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AKR
Akron
ZipsBalancedMid-American Conference4-8#112 (-5.44)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
17· DOverall
Offense
10· FRating
13· FPer play
8· FConsistency
5· FBig plays
Defense
27· DRating
25· DPer play
40· CConsistency
Situational
13· FRed-zone O
10· FRed-zone D
31· D3rd down O
38· D3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.044
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.031
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.112
Defensive EPA/play
+0.058
lower = better
Off Success Rate
40.4%
Def Success Rate
46.7%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
20.3%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
24.0%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.170
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.077
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.53
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
+0.33
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.92
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.49
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.14
own return game
Return Defense
+0.04
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#112
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#126
model 14 higher
Recruiting Rank
#80
recruiting 32 spots higher
0 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where Akron ranks among all FBS teams in 2024 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense13th
Opp-adjusted defense21th
Offensive EPA/play13th
Defensive EPA/play25th
Offensive success rate7th
Explosiveness5th
Defensive havoc16th
Points per drive10th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Indiana2022OA -0.127 / -0.010similar: takeaway rate, offensive EPA, havoc rate4182UConn2023OA -0.119 / -0.056similar: turnover rate, TD drive rate, defensive EPA3893Rice2019OA -0.096 / -0.061similar: rushing offense, offensive EPA, pass defense3744Ball State2025OA -0.172 / -0.060similar: rushing offense, passing offense, turnover rate3685Indiana2023OA -0.009 / -0.034similar: defensive EPA, offensive EPA, passing offense366
2024 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Ohio State | 6-52 | L | +48.5 | W | 58 | P |
| 2 | @ Rutgers | 17-49 | L | +23.5 | L | 41.5 | O |
| 3 | vs Colgate | 31-20 | W | -14.5 | L | 45.5 | O |
| 4 | @ South Carolina | 7-50 | L | +28.0 | L | 44.5 | O |
| 5 | @ Ohio | 10-30 | L | +12.5 | L | 47 | U |
| 6 | vs Bowling Green | 20-27 | L | +15.5 | W | 51 | U |
| 7 | @ Western Michigan | 24-34 | L | +9.5 | L | 53.5 | O |
| 9 | vs Eastern Michigan | 25-21 | W | +3.0 | W | 51.5 | U |
| 10 | vs Buffalo | 30-41 | L | +1.0 | L | 47.5 | O |
| 12 | @ Northern Illinois | 16-29 | L | -10.0 | W | 49.5 | O |
| 13 | @ Kent State | 38-17 | W | +9.0 | W | 49 | U |
| 14 | vs Toledo | 21-14 | W | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
6-6
50.0%
O/U Record
6-4-2
60.0%
Straight Up
4-8
33.3%
Home ATS3-2
Away ATS3-4
Favorite ATS1-1
Underdog ATS5-5
Last 5 ATS
WLWWW
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.115 | 11th | +0.077 | 16th |
| Red Zone | -0.209 | 13th | +0.215 | 10th |
| Third Down | +0.009 | 31th | +0.132 | 39th |
| No Garbage Time | -0.109 | 14th | +0.067 | 21th |
| First Half | -0.080 | 25th | +0.024 | 35th |
| Second Half | -0.147 | 6th | +0.139 | 7th |
| Early Downs | -0.057 | 27th | +0.017 | 30th |
| Passing Downs | -0.232 | 5th | +0.129 | 17th |
| Standard Downs | -0.044 | 29th | +0.052 | 24th |
| Goal to Go | +0.341 | 93th | +0.127 | 23th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 54.8%Rush 45.2%
Havoc/Game
10.7
Havoc Rate
15.1%
TO Margin
-0.8
Explosive/G
11.6
Yards/Game
332.8
Pts/Drive
1.53
3rd Down%
36.2%
3&Out%
19.7%
Team Statistics
2024 season totals across 12 games — Akron vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Akron | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 245 | 384 |
| Points / Game | 20.4 | 32.0 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 216 | 245 |
| Rushing | 74 | 104 |
| Passing | 117 | 122 |
| Penalty | 25 | 19 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 346 | 476 |
| Yards | 1,204 | 2,200 |
| Yards / Carry | 3.5 | 4.6 |
| Yards / Game | 100.3 | 183.3 |
| Touchdowns | 11 | 23 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 419 | 343 |
| Completions | 234 | 221 |
| Completion % | 55.8% | 64.4% |
| Yards | 2,789 | 2,773 |
| Yards / Attempt | 6.7 | 8.1 |
| Touchdowns | 16 | 24 |
| Interceptions | 10 | 3 |
| Passer Rating | 119.59 | 153.68 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 765 | 819 |
| Yards | 3,993 | 4,973 |
| Yards / Play | 5.2 | 6.1 |
| Yards / Game | 332.8 | 414.4 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 7 | 16 |
| Yards | -1 | 147 |
| Average | -0.1 | 9.2 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 25 | 15 |
| Yards | 395 | 294 |
| Average | 15.8 | 19.6 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 66 | 59 |
| Yards | 2,846 | 2,502 |
| Average | 43.1 | 42.4 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 3 | 10 |
| Yards | 27 | 84 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 1 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 15 | 13 |
| Lost | 10 | 7 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 76 | 80 |
| Yards | 584 | 641 |
| Yards / Game | 48.7 | 53.4 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 28:33 | 31:28 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 163 | 163 |
| Conversions | 59 | 63 |
| Conversion % | 36.2% | 38.7% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 15 | 26 |
| Conversions | 4 | 15 |
| Conversion % | 26.7% | 57.7% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 28 | 42 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 22 | 37 |
| Score % | 78.6% | 88.1% |
| Touchdowns | 14 | 31 |
| TD % | 50.0% | 73.8% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 16 | 16 |
| Made | 13 | 11 |
| Pct | 81.3% | 68.8% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 24 | 46 |
| Made | 24 | 45 |
| Pct | 100.0% | 97.8% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 5 | 6 |
| Made | 4 | 2 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.