Pts/Drive
1.59
3rd Down%
39.2%
3&Out%
22.5%

Team Statistics

2024 season totals across 13 games — Louisiana Tech vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatLouisiana TechOpponents
Scoring
Points272273
Points / Game20.921.0
First Downs
Total233231
Rushing93107
Passing12699
Penalty1425
Rushing
Attempts484491
Yards1,4201,762
Yards / Carry2.93.6
Yards / Game109.2135.5
Touchdowns1421
Passing
Attempts413366
Completions256204
Completion %62.0%55.7%
Yards2,9082,247
Yards / Attempt7.06.1
Touchdowns1811
Interceptions85
Passer Rating131.64114.49
Total Offense
Plays897857
Yards4,3284,009
Yards / Play4.84.7
Yards / Game332.9308.4
Punt Returns
Returns3014
Yards39067
Average13.04.8
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns264
Yards63958
Average24.614.5
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts6774
Yards2,6543,074
Average39.641.5
Interception Returns
Returns58
Yards60146
Touchdowns02
Fumbles
Fumbles2321
Lost1412
Penalties
Penalties6963
Yards658544
Yards / Game50.641.8
Time of Possession
Per Game31:2127:36
Third Downs
Attempts199178
Conversions7860
Conversion %39.2%33.7%
Fourth Downs
Attempts2624
Conversions810
Conversion %30.8%41.7%
Red Zone
Trips4836
Scores (TD + FG)3527
Score %72.9%75.0%
Touchdowns2422
TD %50.0%61.1%
Field Goals
Attempts2218
Made1512
Pct68.2%66.7%
PAT Kicking
Attempts3132
Made2931
Pct93.5%96.9%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts11
Made00
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →