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OHIO
Ohio
BobcatsBalancedMid-American Conference0-1#89 (-2.39)
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
35· DOverall
Offense
61· CRating
34· DPer play
17· DConsistency
73· BBig plays
Defense
13· FRating
3· FPer play
5· FConsistency
Situational
88· BRed-zone O
18· DRed-zone D
18· D3rd down O
3· F3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
+0.017
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.067
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.024
Defensive EPA/play
+0.353
lower = better
Off Success Rate
38.5%
Def Success Rate
58.1%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
25.8%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
31.1%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.377
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
0.000
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.82
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
+0.50
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.27
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.03
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.04
own return game
Return Defense
+0.15
vs opponent returns
Peer Context
Where Ohio ranks among all FBS teams in 2026 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense60th
Opp-adjusted defense9th
Offensive EPA/play35th
Defensive EPA/play3th
Offensive success rate14th
Explosiveness74th
Defensive havoc36th
Points per drive34th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Texas State2020OA -0.012 / -0.051similar: turnover rate, rushing offense, defensive success rate3952Vanderbilt2022OA +0.014 / -0.067similar: passing offense, offensive EPA, takeaway rate3403Texas State2021OA -0.092 / -0.137similar: TD drive rate, passing offense, offensive EPA3374South Carolina2020OA +0.001 / -0.037similar: defensive success rate, pass defense, turnover rate3375South Florida2021OA -0.052 / -0.142similar: run defense, offensive EPA, defensive success rate336
2026 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Nebraska | 21-49 | L | +24.0 | L | 47.5 | O |
| 2 | vs Jacksonville State | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 3 | @ South Alabama | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 4 | vs Stonehill | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5 | @ Kent State | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 6 | vs Central Michigan | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 7 | @ Sacramento State | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 8 | vs Eastern Michigan | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 10 | @ Akron | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 11 | @ Miami (OH) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 12 | vs Ball State | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 13 | vs Toledo | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
0-1
0.0%
O/U Record
1-0
100.0%
Straight Up
0-1
0.0%
Home ATS0-0
Away ATS0-1
Favorite ATS0-0
Underdog ATS0-1
Last 5 ATS
L
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.030 | 35th | +0.353 | 4th |
| Red Zone | +0.601 | 88th | +0.551 | 18th |
| Third Down | -0.320 | 18th | +1.089 | 3th |
| No Garbage Time | +0.060 | 50th | +0.331 | 4th |
| First Half | +0.089 | 55th | +0.185 | 15th |
| Second Half | -0.170 | 24th | +0.531 | 3th |
| Early Downs | +0.017 | 45th | +0.090 | 18th |
| Passing Downs | -0.234 | 18th | +0.854 | 2th |
| Standard Downs | +0.106 | 65th | +0.155 | 12th |
| Goal to Go | +0.601 | 75th | +0.284 | 57th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 49.2%Rush 50.8%
Havoc/Game
12.0
Havoc Rate
15.8%
TO Margin
-1.0
Explosive/G
16.0
Yards/Game
303.0
Pts/Drive
1.82
3rd Down%
40.0%
3&Out%
27.3%
Team Statistics
2026 season totals across 1 games — Ohio vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Ohio | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 21 | 49 |
| Points / Game | 21.0 | 49.0 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 17 | 28 |
| Rushing | 9 | 13 |
| Passing | 7 | 13 |
| Penalty | 1 | 2 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 33 | 42 |
| Yards | 139 | 248 |
| Yards / Carry | 4.2 | 5.9 |
| Yards / Game | 139.0 | 248.0 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 4 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 32 | 32 |
| Completions | 14 | 18 |
| Completion % | 43.8% | 56.3% |
| Yards | 164 | 275 |
| Yards / Attempt | 5.1 | 8.6 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 3 |
| Interceptions | 1 | 0 |
| Passer Rating | 90.86 | 159.38 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 65 | 74 |
| Yards | 303 | 523 |
| Yards / Play | 4.7 | 7.1 |
| Yards / Game | 303.0 | 523.0 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 0 | 1 |
| Yards | 0 | 9 |
| Average | — | 9.0 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 1 | 1 |
| Yards | 23 | 8 |
| Average | 23.0 | 8.0 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 4 | 3 |
| Yards | 181 | 120 |
| Average | 45.3 | 40.0 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 0 | 1 |
| Yards | 0 | 35 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 1 | 1 |
| Lost | 0 | 0 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 2 | 9 |
| Yards | 30 | 65 |
| Yards / Game | 30.0 | 65.0 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 29:21 | 30:39 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 15 | 14 |
| Conversions | 6 | 9 |
| Conversion % | 40.0% | 64.3% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 1 | 2 |
| Conversions | 1 | 1 |
| Conversion % | 100.0% | 50.0% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 2 | 4 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 2 | 4 |
| Score % | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Touchdowns | 2 | 4 |
| TD % | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 3 | 0 |
| Made | 2 | 0 |
| Pct | 66.7% | — |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 1 | 7 |
| Made | 1 | 7 |
| Pct | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 1 | 0 |
| Made | 1 | 0 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.