Fourth Down Data
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KU

Kansas

JayhawksBalanced
Big 12 Conference1-11#113 (-14.25)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

16· DOverall
Offense
24· DRating
10· FPer play
8· FConsistency
39· DBig plays
Defense
14· FRating
15· DPer play
33· DConsistency
Situational
35· DRed-zone O
25· DRed-zone D
11· F3rd down O
25· D3rd down D
How grades work →2017 is the earliest season the model grades — first-year numbers run a touch noisier than later seasons.

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.077
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.050
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.142
Defensive EPA/play
+0.090
lower = better
Off Success Rate
41.4%
Def Success Rate
46.6%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
22.5%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
25.4%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.232
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.094
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.45

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-1.51
expected pts/game
Kicking
-1.29
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.14
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.13
own return game
Return Defense
-0.22
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#113
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#66
recruiting 47 spots higher
1 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Kansas ranks among all FBS teams in 2017 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
18th
Opp-adjusted defense
35th
Offensive EPA/play
10th
Defensive EPA/play
15th
Offensive success rate
8th
Explosiveness
40th
Defensive havoc
45th
Points per drive
10th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Oklahoma State2025OA -0.103 / -0.061similar: offensive success rate, defensive EPA, TD drive rate4552Indiana2021OA -0.067 / -0.003similar: TD drive rate, offensive success rate, offensive EPA4403Arkansas2018OA -0.090 / -0.015similar: havoc rate, TD drive rate, offensive success rate4254Florida State2024OA -0.056 / -0.019similar: takeaway rate, turnover rate, TD drive rate4065Syracuse2025OA -0.108 / -0.012similar: TD drive rate, offensive success rate, offensive EPA402

2017 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Southeast Missouri State38-16W-29.0L--
2vs Central Michigan27-45L-3.0L57O
3@ Ohio30-42L+7.5L59O
4vs West Virginia34-56L+23.5W70.5O
6vs Texas Tech19-65L+14.5L77O
7@ Iowa State0-45L+22.5L62.5U
8@ TCU0-43L+37.5L61U
9vs Kansas State20-30L+24.5W55.5U
10vs Baylor9-38L+7.0L60U
11@ Texas27-42L+32.0W52.5O
12vs Oklahoma3-41L+40.0W68U
13@ Oklahoma State17-58L+40.5L67O

Betting Profile

ATS Record
4-8
33.3%
O/U Record
6-5
54.5%
Straight Up
1-11
8.3%
Home ATS3-4
Away ATS1-4
Favorite ATS0-2
Underdog ATS4-6
Last 5 ATS
WLWWL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off25thRush Off3thRed Zone Off35th3rd Down Off11thPass Def26thRush Def24thRed Zone Def26th3rd Down Def26th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.1728th+0.05826th
Red Zone-0.06035th+0.11426th
Third Down-0.34811th+0.12426th
No Garbage Time-0.13112th+0.08120th
First Half-0.17910th+0.11314th
Second Half-0.16510th-0.00144th
Early Downs-0.1815th+0.01631th
Passing Downs-0.10425th+0.09126th
Standard Downs-0.2183th+0.04024th
Goal to Go+0.00254th+0.16022th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 54.1%Rush 45.9%
Havoc/Game
13.2
Havoc Rate
17.5%
TO Margin
-1.4
Explosive/G
12.6
Yards/Game
329.0
Pts/Drive
1.45
3rd Down%
28.9%
3&Out%
31.1%

Team Statistics

2017 season totals across 12 games — Kansas vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatKansasOpponents
Scoring
Points224521
Points / Game18.743.4
First Downs
Total194265
Rushing66106
Passing113141
Penalty1518
Rushing
Attempts391491
Yards1,2312,059
Yards / Carry3.14.2
Yards / Game102.6171.6
Touchdowns1131
Passing
Attempts460382
Completions249265
Completion %54.1%69.4%
Yards2,7173,561
Yards / Attempt5.99.3
Touchdowns1431
Interceptions174
Passer Rating106.40172.36
Total Offense
Plays851873
Yards3,9485,620
Yards / Play4.66.4
Yards / Game329.0468.3
Punt Returns
Returns1320
Yards81366
Average6.218.3
Touchdowns02
Kickoff Returns
Returns5129
Yards1,045688
Average20.523.7
Touchdowns01
Punting
Punts8760
Yards3,4342,422
Average39.540.4
Interception Returns
Returns417
Yards12229
Touchdowns02
Fumbles
Fumbles1813
Lost95
Penalties
Penalties6672
Yards553605
Yards / Game46.150.4
Time of Possession
Per Game27:3132:29
Third Downs
Attempts201177
Conversions5871
Conversion %28.9%40.1%
Fourth Downs
Attempts2421
Conversions1313
Conversion %54.2%61.9%
Red Zone
Trips3259
Scores (TD + FG)3053
Score %93.8%89.8%
Touchdowns1843
TD %56.3%72.9%
Field Goals
Attempts2020
Made1716
Pct85.0%80.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts2367
Made2363
Pct100.0%94.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts11
Made01
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →