Fourth Down Data
← All Teams
KU

Kansas

JayhawksBalanced
Big 12 Conference5-7#40 (+6.34)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

70· BOverall
Offense
75· BRating
74· BPer play
81· BConsistency
92· A-Big plays
Defense
51· CRating
20· DPer play
56· CConsistency
Situational
13· FRed-zone O
11· FRed-zone D
43· C3rd down O
29· D3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.147
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.040
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.072
Defensive EPA/play
+0.068
lower = better
Off Success Rate
49.2%
Def Success Rate
45.0%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
26.9%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
24.4%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.005
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.014
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.57

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.90
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.73
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.04
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.03
own return game
Return Defense
+0.10
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#40
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#43
model 3 higher
Recruiting Rank
#65
model 25 spots higher
3 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Kansas ranks among all FBS teams in 2025 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
92th
Opp-adjusted defense
35th
Offensive EPA/play
75th
Defensive EPA/play
20th
Offensive success rate
77th
Explosiveness
93th
Defensive havoc
73th
Points per drive
71th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Louisville2021OA +0.077 / +0.021similar: defensive success rate, passing offense, TD drive rate3672Houston2026OA +0.008 / -0.042similar: takeaway rate, havoc rate, offensive success rate3573Cincinnati2023OA +0.022 / -0.098similar: pass defense, defensive success rate, turnover rate3514Western Michigan2018OA +0.035 / -0.079similar: havoc rate, TD drive rate, offensive EPA3495Arkansas2022OA +0.169 / -0.023similar: defensive EPA, pass defense, offensive EPA347

2025 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
0vs Fresno State31-7W-45.5L57.5U
1vs Wagner46-7W----
2@ Missouri31-42L+4.0L56O
4vs West Virginia41-10W-12.5W54.5U
5vs Cincinnati34-37L-4.5L56.5O
6@ UCF27-20W-4.0W53U
7@ Texas Tech17-42L+14.0L58.5O
9vs Kansas State17-42L-3.5L56O
10vs Oklahoma State38-21W-20.0L45.5O
11@ Arizona20-24L-3.5L57.5U
13@ Iowa State14-38L+10.5W60.5U
14vs Utah21-31L----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
4-8
33.3%
O/U Record
5-7
41.7%
Straight Up
5-7
41.7%
Home ATS3-4
Away ATS1-4
Favorite ATS3-5
Underdog ATS1-3
Last 5 ATS
LLLLW
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off51thRush Off74thRed Zone Off13th3rd Down Off43thPass Def19thRush Def26thRed Zone Def11th3rd Down Def30th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.04467th+0.07119th
Red Zone-0.19513th+0.19311th
Third Down+0.06243th+0.14730th
No Garbage Time+0.07276th+0.08017th
First Half+0.10279th+0.07716th
Second Half-0.01151th+0.06323th
Early Downs+0.05276th+0.01233th
Passing Downs-0.01451th+0.09519th
Standard Downs+0.06974th+0.05626th
Goal to Go-0.5941th+0.27412th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 44.5%Rush 55.5%
Havoc/Game
13.5
Havoc Rate
20.0%
TO Margin
-0.3
Explosive/G
15.4
Yards/Game
390.5
Pts/Drive
2.57
3rd Down%
38.5%
3&Out%
17.8%

Team Statistics

2025 season totals across 12 games — Kansas vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatKansasOpponents
Scoring
Points337321
Points / Game28.126.8
First Downs
Total248234
Rushing110107
Passing124113
Penalty1414
Rushing
Attempts430438
Yards2,0192,077
Yards / Carry4.74.7
Yards / Game168.3173.1
Touchdowns1719
Passing
Attempts345355
Completions211227
Completion %61.2%63.9%
Yards2,6672,569
Yards / Attempt7.77.2
Touchdowns2319
Interceptions84
Passer Rating143.46140.14
Total Offense
Plays775793
Yards4,6864,646
Yards / Play6.05.9
Yards / Game390.5387.2
Punt Returns
Returns2017
Yards13483
Average6.74.9
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns2615
Yards585286
Average22.519.1
Touchdowns10
Punting
Punts4352
Yards1,9362,206
Average45.042.4
Interception Returns
Returns48
Yards32141
Touchdowns01
Fumbles
Fumbles1713
Lost56
Penalties
Penalties6067
Yards477572
Yards / Game39.847.7
Time of Possession
Per Game30:4029:18
Third Downs
Attempts148173
Conversions5771
Conversion %38.5%41.0%
Fourth Downs
Attempts2829
Conversions1619
Conversion %57.1%65.5%
Red Zone
Trips4739
Scores (TD + FG)3434
Score %72.3%87.2%
Touchdowns2824
TD %59.6%61.5%
Field Goals
Attempts1716
Made1413
Pct82.4%81.3%
PAT Kicking
Attempts4139
Made4138
Pct100.0%97.4%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts11
Made11
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →