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IU
Indiana
HoosiersBalancedBig Ten Conference5-7#41 (+6.73)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
69· COverall
Offense
41· CRating
21· DPer play
13· FConsistency
4· FBig plays
Defense
80· BRating
70· BPer play
73· BConsistency
Situational
45· CRed-zone O
16· DRed-zone D
44· C3rd down O
95· A3rd down D
How grades work →2017 is the earliest season the model grades — first-year numbers run a touch noisier than later seasons.
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.039
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.073
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.104
Defensive EPA/play
-0.099
lower = better
Off Success Rate
42.0%
Def Success Rate
42.6%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
19.8%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
19.9%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.005
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.093
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.79
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
+0.38
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.55
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.21
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.04
own return game
Return Defense
-0.00
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#41
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#66
model 25 spots higher
1 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where Indiana ranks among all FBS teams in 2017 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense32th
Opp-adjusted defense74th
Offensive EPA/play21th
Defensive EPA/play71th
Offensive success rate12th
Explosiveness4th
Defensive havoc72th
Points per drive26th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Eastern Michigan2017OA -0.078 / +0.060similar: TD drive rate, passing offense, offensive EPA4192Toledo2024OA -0.022 / +0.030similar: turnover rate, offensive EPA, havoc rate3873Virginia Tech2022OA -0.094 / +0.007similar: turnover rate, offensive success rate, run defense3814Pittsburgh2019OA -0.088 / +0.099similar: rushing offense, pass defense, offensive success rate3715Baylor2020OA -0.052 / +0.028similar: run defense, rushing offense, offensive success rate361
2017 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Ohio State | 21-49 | L | +20.0 | L | 55 | O |
| 2 | @ Virginia | 34-17 | W | -4.0 | W | 56.5 | U |
| 4 | vs Georgia Southern | 52-17 | W | -22.0 | W | 51 | O |
| 5 | @ Penn State | 14-45 | L | +19.0 | L | 62 | U |
| 6 | vs Charleston Southern | 27-0 | W | -27.5 | L | - | - |
| 7 | vs Michigan | 20-27 | L | +7.0 | P | 44 | O |
| 8 | @ Michigan State | 9-17 | L | +6.5 | L | 47.5 | U |
| 9 | @ Maryland | 39-42 | L | -6.5 | L | 52 | O |
| 10 | vs Wisconsin | 17-45 | L | +11.0 | L | 49 | O |
| 11 | @ Illinois | 24-14 | W | -10.5 | L | 51.5 | U |
| 12 | vs Rutgers | 41-0 | W | -10.5 | W | 46.5 | U |
| 13 | @ Purdue | 24-31 | L | +1.0 | L | 51 | O |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
3-8-1
27.3%
O/U Record
6-5
54.5%
Straight Up
5-7
41.7%
Home ATS2-3
Away ATS1-5
Favorite ATS3-3
Underdog ATS0-5
Last 5 ATS
LLLWL
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.117 | 16th | -0.091 | 71th |
| Red Zone | -0.024 | 45th | +0.159 | 17th |
| Third Down | -0.030 | 44th | -0.399 | 96th |
| No Garbage Time | -0.109 | 20th | -0.107 | 75th |
| First Half | -0.084 | 26th | -0.199 | 92th |
| Second Half | -0.154 | 14th | +0.014 | 35th |
| Early Downs | -0.146 | 8th | -0.014 | 44th |
| Passing Downs | -0.068 | 34th | -0.197 | 89th |
| Standard Downs | -0.146 | 11th | -0.034 | 52th |
| Goal to Go | -0.078 | 36th | -0.138 | 69th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 52.8%Rush 47.2%
Havoc/Game
14.8
Havoc Rate
20.6%
TO Margin
-0.6
Explosive/G
13.8
Yards/Game
395.8
Pts/Drive
1.79
3rd Down%
37.9%
3&Out%
26.3%
Team Statistics
2017 season totals across 12 games — Indiana vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Indiana | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 322 | 304 |
| Points / Game | 26.8 | 25.3 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 252 | 210 |
| Rushing | 79 | 98 |
| Passing | 144 | 84 |
| Penalty | 29 | 28 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 449 | 497 |
| Yards | 1,561 | 1,925 |
| Yards / Carry | 3.5 | 3.9 |
| Yards / Game | 130.1 | 160.4 |
| Touchdowns | 11 | 18 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 502 | 332 |
| Completions | 306 | 181 |
| Completion % | 61.0% | 54.5% |
| Yards | 3,188 | 2,156 |
| Yards / Attempt | 6.4 | 6.5 |
| Touchdowns | 25 | 18 |
| Interceptions | 13 | 5 |
| Passer Rating | 125.56 | 123.95 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 951 | 829 |
| Yards | 4,749 | 4,081 |
| Yards / Play | 5.0 | 4.9 |
| Yards / Game | 395.8 | 340.1 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 29 | 25 |
| Yards | 368 | 124 |
| Average | 12.7 | 5.0 |
| Touchdowns | 2 | 1 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 33 | 26 |
| Yards | 623 | 647 |
| Average | 18.9 | 24.9 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 1 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 86 | 95 |
| Yards | 3,459 | 4,052 |
| Average | 40.2 | 42.7 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 5 | 13 |
| Yards | 34 | 98 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 15 | 19 |
| Lost | 7 | 8 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 71 | 91 |
| Yards | 707 | 796 |
| Yards / Game | 58.9 | 66.3 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 28:23 | 31:37 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 211 | 184 |
| Conversions | 80 | 55 |
| Conversion % | 37.9% | 29.9% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 19 | 17 |
| Conversions | 9 | 9 |
| Conversion % | 47.4% | 52.9% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 44 | 40 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 38 | 35 |
| Score % | 86.4% | 87.5% |
| Touchdowns | 27 | 26 |
| TD % | 61.4% | 65.0% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 17 | 13 |
| Made | 16 | 10 |
| Pct | 94.1% | 76.9% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 39 | 38 |
| Made | 38 | 38 |
| Pct | 97.4% | 100.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 0 | 1 |
| Made | 0 | 1 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.