← All Teams
PUR
Purdue
BoilermakersBalancedBig Ten Conference8-6#66 (+0.37)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
51· COverall
Offense
57· CRating
54· CPer play
72· BConsistency
43· CBig plays
Defense
47· CRating
45· CPer play
40· CConsistency
Situational
73· BRed-zone O
40· CRed-zone D
33· D3rd down O
92· A-3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
+0.107
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.006
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.007
Defensive EPA/play
-0.009
lower = better
Off Success Rate
48.8%
Def Success Rate
45.6%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
23.2%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
23.1%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.016
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.053
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.01
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
-0.23
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.20
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.14
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.18
own return game
Return Defense
+0.29
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#66
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#70
model 4 higher
Recruiting Rank
#32
recruiting 34 spots higher
14 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where Purdue ranks among all FBS teams in 2022 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense84th
Opp-adjusted defense50th
Offensive EPA/play54th
Defensive EPA/play46th
Offensive success rate73th
Explosiveness43th
Defensive havoc43th
Points per drive42th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Georgia2024OA +0.023 / +0.023similar: turnover rate, takeaway rate, pass defense3672North Carolina2024OA -0.010 / -0.021similar: defensive success rate, passing offense, run defense3583Ole Miss2026OA +0.002 / -0.042similar: defensive success rate, run defense, offensive EPA3504USC2024OA +0.030 / -0.010similar: passing offense, takeaway rate, pass defense3435Georgia Southern2024OA -0.003 / -0.012similar: offensive EPA, turnover rate, pass defense342
2022 Schedule & Results
14 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Penn State | 31-35 | L | - | - | - | - |
| 2 | vs Indiana State | 56-0 | W | - | - | - | - |
| 3 | @ Syracuse | 29-32 | L | +1.5 | L | 60 | O |
| 4 | vs Florida Atlantic | 28-26 | W | -20.0 | L | 61.5 | U |
| 5 | @ Minnesota | 20-10 | W | +12.0 | W | 52 | U |
| 6 | @ Maryland | 31-29 | W | +3.0 | W | 59.5 | O |
| 7 | vs Nebraska | 43-37 | W | -14.0 | L | 56.5 | O |
| 8 | @ Wisconsin | 24-35 | L | +2.5 | L | 51 | O |
| 10 | vs Iowa | 3-24 | L | -4.5 | L | 41.5 | U |
| 11 | @ Illinois | 31-24 | W | +6.5 | W | 44.5 | O |
| 12 | vs Northwestern | 17-9 | W | -19.5 | L | 47.5 | U |
| 13 | @ Indiana | 30-16 | W | -10.5 | W | 54 | U |
| 14 | @ Michigan | 22-43 | L | +17.0 | L | 52 | O |
| 18 | vs LSU | 7-63 | L | +15.0 | L | 55 | O |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
4-9
30.8%
O/U Record
8-5
61.5%
Straight Up
8-6
57.1%
Home ATS0-6
Away ATS4-3
Favorite ATS1-4
Underdog ATS3-5
Last 5 ATS
WLWLL
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.001 | 52th | -0.033 | 56th |
| Red Zone | +0.101 | 73th | +0.025 | 41th |
| Third Down | -0.014 | 33th | -0.240 | 93th |
| No Garbage Time | +0.015 | 57th | -0.006 | 44th |
| First Half | -0.003 | 50th | +0.028 | 33th |
| Second Half | +0.002 | 58th | -0.094 | 80th |
| Early Downs | +0.038 | 73th | +0.012 | 36th |
| Passing Downs | -0.045 | 44th | -0.165 | 82th |
| Standard Downs | +0.020 | 61th | +0.037 | 21th |
| Goal to Go | +0.227 | 81th | -0.327 | 84th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 55.6%Rush 44.4%
Havoc/Game
11.5
Havoc Rate
17.5%
TO Margin
-0.2
Explosive/G
15.5
Yards/Game
399.8
Pts/Drive
2.01
3rd Down%
38.3%
3&Out%
18.9%
Team Statistics
2022 season totals across 14 games — Purdue vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Purdue | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 372 | 383 |
| Points / Game | 26.6 | 27.4 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 323 | 256 |
| Rushing | 111 | 95 |
| Passing | 178 | 134 |
| Penalty | 34 | 27 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 466 | 475 |
| Yards | 1,694 | 1,990 |
| Yards / Carry | 3.6 | 4.2 |
| Yards / Game | 121.0 | 142.1 |
| Touchdowns | 17 | 19 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 583 | 415 |
| Completions | 369 | 238 |
| Completion % | 63.3% | 57.3% |
| Yards | 3,903 | 3,149 |
| Yards / Attempt | 6.7 | 7.6 |
| Touchdowns | 26 | 28 |
| Interceptions | 17 | 15 |
| Passer Rating | 128.41 | 136.12 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 1,049 | 890 |
| Yards | 5,597 | 5,139 |
| Yards / Play | 5.3 | 5.8 |
| Yards / Game | 399.8 | 367.1 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 23 | 20 |
| Yards | 164 | 92 |
| Average | 7.1 | 4.6 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 29 | 28 |
| Yards | 504 | 528 |
| Average | 17.4 | 18.9 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 59 | 76 |
| Yards | 2,460 | 3,290 |
| Average | 41.7 | 43.3 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 15 | 17 |
| Yards | 290 | 216 |
| Touchdowns | 3 | 3 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 12 | 15 |
| Lost | 6 | 5 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 75 | 83 |
| Yards | 751 | 805 |
| Yards / Game | 53.6 | 57.5 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 31:58 | 28:02 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 209 | 188 |
| Conversions | 80 | 66 |
| Conversion % | 38.3% | 35.1% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 33 | 19 |
| Conversions | 18 | 10 |
| Conversion % | 54.5% | 52.6% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 54 | 46 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 50 | 38 |
| Score % | 92.6% | 82.6% |
| Touchdowns | 35 | 31 |
| TD % | 64.8% | 67.4% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 24 | 18 |
| Made | 18 | 12 |
| Pct | 75.0% | 66.7% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 45 | 44 |
| Made | 42 | 43 |
| Pct | 93.3% | 97.7% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 1 | 5 |
| Made | 0 | 2 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.