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NEB
Nebraska
CornhuskersRun-HeavyBig Ten Conference3-5#94 (-3.47)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
27· DOverall
Offense
46· CRating
50· CPer play
73· BConsistency
61· CBig plays
Defense
43· CRating
52· CPer play
51· CConsistency
Situational
21· DRed-zone O
58· CRed-zone D
65· C3rd down O
80· B3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.001
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.002
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.008
Defensive EPA/play
+0.017
lower = better
Off Success Rate
49.0%
Def Success Rate
47.2%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
24.9%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
22.6%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.009
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.013
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.95
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
-1.89
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.58
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.36
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.18
own return game
Return Defense
-0.77
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#94
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#64
market 30 higher
Recruiting Rank
—
no recruiting profile
Peer Context
Where Nebraska ranks among all FBS teams in 2020 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense52th
Opp-adjusted defense50th
Offensive EPA/play51th
Defensive EPA/play52th
Offensive success rate73th
Explosiveness62th
Defensive havoc41th
Points per drive32th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Tulsa2021OA -0.014 / +0.041similar: havoc rate, offensive EPA, defensive EPA3562Texas Tech2023OA -0.073 / +0.054similar: defensive EPA, havoc rate, offensive success rate3443Marshall2019OA -0.070 / -0.000similar: rushing offense, TD drive rate, takeaway rate3374Purdue2022OA +0.107 / -0.006similar: offensive success rate, havoc rate, rushing offense3315BYU2019OA +0.026 / -0.004similar: defensive EPA, offensive EPA, offensive success rate329
2020 Schedule & Results
8 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | @ Ohio State | 17-52 | L | +26.3 | L | 68 | O |
| 10 | @ Northwestern | 13-21 | L | +3.5 | L | 54.5 | U |
| 11 | vs Penn State | 30-23 | W | +3.0 | W | 55.5 | U |
| 12 | vs Illinois | 23-41 | L | -16.5 | L | 59 | O |
| 13 | @ Iowa | 20-26 | L | - | - | - | - |
| 14 | @ Purdue | 37-27 | W | +2.0 | W | 62.5 | O |
| 15 | vs Minnesota | 17-24 | L | -8.5 | L | 60.75 | U |
| 16 | @ Rutgers | 28-21 | W | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
4-4
50.0%
O/U Record
3-5
37.5%
Straight Up
3-5
37.5%
Home ATS1-2
Away ATS3-2
Favorite ATS1-2
Underdog ATS3-2
Last 5 ATS
WLWWL
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.008 | 50th | +0.021 | 53th |
| Red Zone | -0.121 | 21th | -0.041 | 59th |
| Third Down | +0.148 | 66th | -0.089 | 80th |
| No Garbage Time | +0.009 | 51th | +0.016 | 52th |
| First Half | +0.004 | 50th | -0.038 | 70th |
| Second Half | +0.013 | 48th | +0.081 | 30th |
| Early Downs | +0.004 | 52th | +0.004 | 54th |
| Passing Downs | -0.027 | 40th | -0.055 | 73th |
| Standard Downs | +0.023 | 57th | +0.058 | 30th |
| Goal to Go | +0.110 | 57th | -0.215 | 80th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 40.7%Rush 59.3%
Havoc/Game
12.9
Havoc Rate
17.7%
TO Margin
-1.4
Explosive/G
16.6
Yards/Game
391.5
Pts/Drive
1.95
3rd Down%
36.5%
3&Out%
17.0%
Team Statistics
2020 season totals across 8 games — Nebraska vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Nebraska | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 185 | 235 |
| Points / Game | 23.1 | 29.4 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 171 | 166 |
| Rushing | 91 | 69 |
| Passing | 68 | 83 |
| Penalty | 12 | 14 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 334 | 325 |
| Yards | 1,611 | 1,356 |
| Yards / Carry | 4.8 | 4.2 |
| Yards / Game | 201.4 | 169.5 |
| Touchdowns | 15 | 15 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 229 | 241 |
| Completions | 156 | 152 |
| Completion % | 68.1% | 63.1% |
| Yards | 1,521 | 1,736 |
| Yards / Attempt | 6.6 | 7.2 |
| Touchdowns | 5 | 10 |
| Interceptions | 9 | 5 |
| Passer Rating | 123.26 | 133.12 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 563 | 566 |
| Yards | 3,132 | 3,092 |
| Yards / Play | 5.6 | 5.5 |
| Yards / Game | 391.5 | 386.5 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 9 | 12 |
| Yards | 120 | 146 |
| Average | 13.3 | 12.2 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 15 | 22 |
| Yards | 274 | 498 |
| Average | 18.3 | 22.6 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 1 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 33 | 29 |
| Yards | 1,310 | 1,148 |
| Average | 39.7 | 39.6 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 5 | 9 |
| Yards | 102 | 45 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 22 | 13 |
| Lost | 9 | 2 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 54 | 39 |
| Yards | 485 | 357 |
| Yards / Game | 60.6 | 44.6 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 28:42 | 31:18 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 104 | 116 |
| Conversions | 38 | 47 |
| Conversion % | 36.5% | 40.5% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 13 | 20 |
| Conversions | 8 | 13 |
| Conversion % | 61.5% | 65.0% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 35 | 35 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 30 | 30 |
| Score % | 85.7% | 85.7% |
| Touchdowns | 18 | 18 |
| TD % | 51.4% | 51.4% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 15 | 18 |
| Made | 13 | 15 |
| Pct | 86.7% | 83.3% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 20 | 26 |
| Made | 20 | 26 |
| Pct | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 1 | 1 |
| Made | 0 | 1 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.