← All Teams
OHIO
Ohio
BobcatsBalancedMid-American Conference10-4#72 (-0.23)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
47· COverall
Offense
69· CRating
80· BPer play
80· BConsistency
68· CBig plays
Defense
22· DRating
36· DPer play
39· DConsistency
Situational
65· CRed-zone O
44· CRed-zone D
69· C3rd down O
30· D3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
+0.047
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.102
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.096
Defensive EPA/play
+0.017
lower = better
Off Success Rate
48.7%
Def Success Rate
46.5%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
25.1%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
24.5%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.079
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.102
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.63
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
+0.15
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.13
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.83
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.44
own return game
Return Defense
+0.67
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#72
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#88
model 16 higher
Recruiting Rank
#75
model 3 spots higher
0 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where Ohio ranks among all FBS teams in 2022 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense68th
Opp-adjusted defense13th
Offensive EPA/play81th
Defensive EPA/play37th
Offensive success rate72th
Explosiveness69th
Defensive havoc76th
Points per drive79th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Illinois2025OA +0.115 / +0.021similar: passing offense, defensive EPA, offensive EPA4722Texas2018OA +0.090 / +0.028similar: passing offense, TD drive rate, defensive EPA4193Duke2022OA +0.068 / -0.022similar: takeaway rate, offensive EPA, havoc rate3934West Virginia2018OA +0.080 / -0.015similar: pass defense, takeaway rate, passing offense3865SMU2020OA +0.035 / -0.008similar: passing offense, TD drive rate, offensive EPA380
2022 Schedule & Results
14 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Florida Atlantic | 41-38 | W | +4.5 | W | 49.5 | O |
| 2 | @ Penn State | 10-46 | L | +28.0 | L | 54.5 | O |
| 3 | @ Iowa State | 10-43 | L | +18.5 | L | 48 | O |
| 4 | vs Fordham | 59-52 | W | -17.5 | L | 70.5 | O |
| 5 | @ Kent State | 24-31 | L | +11.5 | W | 65 | U |
| 6 | vs Akron | 55-34 | W | -10.0 | W | 59 | O |
| 7 | @ Western Michigan | 33-14 | W | -1.0 | W | 58.5 | U |
| 8 | vs Northern Illinois | 24-17 | W | +3.0 | W | 65.5 | U |
| 10 | vs Buffalo | 45-24 | W | -2.5 | W | 52 | O |
| 11 | @ Miami (OH) | 37-21 | W | -3.5 | W | 57 | U |
| 12 | @ Ball State | 32-18 | W | -7.0 | W | 55 | U |
| 13 | vs Bowling Green | 38-14 | W | - | - | - | - |
| 14 | vs Toledo | 7-17 | L | +3.0 | L | 54.5 | U |
| 18 | @ Wyoming | 30-27 | W | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
10-4
71.4%
O/U Record
8-6
57.1%
Straight Up
10-4
71.4%
Home ATS5-2
Away ATS5-2
Favorite ATS6-1
Underdog ATS4-3
Last 5 ATS
WWWLW
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.073 | 77th | +0.017 | 36th |
| Red Zone | +0.077 | 65th | +0.014 | 44th |
| Third Down | +0.184 | 70th | +0.138 | 30th |
| No Garbage Time | +0.092 | 81th | +0.010 | 39th |
| First Half | +0.154 | 90th | +0.048 | 25th |
| Second Half | -0.011 | 53th | -0.011 | 44th |
| Early Downs | +0.035 | 72th | +0.013 | 34th |
| Passing Downs | +0.205 | 90th | +0.073 | 27th |
| Standard Downs | +0.001 | 53th | -0.013 | 47th |
| Goal to Go | +0.044 | 63th | +0.259 | 10th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 48.5%Rush 51.5%
Havoc/Game
14.9
Havoc Rate
20.9%
TO Margin
+0.9
Explosive/G
15.6
Yards/Game
421.5
Pts/Drive
2.63
3rd Down%
42.0%
3&Out%
13.5%
Team Statistics
2022 season totals across 14 games — Ohio vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Ohio | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 445 | 396 |
| Points / Game | 31.8 | 28.3 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 291 | 310 |
| Rushing | 110 | 98 |
| Passing | 167 | 188 |
| Penalty | 14 | 24 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 492 | 460 |
| Yards | 2,008 | 1,973 |
| Yards / Carry | 4.1 | 4.3 |
| Yards / Game | 143.4 | 140.9 |
| Touchdowns | 23 | 19 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 464 | 511 |
| Completions | 302 | 333 |
| Completion % | 65.1% | 65.2% |
| Yards | 3,893 | 4,004 |
| Yards / Attempt | 8.4 | 7.8 |
| Touchdowns | 28 | 29 |
| Interceptions | 5 | 12 |
| Passer Rating | 153.32 | 145.02 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 956 | 971 |
| Yards | 5,901 | 5,977 |
| Yards / Play | 6.2 | 6.2 |
| Yards / Game | 421.5 | 426.9 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 15 | 17 |
| Yards | 31 | 147 |
| Average | 2.1 | 8.6 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 56 | 40 |
| Yards | 1,115 | 701 |
| Average | 19.9 | 17.5 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 59 | 50 |
| Yards | 2,222 | 2,042 |
| Average | 37.7 | 40.8 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 12 | 5 |
| Yards | 163 | 87 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 1 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 15 | 23 |
| Lost | 8 | 13 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 69 | 83 |
| Yards | 618 | 725 |
| Yards / Game | 44.1 | 51.8 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 32:10 | 27:50 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 188 | 181 |
| Conversions | 79 | 71 |
| Conversion % | 42.0% | 39.2% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 17 | 34 |
| Conversions | 6 | 13 |
| Conversion % | 35.3% | 38.2% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 65 | 52 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 58 | 46 |
| Score % | 89.2% | 88.5% |
| Touchdowns | 41 | 34 |
| TD % | 63.1% | 65.4% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 27 | 20 |
| Made | 22 | 17 |
| Pct | 81.5% | 85.0% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 50 | 47 |
| Made | 49 | 45 |
| Pct | 98.0% | 95.7% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 2 | 2 |
| Made | 2 | 2 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.