← All Teams
IU
Indiana
HoosiersBalancedBig Ten Conference8-5#36 (+7.38)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
73· BOverall
Offense
84· BRating
80· BPer play
81· BConsistency
81· BBig plays
Defense
48· CRating
42· CPer play
36· DConsistency
Situational
46· CRed-zone O
40· CRed-zone D
85· B3rd down O
81· B3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
+0.128
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.036
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.095
Defensive EPA/play
+0.025
lower = better
Off Success Rate
47.6%
Def Success Rate
45.8%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
25.8%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
25.6%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.070
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.081
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.64
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
+0.07
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.37
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.26
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.06
own return game
Return Defense
+0.02
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#36
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#52
model 16 spots higher
3 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where Indiana ranks among all FBS teams in 2019 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense93th
Opp-adjusted defense36th
Offensive EPA/play81th
Defensive EPA/play43th
Offensive success rate61th
Explosiveness81th
Defensive havoc59th
Points per drive81th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1NC State2018OA +0.065 / -0.007similar: rushing offense, offensive EPA, TD drive rate4122Texas2018OA +0.090 / +0.028similar: rushing offense, TD drive rate, run defense3973Baylor2024OA +0.032 / -0.011similar: turnover rate, offensive EPA, defensive EPA3854UTSA2022OA +0.068 / -0.038similar: takeaway rate, offensive EPA, defensive EPA3855Louisville2024OA +0.056 / +0.004similar: defensive EPA, run defense, pass defense379
2019 Schedule & Results
13 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Ball State | 34-24 | W | +4.0 | W | 56 | U |
| 2 | vs Eastern Illinois | 52-0 | W | -35.5 | W | 61.5 | U |
| 3 | vs Ohio State | 10-51 | L | +17.0 | L | 60.5 | O |
| 4 | vs UConn | 38-3 | W | -27.5 | W | 57 | U |
| 5 | @ Michigan State | 31-40 | L | +14.0 | W | 43.5 | O |
| 7 | vs Rutgers | 35-0 | W | -27.5 | W | 50 | U |
| 8 | @ Maryland | 34-28 | W | -6.5 | L | 59.5 | O |
| 9 | @ Nebraska | 38-31 | W | +2.5 | W | 55 | O |
| 10 | vs Northwestern | 34-3 | W | -8.5 | W | 44 | U |
| 12 | @ Penn State | 27-34 | L | +15.0 | W | 55.5 | O |
| 13 | vs Michigan | 14-39 | L | +10.0 | L | 54.5 | U |
| 14 | @ Purdue | 44-41 | W | -7.0 | L | 56.5 | O |
| 19 | @ Tennessee | 22-23 | L | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
8-4
66.7%
O/U Record
6-6
50.0%
Straight Up
7-5
58.3%
Home ATS4-2
Away ATS4-2
Favorite ATS4-2
Underdog ATS4-2
Last 5 ATS
WWWLL
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.043 | 63th | -0.011 | 58th |
| Red Zone | -0.055 | 46th | +0.026 | 41th |
| Third Down | +0.203 | 86th | -0.120 | 81th |
| No Garbage Time | +0.093 | 79th | +0.033 | 40th |
| First Half | +0.084 | 75th | +0.008 | 48th |
| Second Half | +0.005 | 50th | -0.034 | 64th |
| Early Downs | +0.023 | 60th | +0.042 | 28th |
| Passing Downs | +0.088 | 69th | +0.002 | 47th |
| Standard Downs | +0.021 | 61th | -0.017 | 60th |
| Goal to Go | -0.112 | 38th | +0.059 | 35th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 50.3%Rush 49.7%
Havoc/Game
12.9
Havoc Rate
19.1%
TO Margin
+0.2
Explosive/G
15.0
Yards/Game
432.8
Pts/Drive
2.64
3rd Down%
46.9%
3&Out%
14.8%
Team Statistics
2019 season totals across 13 games — Indiana vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Indiana | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 413 | 317 |
| Points / Game | 31.8 | 24.4 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 304 | 248 |
| Rushing | 106 | 95 |
| Passing | 170 | 117 |
| Penalty | 28 | 36 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 467 | 459 |
| Yards | 1,695 | 1,801 |
| Yards / Carry | 3.6 | 3.9 |
| Yards / Game | 130.4 | 138.5 |
| Touchdowns | 24 | 17 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 473 | 394 |
| Completions | 321 | 219 |
| Completion % | 67.9% | 55.6% |
| Yards | 3,931 | 2,778 |
| Yards / Attempt | 8.3 | 7.1 |
| Touchdowns | 24 | 20 |
| Interceptions | 9 | 7 |
| Passer Rating | 150.61 | 128.01 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 940 | 853 |
| Yards | 5,626 | 4,579 |
| Yards / Play | 6.0 | 5.4 |
| Yards / Game | 432.8 | 352.2 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 17 | 7 |
| Yards | 68 | 64 |
| Average | 4.0 | 9.1 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 36 | 27 |
| Yards | 688 | 540 |
| Average | 19.1 | 20.0 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 52 | 66 |
| Yards | 2,166 | 2,700 |
| Average | 41.7 | 40.9 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 7 | 9 |
| Yards | 159 | 110 |
| Touchdowns | 2 | 1 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 12 | 13 |
| Lost | 6 | 10 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 88 | 69 |
| Yards | 830 | 592 |
| Yards / Game | 63.8 | 45.5 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 33:44 | 26:16 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 177 | 176 |
| Conversions | 83 | 62 |
| Conversion % | 46.9% | 35.2% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 18 | 23 |
| Conversions | 8 | 12 |
| Conversion % | 44.4% | 52.2% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 62 | 38 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 53 | 34 |
| Score % | 85.5% | 89.5% |
| Touchdowns | 39 | 24 |
| TD % | 62.9% | 63.2% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 23 | 20 |
| Made | 19 | 14 |
| Pct | 82.6% | 70.0% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 48 | 35 |
| Made | 46 | 35 |
| Pct | 95.8% | 100.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 2 | 3 |
| Made | 2 | 2 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.