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UGA
Georgia
BulldogsBalancedSoutheastern Conference11-3#15 (+8.04)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
89· BOverall
Offense
83· BRating
65· CPer play
81· BConsistency
86· BBig plays
Defense
83· BRating
65· CPer play
66· CConsistency
Situational
74· BRed-zone O
82· BRed-zone D
27· D3rd down O
85· B3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
+0.023
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.023
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.045
Defensive EPA/play
-0.043
lower = better
Off Success Rate
49.7%
Def Success Rate
43.9%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
26.1%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
21.5%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.088
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.154
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.57
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
+0.81
expected pts/game
Kicking
+1.60
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.67
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.07
own return game
Return Defense
-0.04
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#15
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
#6
AP 9 spots higher
Market (Vegas)
#7
market 8 higher
Recruiting Rank
#2
recruiting 13 spots higher
81 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where Georgia ranks among all FBS teams in 2024 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense75th
Opp-adjusted defense72th
Offensive EPA/play66th
Defensive EPA/play66th
Offensive success rate85th
Explosiveness87th
Defensive havoc62th
Points per drive74th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1TCU2017OA -0.025 / +0.166similar: takeaway rate, offensive EPA, TD drive rate3812Louisville2023OA +0.017 / +0.060similar: turnover rate, pass defense, run defense3803Clemson2022OA +0.026 / +0.116similar: rushing offense, run defense, TD drive rate3754Purdue2022OA +0.107 / -0.006similar: turnover rate, takeaway rate, pass defense3675Arkansas2024OA +0.013 / +0.013similar: run defense, defensive EPA, offensive success rate367
2024 Schedule & Results
14 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Clemson | 34-3 | W | -13.5 | W | 48.5 | U |
| 2 | vs Tennessee Tech | 48-3 | W | -54.5 | L | 68.5 | U |
| 3 | @ Kentucky | 13-12 | W | -24.0 | L | 45 | U |
| 5 | @ Alabama | 34-41 | L | -2.0 | L | 48.5 | O |
| 6 | vs Auburn | 31-13 | W | -23.0 | L | 52 | U |
| 7 | vs Mississippi State | 41-31 | W | -34.0 | L | 53.5 | O |
| 8 | @ Texas | 30-15 | W | +3.5 | W | 56 | U |
| 10 | vs Florida | 34-20 | W | -16.5 | L | 52.5 | O |
| 11 | @ Ole Miss | 10-28 | L | -2.5 | L | 55 | U |
| 12 | vs Tennessee | 31-17 | W | -9.5 | W | 48.5 | U |
| 13 | vs Massachusetts | 59-21 | W | -19.5 | L | 53 | O |
| 14 | vs Georgia Tech | 44-42 | W | - | - | - | - |
| 15 | @ Texas | 22-19 | W | +3.0 | W | 50 | U |
| 19 | vs Notre Dame | 10-23 | L | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
4-10
28.6%
O/U Record
5-9
35.7%
Straight Up
11-3
78.6%
Home ATS2-7
Away ATS2-3
Favorite ATS2-9
Underdog ATS2-1
Last 5 ATS
WLLWL
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.052 | 67th | -0.061 | 75th |
| Red Zone | +0.127 | 75th | -0.174 | 83th |
| Third Down | -0.010 | 27th | -0.091 | 86th |
| No Garbage Time | +0.045 | 67th | -0.043 | 65th |
| First Half | -0.091 | 22th | -0.072 | 69th |
| Second Half | +0.185 | 99th | -0.048 | 72th |
| Early Downs | +0.048 | 78th | -0.019 | 47th |
| Passing Downs | +0.047 | 55th | -0.155 | 87th |
| Standard Downs | +0.054 | 74th | -0.002 | 46th |
| Goal to Go | +0.167 | 69th | +0.098 | 33th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 54.5%Rush 45.5%
Havoc/Game
13.0
Havoc Rate
19.4%
TO Margin
-0.1
Explosive/G
16.4
Yards/Game
405.4
Pts/Drive
2.57
3rd Down%
39.2%
3&Out%
14.7%
Team Statistics
2024 season totals across 14 games — Georgia vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Georgia | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 441 | 288 |
| Points / Game | 31.5 | 20.6 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 306 | 249 |
| Rushing | 102 | 98 |
| Passing | 181 | 124 |
| Penalty | 23 | 27 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 429 | 489 |
| Yards | 1,742 | 1,815 |
| Yards / Carry | 4.1 | 3.7 |
| Yards / Game | 124.4 | 129.6 |
| Touchdowns | 24 | 14 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 513 | 426 |
| Completions | 336 | 251 |
| Completion % | 65.5% | 58.9% |
| Yards | 3,934 | 2,803 |
| Yards / Attempt | 7.7 | 6.6 |
| Touchdowns | 29 | 14 |
| Interceptions | 13 | 8 |
| Passer Rating | 143.50 | 121.28 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 942 | 915 |
| Yards | 5,676 | 4,618 |
| Yards / Play | 6.0 | 5.0 |
| Yards / Game | 405.4 | 329.9 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 21 | 11 |
| Yards | 168 | 57 |
| Average | 8.0 | 5.2 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 12 | 21 |
| Yards | 186 | 450 |
| Average | 15.5 | 21.4 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 1 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 46 | 64 |
| Yards | 2,157 | 2,738 |
| Average | 46.9 | 42.8 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 8 | 13 |
| Yards | 23 | 156 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 24 | 18 |
| Lost | 7 | 11 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 80 | 89 |
| Yards | 751 | 690 |
| Yards / Game | 53.6 | 49.3 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 30:05 | 29:54 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 176 | 195 |
| Conversions | 69 | 64 |
| Conversion % | 39.2% | 32.8% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 27 | 31 |
| Conversions | 18 | 17 |
| Conversion % | 66.7% | 54.8% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 60 | 42 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 54 | 34 |
| Score % | 90.0% | 81.0% |
| Touchdowns | 42 | 20 |
| TD % | 70.0% | 47.6% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 23 | 32 |
| Made | 21 | 27 |
| Pct | 91.3% | 84.4% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 48 | 25 |
| Made | 48 | 25 |
| Pct | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 11 | 10 |
| Made | 3 | 3 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.