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Georgia Tech

Yellow JacketsBalanced
Atlantic Coast Conference5-7#128 (-8.38)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

6· FOverall
Offense
11· FRating
15· DPer play
14· FConsistency
42· CBig plays
Defense
63· CRating
63· CPer play
26· DConsistency
Situational
3· FRed-zone O
76· BRed-zone D
21· D3rd down O
90· A-3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.050
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.061
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.137
Defensive EPA/play
-0.057
lower = better
Off Success Rate
41.3%
Def Success Rate
48.7%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
23.1%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
24.9%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.080
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.062
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.31

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-5.31
expected pts/game
Kicking
-2.45
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.31
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.04
own return game
Return Defense
-2.58
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#128
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#121
market 7 higher
Recruiting Rank
#37
recruiting 91 spots higher
11 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Georgia Tech ranks among all FBS teams in 2022 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
36th
Opp-adjusted defense
74th
Offensive EPA/play
16th
Defensive EPA/play
64th
Offensive success rate
12th
Explosiveness
42th
Defensive havoc
46th
Points per drive
8th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Kansas2018OA -0.079 / +0.006similar: rushing offense, offensive EPA, takeaway rate4242Western Kentucky2018OA -0.103 / +0.001similar: offensive EPA, defensive EPA, run defense4033Illinois2021OA -0.054 / +0.040similar: offensive success rate, pass defense, offensive EPA3784South Florida2026OA -0.058 / +0.068similar: offensive EPA, takeaway rate, defensive success rate3595Akron2025OA -0.107 / -0.010similar: pass defense, TD drive rate, offensive EPA356

2022 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Clemson10-41L+24.5L51P
2vs Western Carolina35-17W-25.0L58U
3vs Ole Miss0-42L+17.0L63.5U
4@ UCF10-27L+20.5W56.5U
5@ Pittsburgh26-21W+22.0W49U
6vs Duke23-20W+3.5W53.5U
8vs Virginia9-16L----
9@ Florida State16-41L+24.0L47.5O
10@ Virginia Tech28-27W+3.0W40.5O
11vs Miami14-35L-1.5L44.5O
12@ North Carolina21-17W+21.0W63.5U
13@ Georgia14-37L+35.5W49O

Betting Profile

ATS Record
6-6
50.0%
O/U Record
4-7-1
36.4%
Straight Up
5-7
41.7%
Home ATS1-5
Away ATS5-1
Favorite ATS0-3
Underdog ATS6-3
Last 5 ATS
LWLWW
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off57thRush Off4thRed Zone Off3th3rd Down Off21thPass Def39thRush Def65thRed Zone Def76th3rd Down Def91th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.13415th-0.03856th
Red Zone-0.4813th-0.17976th
Third Down-0.08421th-0.19791th
No Garbage Time-0.12519th-0.05263th
First Half-0.08334th+0.00941th
Second Half-0.1878th-0.08478th
Early Downs-0.2066th-0.01947th
Passing Downs+0.03857th+0.02239th
Standard Downs-0.2524th-0.06665th
Goal to Go-0.5155th-0.26880th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 47.2%Rush 52.8%
Havoc/Game
13.5
Havoc Rate
17.9%
TO Margin
+0.9
Explosive/G
13.8
Yards/Game
325.2
Pts/Drive
1.31
3rd Down%
30.6%
3&Out%
27.3%

Team Statistics

2022 season totals across 12 games — Georgia Tech vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatGeorgia TechOpponents
Scoring
Points206341
Points / Game17.228.4
First Downs
Total212271
Rushing86128
Passing107113
Penalty1930
Rushing
Attempts426500
Yards1,5962,270
Yards / Carry3.74.5
Yards / Game133.0189.2
Touchdowns1320
Passing
Attempts381366
Completions219213
Completion %57.5%58.2%
Yards2,3062,549
Yards / Attempt6.17.0
Touchdowns1017
Interceptions911
Passer Rating112.26126.02
Total Offense
Plays807866
Yards3,9024,819
Yards / Play4.85.6
Yards / Game325.2401.6
Punt Returns
Returns1140
Yards84741
Average7.618.5
Touchdowns03
Kickoff Returns
Returns1321
Yards273427
Average21.020.3
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts7749
Yards3,1722,065
Average41.242.1
Interception Returns
Returns119
Yards55112
Touchdowns12
Fumbles
Fumbles1019
Lost413
Penalties
Penalties6985
Yards623770
Yards / Game51.964.2
Time of Possession
Per Game28:2831:33
Third Downs
Attempts180171
Conversions5565
Conversion %30.6%38.0%
Fourth Downs
Attempts2122
Conversions814
Conversion %38.1%63.6%
Red Zone
Trips3846
Scores (TD + FG)2737
Score %71.1%80.4%
Touchdowns1524
TD %39.5%52.2%
Field Goals
Attempts1921
Made1416
Pct73.7%76.2%
PAT Kicking
Attempts2141
Made2039
Pct95.2%95.1%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts21
Made01
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →