← All Teams
UNM
New Mexico
LobosRun-HeavyMountain West Conference3-9#115 (-8.00)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
13· FOverall
Offense
20· DRating
13· FPer play
19· DConsistency
20· DBig plays
Defense
13· FRating
29· DPer play
17· DConsistency
Situational
75· BRed-zone O
22· DRed-zone D
12· F3rd down O
65· C3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.119
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.070
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.119
Defensive EPA/play
+0.052
lower = better
Off Success Rate
44.3%
Def Success Rate
48.6%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
21.7%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
25.5%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.170
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.237
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.71
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
+0.85
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.93
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.20
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.08
own return game
Return Defense
+0.04
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#115
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#77
recruiting 38 spots higher
0 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where New Mexico ranks among all FBS teams in 2018 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense13th
Opp-adjusted defense25th
Offensive EPA/play13th
Defensive EPA/play30th
Offensive success rate31th
Explosiveness20th
Defensive havoc23th
Points per drive21th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Colorado State2025OA -0.128 / -0.100similar: offensive EPA, turnover rate, TD drive rate3902Bowling Green2019OA -0.182 / -0.074similar: rushing offense, havoc rate, defensive EPA3743Nebraska2022OA +0.012 / -0.072similar: defensive EPA, offensive success rate, rushing offense3514Illinois2017OA -0.133 / -0.054similar: defensive success rate, turnover rate, havoc rate3435Tennessee2020OA -0.035 / -0.016similar: defensive EPA, pass defense, havoc rate335
2018 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Incarnate Word | 62-30 | W | -36.0 | L | 63.5 | O |
| 2 | @ Wisconsin | 14-45 | L | +35.5 | W | 58 | O |
| 3 | @ New Mexico State | 42-25 | W | -3.0 | W | 60.5 | O |
| 5 | vs Liberty | 43-52 | L | -7.0 | L | 65 | O |
| 6 | @ UNLV | 50-14 | W | +8.0 | W | 62.5 | O |
| 7 | @ Colorado State | 18-20 | L | -1.5 | L | 63 | U |
| 8 | vs Fresno State | 7-38 | L | +14.0 | L | 52.5 | U |
| 9 | @ Utah State | 19-61 | L | +20.0 | L | 64 | O |
| 10 | vs San Diego State | 23-31 | L | +12.0 | W | 45.5 | O |
| 11 | @ Air Force | 24-42 | L | +14.0 | L | 55 | O |
| 12 | vs Boise State | 14-45 | L | +21.0 | L | 61 | U |
| 13 | vs Wyoming | 3-31 | L | +7.0 | L | 43 | U |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
4-8
33.3%
O/U Record
8-4
66.7%
Straight Up
3-9
25.0%
Home ATS1-5
Away ATS3-3
Favorite ATS1-3
Underdog ATS3-5
Last 5 ATS
LWLLL
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.080 | 17th | +0.018 | 43th |
| Red Zone | +0.107 | 76th | +0.153 | 23th |
| Third Down | -0.153 | 12th | -0.029 | 66th |
| No Garbage Time | -0.108 | 14th | +0.035 | 36th |
| First Half | -0.082 | 24th | +0.059 | 26th |
| Second Half | -0.078 | 19th | -0.023 | 60th |
| Early Downs | -0.006 | 52th | -0.002 | 44th |
| Passing Downs | -0.149 | 13th | +0.073 | 37th |
| Standard Downs | -0.043 | 29th | -0.008 | 47th |
| Goal to Go | +0.118 | 59th | +0.022 | 60th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 36.3%Rush 63.7%
Havoc/Game
12.7
Havoc Rate
16.4%
TO Margin
-0.3
Explosive/G
10.9
Yards/Game
330.0
Pts/Drive
1.71
3rd Down%
37.3%
3&Out%
24.4%
Team Statistics
2018 season totals across 12 games — New Mexico vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | New Mexico | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 319 | 434 |
| Points / Game | 26.6 | 36.2 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 210 | 284 |
| Rushing | 110 | 134 |
| Passing | 85 | 129 |
| Penalty | 15 | 21 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 505 | 536 |
| Yards | 1,838 | 2,604 |
| Yards / Carry | 3.6 | 4.9 |
| Yards / Game | 153.2 | 217.0 |
| Touchdowns | 17 | 30 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 288 | 363 |
| Completions | 153 | 209 |
| Completion % | 53.1% | 57.6% |
| Yards | 2,122 | 3,072 |
| Yards / Attempt | 7.4 | 8.5 |
| Touchdowns | 21 | 23 |
| Interceptions | 17 | 9 |
| Passer Rating | 127.27 | 144.61 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 793 | 899 |
| Yards | 3,960 | 5,676 |
| Yards / Play | 5.0 | 6.3 |
| Yards / Game | 330.0 | 473.0 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 17 | 29 |
| Yards | 330 | 218 |
| Average | 19.4 | 7.5 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 24 | 18 |
| Yards | 378 | 268 |
| Average | 15.8 | 14.9 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 75 | 58 |
| Yards | 3,278 | 2,500 |
| Average | 43.7 | 43.1 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 9 | 16 |
| Yards | 213 | 213 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 2 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 19 | 23 |
| Lost | 9 | 13 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 56 | 76 |
| Yards | 569 | 588 |
| Yards / Game | 47.4 | 49.0 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 27:36 | 32:24 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 161 | 179 |
| Conversions | 60 | 77 |
| Conversion % | 37.3% | 43.0% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 12 | 16 |
| Conversions | 4 | 9 |
| Conversion % | 33.3% | 56.3% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 40 | 57 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 33 | 51 |
| Score % | 82.5% | 89.5% |
| Touchdowns | 28 | 38 |
| TD % | 70.0% | 66.7% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 8 | 18 |
| Made | 7 | 14 |
| Pct | 87.5% | 77.8% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 39 | 54 |
| Made | 34 | 54 |
| Pct | 87.2% | 100.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 4 | 2 |
| Made | 2 | 1 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.