← All Teams
NEB
Nebraska
CornhuskersRun-HeavyBig Ten Conference5-7#69 (-0.22)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
49· COverall
Offense
8· FRating
6· FPer play
3· FConsistency
30· DBig plays
Defense
89· BRating
93· APer play
92· A-Consistency
Situational
5· FRed-zone O
97· A+Red-zone D
56· C3rd down O
78· B3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.116
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.124
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.139
Defensive EPA/play
-0.160
lower = better
Off Success Rate
39.2%
Def Success Rate
41.5%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
22.4%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
19.5%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.021
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.056
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.41
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
-0.29
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.28
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.04
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.08
own return game
Return Defense
+0.03
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#69
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#63
market 6 higher
Recruiting Rank
#27
recruiting 42 spots higher
18 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where Nebraska ranks among all FBS teams in 2023 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense8th
Opp-adjusted defense94th
Offensive EPA/play6th
Defensive EPA/play94th
Offensive success rate2th
Explosiveness30th
Defensive havoc83th
Points per drive7th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Florida Atlantic2020OA -0.038 / +0.056similar: defensive EPA, run defense, passing offense3982TCU2018OA -0.079 / +0.129similar: pass defense, passing offense, defensive success rate3803Northwestern2019OA -0.147 / +0.092similar: pass defense, offensive EPA, takeaway rate3794Marshall2023OA -0.105 / +0.027similar: pass defense, havoc rate, offensive EPA3695Iowa2023OA -0.201 / +0.172similar: offensive success rate, defensive EPA, takeaway rate353
2023 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Minnesota | 10-13 | L | - | - | - | - |
| 2 | @ Colorado | 14-36 | L | +1.0 | L | 57.5 | U |
| 3 | vs Northern Illinois | 35-11 | W | -11.0 | W | 43 | O |
| 4 | vs Louisiana Tech | 28-14 | W | -20.5 | L | 47 | U |
| 5 | vs Michigan | 7-45 | L | +17.0 | L | 39 | O |
| 6 | @ Illinois | 20-7 | W | - | - | - | - |
| 8 | vs Northwestern | 17-9 | W | -11.5 | L | 41 | U |
| 9 | vs Purdue | 31-14 | W | -2.5 | W | 40 | O |
| 10 | @ Michigan State | 17-20 | L | -3.0 | L | 34.5 | O |
| 11 | vs Maryland | 10-13 | L | +2.5 | L | 45 | U |
| 12 | @ Wisconsin | 17-24 | L | -2.3 | L | 26.5 | U |
| 13 | vs Iowa | 10-13 | L | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
4-8
33.3%
O/U Record
5-7
41.7%
Straight Up
5-7
41.7%
Home ATS2-5
Away ATS2-3
Favorite ATS2-4
Underdog ATS2-4
Last 5 ATS
WLLLL
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.123 | 5th | -0.128 | 93th |
| Red Zone | -0.244 | 5th | -0.279 | 98th |
| Third Down | +0.218 | 56th | +0.049 | 79th |
| No Garbage Time | -0.133 | 6th | -0.163 | 96th |
| First Half | -0.088 | 17th | -0.094 | 86th |
| Second Half | -0.159 | 7th | -0.160 | 93th |
| Early Downs | -0.183 | 5th | -0.164 | 92th |
| Passing Downs | -0.097 | 16th | -0.030 | 79th |
| Standard Downs | -0.139 | 7th | -0.188 | 96th |
| Goal to Go | -0.367 | 2th | -0.533 | 95th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 35.3%Rush 64.7%
Havoc/Game
14.6
Havoc Rate
21.4%
TO Margin
-1.4
Explosive/G
12.8
Yards/Game
312.8
Pts/Drive
1.41
3rd Down%
37.9%
3&Out%
20.3%
Team Statistics
2023 season totals across 12 games — Nebraska vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Nebraska | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 216 | 219 |
| Points / Game | 18.0 | 18.3 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 198 | 199 |
| Rushing | 114 | 66 |
| Passing | 66 | 117 |
| Penalty | 18 | 16 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 478 | 376 |
| Yards | 2,122 | 1,115 |
| Yards / Carry | 4.4 | 3.0 |
| Yards / Game | 176.8 | 92.9 |
| Touchdowns | 16 | 9 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 261 | 412 |
| Completions | 136 | 245 |
| Completion % | 52.1% | 59.5% |
| Yards | 1,631 | 2,527 |
| Yards / Attempt | 6.2 | 6.1 |
| Touchdowns | 10 | 14 |
| Interceptions | 16 | 9 |
| Passer Rating | 104.98 | 117.83 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 739 | 788 |
| Yards | 3,753 | 3,642 |
| Yards / Play | 5.1 | 4.6 |
| Yards / Game | 312.8 | 303.5 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 16 | 19 |
| Yards | 48 | 144 |
| Average | 3.0 | 7.6 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 14 | 16 |
| Yards | 335 | 291 |
| Average | 23.9 | 18.2 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 58 | 65 |
| Yards | 2,355 | 2,785 |
| Average | 40.6 | 42.8 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 9 | 16 |
| Yards | 71 | 78 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 31 | 16 |
| Lost | 15 | 5 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 61 | 71 |
| Yards | 513 | 631 |
| Yards / Game | 42.8 | 52.6 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 30:54 | 29:06 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 153 | 180 |
| Conversions | 58 | 66 |
| Conversion % | 37.9% | 36.7% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 16 | 23 |
| Conversions | 8 | 9 |
| Conversion % | 50.0% | 39.1% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 29 | 38 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 20 | 31 |
| Score % | 69.0% | 81.6% |
| Touchdowns | 14 | 16 |
| TD % | 48.3% | 42.1% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 15 | 24 |
| Made | 9 | 17 |
| Pct | 60.0% | 70.8% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 27 | 20 |
| Made | 27 | 20 |
| Pct | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 0 | 4 |
| Made | 0 | 2 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.