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AKR
Akron
ZipsBalancedMid-American Conference7-7#117 (-15.62)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
13· FOverall
Offense
6· FRating
22· DPer play
5· FConsistency
22· DBig plays
Defense
31· DRating
53· CPer play
20· DConsistency
Situational
45· CRed-zone O
80· BRed-zone D
78· B3rd down O
86· B3rd down D
How grades work →2017 is the earliest season the model grades — first-year numbers run a touch noisier than later seasons.
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.111
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.023
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.103
Defensive EPA/play
-0.026
lower = better
Off Success Rate
41.7%
Def Success Rate
48.8%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
21.6%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
24.5%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.076
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.178
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.57
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
-0.56
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.85
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.41
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.09
own return game
Return Defense
-0.04
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#117
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#75
recruiting 42 spots higher
0 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where Akron ranks among all FBS teams in 2017 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense12th
Opp-adjusted defense43th
Offensive EPA/play23th
Defensive EPA/play53th
Offensive success rate10th
Explosiveness22th
Defensive havoc23th
Points per drive14th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Western Kentucky2018OA -0.103 / +0.001similar: rushing offense, TD drive rate, turnover rate3492Colorado2025OA -0.044 / -0.049similar: offensive success rate, run defense, havoc rate3423BYU2023OA -0.085 / +0.000similar: offensive success rate, run defense, defensive EPA3274Kansas2018OA -0.079 / +0.006similar: offensive success rate, havoc rate, defensive EPA3265Eastern Michigan2023OA -0.162 / -0.059similar: defensive EPA, offensive success rate, havoc rate318
2017 Schedule & Results
14 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Penn State | 0-52 | L | +23.0 | L | 65 | U |
| 2 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 52-3 | W | -49.0 | P | - | - |
| 3 | vs Iowa State | 14-41 | L | +10.0 | L | 63 | U |
| 4 | @ Troy | 17-22 | L | +17.0 | W | 56 | U |
| 5 | @ Bowling Green | 34-23 | W | -3.0 | W | 58.5 | U |
| 6 | vs Ball State | 31-3 | W | -4.5 | W | 52 | U |
| 7 | @ Western Michigan | 14-13 | W | +13.5 | W | 54.5 | U |
| 8 | @ Toledo | 21-48 | L | +15.0 | L | 58.5 | O |
| 9 | vs Buffalo | 21-20 | W | +3.0 | W | 48.5 | U |
| 11 | @ Miami (OH) | 14-24 | L | +11.0 | W | 51 | U |
| 12 | vs Ohio | 37-34 | W | +14.5 | W | 51 | O |
| 13 | vs Kent State | 24-14 | W | -14.5 | L | 46 | U |
| 14 | @ Toledo | 28-45 | L | +20.5 | W | 60.5 | O |
| 17 | @ Florida Atlantic | 3-50 | L | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
8-4-1
66.7%
O/U Record
3-9
25.0%
Straight Up
7-6
53.8%
Home ATS3-2
Away ATS5-2
Favorite ATS2-1
Underdog ATS6-3
Last 5 ATS
WWWLW
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.082 | 26th | -0.047 | 57th |
| Red Zone | -0.020 | 46th | -0.158 | 81th |
| Third Down | +0.154 | 79th | -0.272 | 87th |
| No Garbage Time | -0.102 | 22th | -0.012 | 50th |
| First Half | -0.025 | 48th | -0.021 | 51th |
| Second Half | -0.144 | 14th | -0.075 | 68th |
| Early Downs | -0.137 | 10th | -0.056 | 62th |
| Passing Downs | -0.074 | 32th | -0.012 | 47th |
| Standard Downs | -0.087 | 26th | -0.063 | 61th |
| Goal to Go | -0.259 | 17th | -0.287 | 85th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 49.3%Rush 50.7%
Havoc/Game
11.9
Havoc Rate
15.5%
TO Margin
+0.7
Explosive/G
11.5
Yards/Game
316.0
Pts/Drive
1.57
3rd Down%
39.4%
3&Out%
29.8%
Team Statistics
2017 season totals across 14 games — Akron vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Akron | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 310 | 392 |
| Points / Game | 22.1 | 28.0 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 256 | 328 |
| Rushing | 90 | 151 |
| Passing | 136 | 146 |
| Penalty | 30 | 31 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 459 | 572 |
| Yards | 1,475 | 2,876 |
| Yards / Carry | 3.2 | 5.0 |
| Yards / Game | 105.4 | 205.4 |
| Touchdowns | 14 | 24 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 447 | 458 |
| Completions | 242 | 283 |
| Completion % | 54.1% | 61.8% |
| Yards | 2,949 | 3,324 |
| Yards / Attempt | 6.6 | 7.3 |
| Touchdowns | 24 | 24 |
| Interceptions | 11 | 19 |
| Passer Rating | 122.35 | 131.75 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 906 | 1,030 |
| Yards | 4,424 | 6,200 |
| Yards / Play | 4.9 | 6.0 |
| Yards / Game | 316.0 | 442.9 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 6 | 23 |
| Yards | 12 | 330 |
| Average | 2.0 | 14.3 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 1 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 33 | 46 |
| Yards | 602 | 924 |
| Average | 18.2 | 20.1 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 88 | 55 |
| Yards | 3,615 | 2,112 |
| Average | 41.1 | 38.4 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 19 | 11 |
| Yards | 398 | 85 |
| Touchdowns | 3 | 0 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 12 | 16 |
| Lost | 6 | 8 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 88 | 90 |
| Yards | 873 | 877 |
| Yards / Game | 62.4 | 62.6 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 28:45 | 31:15 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 203 | 190 |
| Conversions | 80 | 65 |
| Conversion % | 39.4% | 34.2% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 15 | 28 |
| Conversions | 7 | 17 |
| Conversion % | 46.7% | 60.7% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 33 | 55 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 24 | 44 |
| Score % | 72.7% | 80.0% |
| Touchdowns | 20 | 34 |
| TD % | 60.6% | 61.8% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 13 | 28 |
| Made | 6 | 17 |
| Pct | 46.2% | 60.7% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 42 | 47 |
| Made | 40 | 45 |
| Pct | 95.2% | 95.7% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 0 | 2 |
| Made | 0 | 1 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.