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IU
Indiana
HoosiersBalancedBig Ten Conference3-9#98 (-3.79)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
28· DOverall
Offense
33· DRating
19· DPer play
36· DConsistency
17· DBig plays
Defense
37· DRating
22· DPer play
51· CConsistency
Situational
30· DRed-zone O
17· DRed-zone D
29· D3rd down O
84· B3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.009
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.034
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.080
Defensive EPA/play
+0.064
lower = better
Off Success Rate
45.6%
Def Success Rate
45.6%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
21.3%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
25.4%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.144
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.137
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.72
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
-0.16
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.00
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.08
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.05
own return game
Return Defense
-0.04
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#98
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#126
model 28 higher
Recruiting Rank
#49
recruiting 49 spots higher
7 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where Indiana ranks among all FBS teams in 2023 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense44th
Opp-adjusted defense35th
Offensive EPA/play19th
Defensive EPA/play22th
Offensive success rate41th
Explosiveness17th
Defensive havoc44th
Points per drive20th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Pittsburgh2017OA +0.004 / -0.016similar: TD drive rate, havoc rate, pass defense4012Akron2024OA -0.044 / -0.031similar: defensive EPA, offensive EPA, passing offense3643North Carolina2017OA -0.028 / -0.042similar: run defense, offensive EPA, rushing offense3594Arkansas State2022OA -0.037 / -0.160similar: TD drive rate, havoc rate, offensive EPA3555Kent State2025OA -0.088 / -0.129similar: offensive EPA, pass defense, defensive EPA341
2023 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Ohio State | 3-23 | L | +30.0 | W | 59 | U |
| 2 | vs Indiana State | 41-7 | W | - | - | - | - |
| 3 | vs Louisville | 14-21 | L | +10.0 | W | 50.5 | U |
| 4 | vs Akron | 29-27 | W | -17.0 | L | 46.5 | O |
| 5 | @ Maryland | 17-44 | L | +14.5 | L | 50 | O |
| 7 | @ Michigan | 7-52 | L | +33.5 | L | 46.5 | O |
| 8 | vs Rutgers | 14-31 | L | +5.0 | L | 40.5 | O |
| 9 | @ Penn State | 24-33 | L | +32.0 | W | 46 | O |
| 10 | vs Wisconsin | 20-14 | W | +9.5 | W | 45 | U |
| 11 | @ Illinois | 45-48 | L | +6.5 | W | 43.5 | O |
| 12 | vs Michigan State | 21-24 | L | -4.5 | L | 47.5 | U |
| 13 | @ Purdue | 31-35 | L | +3.0 | L | 51 | O |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
5-6
45.5%
O/U Record
7-4
63.6%
Straight Up
3-9
25.0%
Home ATS3-3
Away ATS2-3
Favorite ATS0-2
Underdog ATS5-4
Last 5 ATS
WWWLL
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.070 | 20th | +0.067 | 23th |
| Red Zone | -0.081 | 31th | +0.155 | 17th |
| Third Down | +0.092 | 30th | +0.014 | 84th |
| No Garbage Time | -0.082 | 15th | +0.068 | 22th |
| First Half | -0.097 | 16th | +0.059 | 30th |
| Second Half | -0.042 | 36th | +0.077 | 24th |
| Early Downs | -0.023 | 53th | +0.071 | 11th |
| Passing Downs | -0.133 | 10th | +0.106 | 33th |
| Standard Downs | -0.039 | 40th | +0.048 | 28th |
| Goal to Go | -0.140 | 21th | -0.017 | 53th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 45.9%Rush 54.1%
Havoc/Game
12.4
Havoc Rate
17.8%
TO Margin
-0.4
Explosive/G
12.6
Yards/Game
332.8
Pts/Drive
1.72
3rd Down%
37.5%
3&Out%
28.5%
Team Statistics
2023 season totals across 12 games — Indiana vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Indiana | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 266 | 359 |
| Points / Game | 22.2 | 29.9 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 237 | 252 |
| Rushing | 89 | 108 |
| Passing | 122 | 123 |
| Penalty | 26 | 21 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 433 | 448 |
| Yards | 1,441 | 1,875 |
| Yards / Carry | 3.3 | 4.2 |
| Yards / Game | 120.1 | 156.3 |
| Touchdowns | 13 | 18 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 367 | 365 |
| Completions | 215 | 222 |
| Completion % | 58.6% | 60.8% |
| Yards | 2,553 | 2,854 |
| Yards / Attempt | 7.0 | 7.8 |
| Touchdowns | 18 | 25 |
| Interceptions | 10 | 10 |
| Passer Rating | 127.75 | 143.63 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 800 | 813 |
| Yards | 3,994 | 4,729 |
| Yards / Play | 5.0 | 5.8 |
| Yards / Game | 332.8 | 394.1 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 12 | 21 |
| Yards | 31 | 149 |
| Average | 2.6 | 7.1 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 1 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 31 | 19 |
| Yards | 657 | 421 |
| Average | 21.2 | 22.2 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 58 | 52 |
| Yards | 2,612 | 2,186 |
| Average | 45.0 | 42.0 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 10 | 10 |
| Yards | 98 | 140 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 0 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 19 | 10 |
| Lost | 8 | 3 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 65 | 78 |
| Yards | 607 | 721 |
| Yards / Game | 50.6 | 60.1 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 29:26 | 30:34 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 168 | 158 |
| Conversions | 63 | 57 |
| Conversion % | 37.5% | 36.1% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 27 | 19 |
| Conversions | 10 | 10 |
| Conversion % | 37.0% | 52.6% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 33 | 45 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 27 | 40 |
| Score % | 81.8% | 88.9% |
| Touchdowns | 21 | 28 |
| TD % | 63.6% | 62.2% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 15 | 21 |
| Made | 11 | 16 |
| Pct | 73.3% | 76.2% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 32 | 41 |
| Made | 31 | 39 |
| Pct | 96.9% | 95.1% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 3 | 6 |
| Made | 2 | 0 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.