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BYU
BYU
CougarsBalancedBig 12 Conference7-6#56 (+1.81)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
58· COverall
Offense
59· CRating
52· CPer play
73· BConsistency
74· BBig plays
Defense
53· CRating
52· CPer play
35· DConsistency
Situational
9· FRed-zone O
60· CRed-zone D
62· C3rd down O
78· B3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
+0.026
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.004
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.014
Defensive EPA/play
-0.002
lower = better
Off Success Rate
48.7%
Def Success Rate
47.1%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
25.2%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
22.2%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.016
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.094
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.23
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
-0.51
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.17
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.36
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.00
own return game
Return Defense
+0.02
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#56
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#46
recruiting 10 spots higher
4 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where BYU ranks among all FBS teams in 2019 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense60th
Opp-adjusted defense51th
Offensive EPA/play53th
Defensive EPA/play53th
Offensive success rate77th
Explosiveness75th
Defensive havoc14th
Points per drive53th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Troy2020OA -0.011 / +0.020similar: TD drive rate, run defense, takeaway rate3772Tulsa2021OA -0.014 / +0.041similar: defensive EPA, rushing offense, run defense3533Western Kentucky2019OA -0.013 / +0.057similar: run defense, turnover rate, passing offense3504Western Kentucky2022OA +0.067 / +0.031similar: run defense, turnover rate, defensive success rate3375Minnesota2018OA +0.042 / +0.079similar: offensive EPA, TD drive rate, defensive EPA331
2019 Schedule & Results
13 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Utah | 12-30 | L | -3.0 | L | 65.5 | O |
| 2 | @ Tennessee | 29-26 | W | +3.0 | W | 51.5 | O |
| 3 | vs USC | 30-27 | W | +4.5 | W | 57.5 | U |
| 4 | vs Washington | 19-45 | L | +6.5 | L | 51 | O |
| 5 | @ Toledo | 21-28 | L | -1.5 | L | 63.5 | U |
| 7 | @ South Florida | 23-27 | L | -4.5 | L | 50 | P |
| 8 | vs Boise State | 28-25 | W | +7.0 | W | 45 | O |
| 10 | @ Utah State | 42-14 | W | +3.0 | W | 51.5 | O |
| 11 | vs Liberty | 31-24 | W | -17.5 | L | 62.5 | U |
| 12 | vs Idaho State | 42-10 | W | - | - | - | - |
| 13 | @ Massachusetts | 56-24 | W | -42.5 | L | 69 | O |
| 14 | @ San Diego State | 3-13 | L | -5.0 | L | 39 | U |
| 18 | @ Hawai'i | 34-38 | L | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
4-7
36.4%
O/U Record
6-4-1
60.0%
Straight Up
7-5
58.3%
Home ATS2-3
Away ATS2-4
Favorite ATS0-6
Underdog ATS4-1
Last 5 ATS
WLLL
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.004 | 49th | -0.025 | 60th |
| Red Zone | -0.278 | 9th | -0.052 | 61th |
| Third Down | +0.097 | 63th | -0.104 | 78th |
| No Garbage Time | +0.013 | 51th | -0.001 | 51th |
| First Half | +0.065 | 68th | -0.077 | 72th |
| Second Half | -0.061 | 27th | +0.025 | 39th |
| Early Downs | -0.024 | 37th | -0.005 | 56th |
| Passing Downs | +0.128 | 77th | -0.045 | 60th |
| Standard Downs | -0.058 | 25th | -0.015 | 58th |
| Goal to Go | -0.298 | 17th | -0.208 | 71th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 50.2%Rush 49.8%
Havoc/Game
11.0
Havoc Rate
15.2%
TO Margin
+0.1
Explosive/G
15.6
Yards/Game
443.8
Pts/Drive
2.23
3rd Down%
42.5%
3&Out%
14.1%
Team Statistics
2019 season totals across 13 games — BYU vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | BYU | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 370 | 331 |
| Points / Game | 28.5 | 25.5 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 294 | 267 |
| Rushing | 107 | 123 |
| Passing | 170 | 127 |
| Penalty | 17 | 17 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 465 | 515 |
| Yards | 2,068 | 2,178 |
| Yards / Carry | 4.4 | 4.2 |
| Yards / Game | 159.1 | 167.5 |
| Touchdowns | 25 | 14 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 468 | 399 |
| Completions | 296 | 254 |
| Completion % | 63.2% | 63.7% |
| Yards | 3,701 | 2,938 |
| Yards / Attempt | 7.9 | 7.4 |
| Touchdowns | 20 | 22 |
| Interceptions | 11 | 15 |
| Passer Rating | 139.08 | 136.19 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 933 | 914 |
| Yards | 5,769 | 5,116 |
| Yards / Play | 6.2 | 5.6 |
| Yards / Game | 443.8 | 393.5 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 21 | 16 |
| Yards | 283 | 184 |
| Average | 13.5 | 11.5 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 1 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 22 | 46 |
| Yards | 427 | 885 |
| Average | 19.4 | 19.2 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 53 | 61 |
| Yards | 2,209 | 2,635 |
| Average | 41.7 | 43.2 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 15 | 11 |
| Yards | 240 | 198 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 2 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 15 | 13 |
| Lost | 10 | 7 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 79 | 82 |
| Yards | 668 | 709 |
| Yards / Game | 51.4 | 54.5 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 30:23 | 29:37 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 186 | 188 |
| Conversions | 79 | 76 |
| Conversion % | 42.5% | 40.4% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 19 | 21 |
| Conversions | 7 | 10 |
| Conversion % | 36.8% | 47.6% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 60 | 45 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 44 | 36 |
| Score % | 73.3% | 80.0% |
| Touchdowns | 31 | 26 |
| TD % | 51.7% | 57.8% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 27 | 21 |
| Made | 17 | 17 |
| Pct | 63.0% | 81.0% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 44 | 38 |
| Made | 43 | 36 |
| Pct | 97.7% | 94.7% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 1 | 2 |
| Made | 0 | 2 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.