Fourth Down Data
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KU

Kansas

JayhawksBalanced
Big 12 Conference3-9#111 (-6.75)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

16· DOverall
Offense
10· FRating
17· DPer play
5· FConsistency
10· FBig plays
Defense
27· DRating
49· CPer play
15· DConsistency
Situational
6· FRed-zone O
67· CRed-zone D
86· B3rd down O
49· C3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.079
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.006
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.097
Defensive EPA/play
+0.002
lower = better
Off Success Rate
40.5%
Def Success Rate
50.0%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
20.8%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
26.0%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.099
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.124
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.54

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.53
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.29
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.75
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.12
own return game
Return Defense
+0.06
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#111
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
Market (Vegas)
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#56
recruiting 55 spots higher
2 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Kansas ranks among all FBS teams in 2018 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
21th
Opp-adjusted defense
53th
Offensive EPA/play
18th
Defensive EPA/play
50th
Offensive success rate
8th
Explosiveness
11th
Defensive havoc
25th
Points per drive
13th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Georgia Tech2022OA -0.050 / +0.061similar: rushing offense, offensive EPA, takeaway rate4252Western Kentucky2018OA -0.103 / +0.001similar: run defense, offensive EPA, TD drive rate3483Maryland2025OA -0.071 / +0.010similar: defensive EPA, pass defense, run defense3394Illinois2021OA -0.054 / +0.040similar: offensive EPA, run defense, TD drive rate3305Akron2017OA -0.111 / -0.023similar: offensive success rate, havoc rate, defensive EPA326

2018 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Nicholls State23-26L-8.0L57U
2@ Central Michigan31-7W+3.0W48.5U
3vs Rutgers55-14W-1.0W44O
4@ Baylor7-26L+7.5L54.5U
5vs Oklahoma State28-48L+17.0L55.5O
6@ West Virginia22-38L+27.0W61U
8@ Texas Tech16-48L+17.5L59O
9vs TCU27-26W+13.0W46.5O
10vs Iowa State3-27L+18.5L46U
11@ Kansas State17-21L+9.0W45.5U
12@ Oklahoma40-55L+35.0W69.5O
13vs Texas17-24L+14.5W50.5U

Betting Profile

ATS Record
7-5
58.3%
O/U Record
5-7
41.7%
Straight Up
3-9
25.0%
Home ATS3-3
Away ATS4-2
Favorite ATS1-1
Underdog ATS6-4
Last 5 ATS
WLWWW
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off48thRush Off14thRed Zone Off6th3rd Down Off86thPass Def48thRush Def56thRed Zone Def67th3rd Down Def49th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.06622th-0.01253th
Red Zone-0.2676th-0.08967th
Third Down+0.25986th+0.02249th
No Garbage Time-0.09817th+0.00148th
First Half-0.1808th+0.00841th
Second Half+0.04164th-0.03161th
Early Downs-0.10912th-0.02350th
Passing Downs-0.00448th+0.02348th
Standard Downs-0.10814th-0.02856th
Goal to Go-0.6491th-0.43695th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 48.1%Rush 51.9%
Havoc/Game
11.9
Havoc Rate
16.6%
TO Margin
+1.3
Explosive/G
12.5
Yards/Game
350.8
Pts/Drive
1.54
3rd Down%
39.1%
3&Out%
27.1%

Team Statistics

2018 season totals across 12 games — Kansas vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatKansasOpponents
Scoring
Points286360
Points / Game23.830.0
First Downs
Total215263
Rushing86118
Passing111128
Penalty1817
Rushing
Attempts423468
Yards1,9032,061
Yards / Carry4.54.4
Yards / Game158.6171.8
Touchdowns1421
Passing
Attempts392361
Completions229234
Completion %58.4%64.8%
Yards2,3072,961
Yards / Attempt5.98.2
Touchdowns1823
Interceptions416
Passer Rating120.97145.88
Total Offense
Plays815829
Yards4,2105,022
Yards / Play5.26.1
Yards / Game350.8418.5
Punt Returns
Returns1519
Yards74121
Average4.96.4
Touchdowns01
Kickoff Returns
Returns2322
Yards451454
Average19.620.6
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts7252
Yards3,0512,129
Average42.440.9
Interception Returns
Returns164
Yards30484
Touchdowns30
Fumbles
Fumbles1718
Lost711
Penalties
Penalties7872
Yards669664
Yards / Game55.855.3
Time of Possession
Per Game29:4730:13
Third Downs
Attempts179158
Conversions7072
Conversion %39.1%45.6%
Fourth Downs
Attempts199
Conversions74
Conversion %36.8%44.4%
Red Zone
Trips2848
Scores (TD + FG)2138
Score %75.0%79.2%
Touchdowns1530
TD %53.6%62.5%
Field Goals
Attempts1715
Made1213
Pct70.6%86.7%
PAT Kicking
Attempts3045
Made3043
Pct100.0%95.6%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts50
Made40
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →